Fort Worth, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

262
FXUS64 KFWD 122337
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
Issued by National Weather Service Norman OK
637 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New Short Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and storms shifting east of our area this
  evening.
- Low rain chances will continue into the weekend
  and early next week, but a warming trend will begin with highs
  in the 90s.


&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:
Most of the showers and storms have shifted east of the forecast
area with only a couple of light showers persisting in the Paris
and Athens areas early this evening. With the potential of heavy
rainfall diminished, the Flood Watch that had been in effect for
was cancelled early. We will keep some low chances of showers in
the far east this evening before these last showers dissipate or
move out.


Previous Discussion:
/Through Friday/

Overall, quiet conditions will prevail the rest of today as the
bulk of this mornings rain and storms have exited to our east. A
few lingering showers and storms may continue to impact our far
eastern counties this afternoon. Though the highest threat for
flash flooding is shifting to the east, with the continuing rain
chances the Flood Watch will remain in effect for portions of East
Texas through 7 PM. The upper level low responsible for the
active weather will continue to move very slowly east-northeast
into the Arklatex region over the next 24 hours. For tonight, low
clouds will return to the region keeping the overnight lows in the
upper 60s to low 70s.


For tomorrow morning, some of the high-res guidance shows wrap-
around moisture and weak forcing moving southward from Oklahoma
into the Red River. We added a slight chance for showers and
storms along the Red River to account for this potential, but our
thinking is that this activity should weaken as it moves into our
area. Otherwise, expect clouds to clear by late morning or early
afternoon with a few showers and storms possible across portions
of the Brazos Valley. High temperatures will climb into the low
90s west of I-35 as the clouds clear out early in the afternoon.
Areas to the east might stay in the upper 80s as clouds linger
longer over that area.

Sanchez

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 258 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025/
Update:

The upper level trough will give way to an upper ridge building
in from the west this weekend, limiting rain chances through early
next week. That said, it is MCS season and models do hint that a
decaying MCS out of Oklahoma may be possible Saturday night. If
this MCS does develop, a brief damaging wind concern could
materialize for the Red River counties.

Temperatures will peak on Tuesday with lower 90s in the southeast
to near 100 in the northwest. By mid to late week, the ridge
starts to break down, allowing for increase thunderstorm chances
and slight cooler temperatures.

OUN

Previous Discussion:
/Friday Night Onward/

A slow-moving upper trough with an enclosed low will continue
shifting northeast and away from the region this weekend as a
mid/upper ridge builds in from the west. Rain chances will hence
decrease and shift east into the eastern counties of North and
Central Texas this weekend into the early part of next week. One
exception may be Saturday night, when recent operational
deterministic guidance has indicated a complex of storms
developing in Oklahoma and pushing south through North Texas
around the east flank of the ridge. That scenario is not unusual
for June, so POPs may need to be raised for areas north of I-20
for Saturday night. If this MCS does develop, a brief damaging
wind concern could materialize for the Red River counties.

Whatever the case, temperatures climb to above-normal values late
weekend through the middle of next week. At this time it looks
like the warmest weather will occur on Tuesday, when highs will
range from the lower 90s in the southeast to near 100 in the
northwest. The ridge will break down Wednesday into next Thursday
as a shortwave moves east across the Rockies, bringing additional
storm chances along with slightly cooler temperatures mid to late
next week.

30

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 529 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025/
/00Z TAFs/

Scattered clouds around 3 to 4 kft will gradually dissipate this
evening before additional MVFR ceilings return tonight and persist
through Friday morning. With plenty of moisture still in the lower
levels, latest guidance shows a 30-50% chance of IFR ceilings
Friday morning (centered around 12Z). Afterward, conditions should
slowly improve to VFR by 16-18Z. Otherwise, south-southeast winds
around 5-10 kts will prevail through the period.

Day

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    71  90  76  92  74 /   5  20  10  10  10
Waco                69  89  74  90  73 /   0  20   0  10   5
Paris               68  86  71  87  72 /  20  20  30  30  10
Denton              69  91  74  92  73 /   5  20  10  10  10
McKinney            69  89  74  90  73 /   5  20  10  20  10
Dallas              70  91  75  92  75 /   5  20  10  10  10
Terrell             69  88  74  90  73 /   5  20  10  20   5
Corsicana           71  89  75  90  75 /   5  20   5  10   5
Temple              69  89  74  91  73 /   5  20   5  10   5
Mineral Wells       69  92  73  94  73 /   5   5   5  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$