Bridgeport, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

142
FXUS61 KRLX 092310
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
710 PM EDT Mon Jun 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Front crosses the area tonight. Dry with a warming trend for
the middle of the week. Showers and thunderstorms return Friday
into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 705 PM Monday...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to slide east ahead of
a front this evening into tonight, with quieter conditions
returning early Tuesday. Have freshened up PoPs to match the
slightly faster progression of this line.

As of 1210 PM Monday...

Cold front currently just to the west of the CWA, generally
across central/southwest Ohio. An area of showers with embedded
thunderstorms has developed along the front, and is slowly
spreading eastward. Current thinking remains that the front
should be in the Ohio River vicinity sometime this afternoon,
and to the east of the CWA late tonight or early Tuesday.

There is a decent amount of cloud cover out ahead of the front,
but plenty of breaks that instability should be able to ramp up
a bit as we continue into peak heating hours. Some storms could
still become organized, with around 40 kts of deep layer shear.
Current severe timing still looks to be sometime after 2PM,
quickly waning after sunset. SPC continues to highlight the bulk
of the CWA in a slight risk for severe, with all hazards a
possibility, although the damaging wind threat would seem most
likely.

Storms will contain heavy downpours, but am not overly concerned
about flooding, other than a brief/localized issue, as overall
steering flow is around 25kts.

Tuesday looks to dry out and be a little cooler, although an
isolated shower is possible as we remain under the lingering
effects of upper trough.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1157 AM Monday...

High pressure and rising heights aloft will provide dry and
increasingly hot weather for the middle of the week with
temperatures reaching the middle to upper 80s Wednesday and
Thursday. Temperatures may reach the lower 90s Thursday
afternoon in some locations. Overnight lows will be typical for
the middle of June with temperatures from the upper 50s in the
mountains to the lower 60s in the lowlands.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1157 AM Monday...

Weak mid- level vorticity will approach from the west Friday.
In addition, there may be a stalled frontal boundary near the
northern West Virginia and Pennsylvania boarder. The combination
of these two features along with a warm, moist airmass may
encourage isolated afternoon thunderstorm development across our
region, but chances are only 30% or less at this time due to
model variability.

This frontal boundary is expected to sag across northern West
Virginia over the weekend with multiple shortwave troughs
approaching from the west. This likely will create more numerous
chances of showers and thunderstorms throughout the weekend.
Models project that the vast majority of our region will remain
south of the stalled boundary this weekend, which will keep
temperatures elevated into the middle and upper 80s both
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 705 PM Monday...

A band of rain and thunderstorms will continue to push east
ahead of a front this evening. While much of the area should
remain VFR into tonight, temporary MVFR/IFR visibility
restrictions are likely to occur within storms.

Areas of fog may develop once skies begin to clear behind the
front overnight; however, eastward extent could be limited by
lingering clouds and a few showers. Regardless, a period of MVFR
or worse flight conditions is possible where fog or lower
ceilings materialize before dawn Tuesday. After any restrictions
improve Tuesday morning, VFR is expected to persist for the
rest of the TAF period.

Winds become light and southwesterly overnight. On Tuesday,
winds turn westerly with 15-20kt gusts possible during the
afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Duration of precipitation and extent of
fog/low stratus tonight may vary from the forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                                 TUE
UTC 1HRLY       23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10
EDT 1HRLY       19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    L    L    L    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    L    L    M    M    L    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    M    H

AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY...
No widespread IFR expected at this time.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SL/JMC
NEAR TERM...SL/20
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...20