Fort Worth, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

467
FXUS64 KFWD 021735
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1135 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog will be possible this morning across Central Texas.

- A line of strong to severe storms is expected to move across
  North and Central Texas this evening into tonight.

- Dry and breezy conditions are forecast Tuesday after the showers
  and storms move east.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 154 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Morning low clouds, along with patchy fog across Central Texas
will give way to a warm afternoon across North and Central Texas.
The ridge we had in place over the weekend will be shifting east
today, however, enough subsidence coupled with increasing
southwesterly low-level winds will drive temperatures in the mid
to upper 80s - about 15-20 degrees above seasonal average.

By the late afternoon, attention turns to a rapidly amplifying
upper trough ejecting from the Desert Southwest into the central
Plains. Strong height falls and lee cyclogenesis will tighten the
surface pressure gradient through the day, resulting in
increasingly strong southerly winds. Sustained speeds of 15-
20 mph with gusts of 25-30 mph will become common by the early
afternoon and continue through the evening hours.

With a layer of warm air aloft in place, most of North and
Central Texas should remain capped and rain-free through much of
the afternoon. The first opportunity for thunderstorm activity
will be across northwestern portions of our region late in the
afternoon as storms develop near the dryline. Initial
thunderstorm development immediately to the northwest of our
region will be the most favorable for discrete supercells given
strong deep layer shear and roughly 1500 J/kg of instability. Any
supercell during this initial stage would be capable of large
hail, damaging winds and perhaps a tornado.

As the sun begins to set, storm coverage is expected to increase
over our area as large-scale forcing for ascent arrives and
thunderstorms begin to organize into a broken line or clusters of
storms moving east. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary
concern as convection becomes increasingly linear. If portions of
the line acquire a northwest to southeast orientation, the low-
level shear vector may become more favorably oriented relative to
the convective line, supporting embedded rotating elements and
the potential for a brief QLCS tornado or two. Although large
hail cannot be ruled out, the main hail threat will be during the
initial thunderstorm development before storm mode becomes more
linear.

Current timing favors the main line of thunderstorms reaching the
I-35 corridor around 11pm tonight, with thunderstorms progressing
steadily east overnight. Locally heavy rain will accompany the
strongest storms, but the fast movement of the line of storms
should keep the threat for flash flooding low.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 154 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

The line of thunderstorms will likely be exiting the region
around 8am Tuesday as the front continues to push southeast. A
much different weather regime will develop behind the front as
drier air surges into the region. Skies will clear from west to
east with strong pressure rises expected. This should allow for
breezy winds out of the northwest through much of Tuesday
afternoon with occasional wind gusts to near 25 mph. Temperatures
will also be cooler, generally in the lower to middle 70s.

High pressure will build into the Southern Plains Tuesday night,
allowing winds to weaken and temperatures to decrease into the
40s and lower 50s by Wednesday morning. Pleasant fall weather
will continue Wednesday with abundant sunshine, low humidity and
highs mainly in the lower and middle 70s. The remainder of the
workweek should remain largely quiet. Another weather system is
expected to cross the Plains late Thursday into Friday, but the
better moisture and forcing should remain north of our region.
The main sensible impact will be a reinforcing push of cooler air,
holding highs on Friday in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

As we approach this upcoming weekend, forecast confidence
decreases as guidance continues to diverge on the evolution of
another trough approaching the Southern Plains. For now, a mostly
dry and near-seasonal temperature forecast is favored.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Southerly (170-190 deg) winds of 15-20KT with gusts to 25-35KT
will predominate through sunset. As a result, there is a low
potential for crosswind impacts at DFW`s diagonal runways and at
DAL. Brief, patchy MVFR ceilings are possible through early
afternoon at all sites as moisture transport increases low-level
cloud coverage; however, cigs should lift to VFR after 19Z.

Tonight, a broken line of thunderstorms will push through the region
from west to east, bringing a threat for lightning and strong
wind gusts to the Metroplex (05-07Z) and later to KACT (07-09Z).
In addition to gusty winds, storms that directly impact the
airports may also bring short-term reductions in ceilings and
visibility. A few hours after this line of storms passes, winds
will shift to a WNW direction, remaining around 10-15KT through
tomorrow morning.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 544 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Spotter activation may be requested late this afternoon and
evening across parts of North and Central Texas. Even if
activation is not locally requested, any reports of hazardous
weather to the National Weather Service are appreciated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    63  73  54  75 /  80  10   0   0
Waco                65  75  51  76 /  90  50   0   0
Paris               66  74  50  75 /  90  60   0   0
Denton              59  72  46  75 /  80   0   0   0
McKinney            62  73  49  74 /  90  20   0   0
Dallas              64  74  55  76 /  90  20   0   0
Terrell             65  74  50  75 /  90  50   0   0
Corsicana           67  75  53  74 /  90  70   0   0
Temple              66  76  52  76 /  90  60   0   0
Mineral Wells       57  72  49  77 /  80   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Fenske