Garland, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

124
FXUS64 KFWD 102004
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
204 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

...New Long Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tranquil weather conditions will continue through the next 7
  days with mild temperatures.

- A weak cold front will bring a low chance for isolated showers
  to eastern North Texas on Wednesday.


&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1205 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024/
/Through Monday Afternoon/

Another quiet weather day is taking shape across North and
Central Texas with highs on their way to the mid-upper 70s. A few
clouds continue across Central and East Texas, however, no
precipitation is expected.

With zonal flow aloft, no major weather systems will be
traversing the North/Central Texas sky for a few days. Dry air
will continue to be in place tonight which should allow for
efficient radiational cooling. Temperatures overnight will bottom
out in the mid 40s to lower 50s with the coolest temperatures
expected west of I-35. Patchy fog is expected to develop once
again tonight, this time, mainly across western North Texas (west
of I-35). Any fog that does develop will temporarily reduce
visibility, therefore, make sure to drive carefully if you
experience a fog bank.

As the sun rises tomorrow, fog will begin to dissipate as daytime
heating commences. Temperatures tomorrow will be a few degrees
warmer compared to today with widespread mid to upper 70s
expected. Winds will remain out of the north/northeast, generally
below 5 knots.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Monday Night Onward/

Zonal mid-level flow across the Southern Plains will keep our
sensible weather tranquil and dry as we head into Tuesday.
However, a progressive mid-level shortwave trough will move east
on Wednesday, sending a weak cold front south. The remains of what
is currently TS Rafael will continue to meander in the Gulf of
Mexico during this time, and in response will keep more abundant
moisture confined to our south. This front is progged to move
through North and Central Texas over the day Wednesday, and with
the general lack of moisture, will be a dry FROPA for most.
However, current guidance does show a quick return of moisture
midweek due to southerly low-level and surface winds, and with
the increasing forcing for ascent from the system as a whole, may
allow for an isolated shower or two north of I-20 towards the Red
River. Have kept NBM 15-20% PoPs for this area during Wednesday
morning and afternoon to account for this low potential.
Otherwise, the front will bring northerly winds and slightly
cooler temperatures, with afternoon highs in the mid 60s to mid
70s expected on Thursday.

In the wake of the departing shortwave, upper-level ridging will
begin to build across the region over the latter half of the week,
promoting a gradual warming trend. Afternoon temperatures will
return to the 70s and 80s by next Sunday. By the end of next
weekend, rain chances will be on the increase across the region in
response to the presence of a northerly-moving warm front and
another approaching upper-level trough/surface cold front. Both
deterministic and ensemble guidance are favoring a wetter start to
next week, though exact locations and amounts are still too
uncertain to get into any kind of detail. These rain chances will
be explored in more detail in subsequent forecast issuances as it
is just beyond the scope of the 7 day public forecast.

Prater

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1205 PM CST Sun Nov 10 2024/
/18Z TAFs/

VFR and light winds continue across North and Central Texas with
just a few clouds at FL060 through the afternoon. Winds will
continue to be light out of the northwest today. As we head into
tomorrow morning, patchy fog is likely to develop northwest of the
D10 airspace. This should not result in any impacts at any North
Texas TAF sites. By mid-morning tomorrow, winds will become
northeasterly, generally below 5 knots. No significant weather is
expected through this TAF cycle.

Hernandez

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    54  73  54  73  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                50  76  50  76  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               49  73  49  70  51 /   0   0   0   0   5
Denton              48  73  48  74  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
McKinney            49  74  49  73  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              53  75  52  74  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             50  74  49  74  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
Corsicana           53  76  52  76  56 /   0   0   0   0   5
Temple              50  78  50  79  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       46  74  48  76  54 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$