Charleston, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

070
FXUS61 KRLX 101017
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
617 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Chances for a few showers today as an upper level trough moves
through. Dry with a warming trend for the middle of the week.
Showers and thunderstorms return Friday into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 125 AM Tuesday...

Showers are working there way out of the area toward the
east this morning with a reinforcing cold front being the
culprit here. another decaying front behind that one will pass
through by this morning as well. Kept chances for showers in
the forecast through the late morning then things clear up but
expecting an afternoon cumulus field developing in response to
an upper level trough associated with these frontal boundaries
which will be sliding across the area today. Just maintained
blended guidance with slight chances of showers or thunderstorms
toward our northern periphery of the area possibly extending
down toward the middle of West Virginia. This will be isolated
in nature and should not pose any hazardous issues other than
possible lightning associated with any storms that may develop.
The cloud coverage should clear out with valley fog developing
in response to decoupling and surface flow going calm. Surface
high pressure then builds in for tonight promoting dry and quiet
weather for the area. Temperatures will remain seasonable,
maybe even a few degrees cooler for daytime highs and overnight
lows.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 225 AM Tuesday...

A high pressure system will providing dry weather for Wednesday
and Thursday, with a warming trend. By Thursday, a few lowland
locations could reach 90 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 225 AM Tuesday...

As a high pressure system shifts off to the east, moisture will
return by Friday, allowing for a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Models continue to differ on the upper air
pattern and the development of the next system over the
weekend and into the next work week. Overall, expect an
increase in showers and thunderstorms, but confidence in the
timing of those is not high.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 620 AM Tuesday...

Outside some possible temporary shower activity this afternoon
for mainly the northeastern parts of the CWA, affecting possibly
CKB/EKN/PKB, conditions should be VFR for the period. Some MVFR
CIGs may get into the aforementioned sites along with a
possible thunderstorm. Chances are fairly low but mentioned VCTS
in their TAFS. Winds will increase during the afternoon with
gusts into the upper teens, but will drop down significantly for
tonight with the area going calm and clear, leaving plenty of
room for valley fog to develop on Wednesday morning.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: The extent of fog/low stratus tonight may
vary from the forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE               TUE 06/10/25
UTC 1HRLY       09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20
EDT 1HRLY       05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY...
Brief IFR possible in thunderstorms Saturday.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RPY/JZ
NEAR TERM...JZ
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...JZ