Kirkland, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

294
FXUS66 KSEW 022231
AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
231 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and breezy winds will continue today as a warm front
pushes northwrad. A high pressure ridge will build over the
region through the remainder of the week, bringing in
unseasonably warm and dry conditions with rounds of morning fog
and low stratus. A pattern change is on tap for the weekend,
with wet and cooler conditions returning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As an upper level ridge builds northward over the western US, a
warm front will continue to lift northward across western
Washington today. Light shower activity and breezy winds will
continue to taper off throughout the afternoon and drift
northward as the frontal system lifts into British Columbia.

High pressure will continue to amplify over western Washington
on Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing for drier and warmer
conditions. However, morning fog and low stratus are likely to
develop each morning and erode for most areas by the early
afternoon. Cloudy skies will stick around on Tuesday, as a weak
system tries to approach the coast. Areas along the northwest
Olympic Peninsula and northern inland water coastlines may see a
few sprinkles tomorrow, but measurable rain accumulations are
not expected. Temperatures Tuesday will warm several degrees
under the influence of the high pressure ridge, with most areas
seeing highs in the mid to upper 50s. Much clearer conditions
on Wednesday afternoon will allow for even warmer high
temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s for most areas.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Operational forecast models and ensembles are both in good
agreement over the ridge dominating the forecast through the
remainder of the work week. This will maintain dry and warm
conditions across western Washington through at least Friday,
with potential for morning fog and low stratus and mostly clear
afternoons. Temperatures through Friday are on track to peak in
the mid to upper 50s.

A pattern change is on tap by the end of the weekend, although
some degree of uncertainty still remains over the timing. The
ridge is favored to move eastward and out of the area by the end
of the weekend as an upper level trough moves into the Pacific
Northwest. This will bring in the next round of precipitation
with snow levels lowering to near 4000 feet. After this system
moves in, an active and unsettled pattern is favored to continue
into next week.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
The cold front has progressed to the east, with scattered showers
pushing into the Cascades this afternoon. Isolated showers will
continue this evening in portions of western Washington. Widespread
MVFR to IFR cigs are leftover this afternoon, and will continue
tonight. Expect light southerly flow to continue across the
terminals into the overnight period, becoming variable overnight.
High pressure is rebuilding, but will require more clearing for fog
potential to develop (KOLM and a chance at PWT). A rebound to VFR
cigs and light flow is expected after 21Z for most terminals
tomorrow.

KSEA...MVFR at the terminal this afternoon, with southerly flow of
10-12 kts. Rain has largely moved to the east, though periods of
mist may be present throughout the evening and into the overnight
period. Cigs are expected to remain MVFR throughout the night, with
stratus likely in the morning not to get much lower than around 020.
A return to VFR under weak ENE flow (4-6 kts) is expected after 18Z.

21

&&

.MARINE...
Seas are going to remain elevated between 9-12 feet through tonight
before easing up, with the winds also decaying into the rest of the
afternoon. A decaying system well offshore could bring the seas back
up to 10-12 feet again late Tuesday night into Wednesday, which
would be the next time period with SCA potential.

As high pressure builds in through the middle of the week, expect
periods of marine fog over the next several days. Visibility
restrictions in Puget Sound and the coastal waters are possible as
fog and/or low stratus develops.

21

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Warning remains in effect for the Skokomish River in
Mason County, as recent rainfall has caused the river to rise
into minor flood stage. With little additional accumulation
expected today, the river is forecast to crest later this
evening and recede below flood stage Tuesday morning.

Additional river flooding is not expected over the next 7 days.

15

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST this afternoon for Grays
     Harbor Bar.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM PST Tuesday for Coastal Waters
     From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To
     60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville
     Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point
     Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

&&

$$