Brattleboro, Vermont 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

724
FXUS61 KALY 130525
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
1225 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring sunny, dry and cool weather on
Wednesday with less wind. Mainly dry weather will continue
Thursday through the upcoming weekend with temperatures trending
back to slightly above normal values. A cold front Sunday night
into Monday may bring our next best chance for some showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Upper level ridging and surface high pressure will be over our
region through Wednesday night bringing a period of mostly clear
and dry weather.

Winds remain elevated in some areas, especially in southern
portions of the Hudson Valley, causing temperatures to not fall
as quickly (still in the 30s). Elsewhere, temperatures are
mostly in the 20s. Still looking at overnight lows generally in
the 20s with some pockets of upper teens.

After a cold start, temperatures will rebound into the 40s for
most areas by Wednesday afternoon. Wind will be much less
compared to Tuesday with speeds generally 5-15 mph. A clear sky
for much of Wednesday night and wind trending calm will allow
for temperatures to fall into the teens to lower 20s. Some
cirrus clouds will begin to increase from west to east during
the overnight hours as the ridge breaks down and a low pressure
system approaches from the west.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Thursday looks fair and dry with light east/southeast winds
with increasing mid and high clouds from the south and west
ahead of a low pressure system approaching from the lower Great
Lakes Region and Mid Atlantic States. The blocking high will be
over NY and New England and it looks dry this day. Clouds will
thicken and lower throughout the afternoon. Highs will be in the
40s with some 30s over the higher terrain.

The storm system and short-wave dive to the south of the
forecast area Thu night. Most of the deterministic and ensemble
guidance give the region no pcpn. A few sprinkles/flurries may
be possible south and west of the Capital Region. Lows will be
in the 20s to lower 30s. Low pressure backs in from the Canadian
maritimes on Friday for a few showers/snow showers late in the
day across southern VT and the Adirondacks. It will be partly
sunny and mainly dry with temps moderating closer to seasonal
levels in the 40s to lower 50s with some upper 30s over the
southern Greens.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A large vertically stacked low pressure system will be positioned
over the Canadian Maritimes, while high pressure gradually moves
east across the Great Lakes through Sat night. This pattern will
result in continued dry conditions with seasonably cool
temperatures, along with gusty N-NW winds. While still early, peak
gusts of at least 20-30 mph appear likely at this time. Winds will
be much lighter on Sun, as high pressure moves into our area with
dry conditions persisting as well.

An upper level short wave trough approaching from the Great Lakes is
expected to quickly move across our area late Sun night into Mon.
Similar to many other of these types of systems lately, there will
be limited moisture to work with so only isolated to scattered
showers are expected. The highest probs for some measurable rainfall
are for areas north/west of Albany. High pressure looks to build in
from the west on Tue with more dry weather and breezy conditions.
Temperatures look to be slightly above normal early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06z Thursday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the 24 hour TAF period with a very dry air mass in place
and high pressure building in from the north/west. Winds will
be north-northeast 5-10 KT through today, with a few gusts of
15-20 KT possible through daybreak at KPOU. Winds should become
light/variable to calm around or after sunset.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night to Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Red Flag Warning has been extended until 6 pm Wednesday for
Berkshire County, Massachusetts and Litchfield County,
Connecticut.

Gusty north/northwest winds at 20 to 30 mph will continue into
tonight and then will gradually decrease overnight. The
north/northwest winds will be 5 to 10 mph with some gusts around
20 mph in the morning into the early afternoon especially south
and east of the Capital Region. RH values will increase to 60
to 90 percent tonight, but lower in the dry air mass to 25 to 40
percent tomorrow. A Special Weather statement will be issued
for the Catskill and Mid Hudson River Valley Zones.

The combination of the low RH and gusty winds, along with the
recent dry weather and dry fuels, will allow for the potential
for extreme fire behavior and rapid spread. Outdoor burning is
not recommended today or tomorrow.

Winds will not be gusty Thursday, although dry weather will
continue. RH values will be 30 to 40 percent range Thursday
afternoon. At this point, a wetting rainfall is not anticipated
through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ001-013.
NY...None.
MA...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for MAZ001-025.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Rathbun
NEAR TERM...Rathbun
SHORT TERM...Wasula
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...KL
FIRE WEATHER...JPV/Wasula