El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
National Weather Service Forecast for:
5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
Updated: 10:25 am MDT Jul 26, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny
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Tonight
 Partly Cloudy
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Sunday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Hi 99 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 97 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
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Today
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Sunny, with a high near 99. Light east southeast wind. |
Tonight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 97. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph. |
Tuesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Southeast wind around 6 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning. |
Wednesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 96. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 98. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
128
FXUS64 KEPZ 261228
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
628 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
- Warm and mainly dry weather for Saturday.
- Moisture increases Sunday through Tuesday with more widespread
thunderstorm activity.
- The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday as a
monsoonal plume sets up, favoring western areas.
- Looking warmer and drier later next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Hot and mainly dry conditions persist for Saturday as upper-level
ridging holds in place. Far eastern areas will still have a slight
chance of storms during the afternoon with gusty outflow winds and
brief downpours possible. Otherwise, mainly clear skies prevail with
dew points mostly in the 30s. High temps will be roughly 5 degrees
above normal, reaching the upper 90s for most of the lowlands.
An inverted trough progresses through northern Mexico early next
week around the upper high over the Southeast, shifting our winds
southeasterly and increasing moisture. Sunday will see isolated to
scattered storm coverage across the area as PWs climb to around
1.25" by Sunday night (for comparison, normal is around 1.1"). Some
activity could last through Sunday night as the trough approaches
and moisture levels tick up.
Monday and Tuesday still look like the most active days of the
period with PWs peaking close to 1.5" Monday night at KELP. As has
been seen so far this monsoon season with these moisture surges, the
Euro ensemble is more bullish on PWs than the GEFS early next week
(GEFS peaks 1.3-1.4"; EPS peaks 1.5"). I tend to lean more towards
the Euro`s PWs as it has performed better and caught on earlier
compared to the GEFS. Regardless of just how much moisture we get,
western areas are more favored to see heavy rainfall Mon/Tue as the
upper high drifts further west into the Southern Plains, nudging the
moisture plume towards eastern AZ. The shortwave trough is modeled
to weaken through Monday as it reaches NW Mexico, so forcing is not
expected to be very impressive.
Depending on how far west the high goes, eastern areas could lose
out on storm chances around midweek, like what the 18z GFS is
showing. The GEFS mean has the same signal, but enough moisture to
give all areas at least a low chance of rain through midweek. The
flash flood threat diminishes after Tuesday, but lingers for areas
to the north and west. At the end of the period, both ensemble means
signal the upper high continuing to drift west over the Southern
High Plains with recycled moisture underneath it. The exact location
of the high will be crucial in determining storm coverage and flash
flood risk later next week. Temperatures stay warm for Sunday, then
cooling to slightly below normal into midweek.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with weak
convective showers and an isolated thunderstorm staying over the
Sacramento Mountains and perhaps into Hudspeth County this
afternoon and evening. Winds will be light and variable through
the day, generally less than 10 knots.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
There will be very isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm over
the Sacramento Mountains this afternoon, but for most, it`ll be a
down day in terms of monsoonal precipitation. Rather dry air has
moved into SW New Mexico, with dewpoints in the 20s and 30s. Min
RH values this afternoon will drop to the 10 to 14 percent range
across most areas west of the Tularosa Basin. Moisture will begin
to return on SE winds Sunday, especially east of the Divide,
with a further increase in moisture and thunderstorm coverage
starting on Monday. Moisture and precip coverage will tend to be
more focused west of the Rio Grande later in the week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 101 76 100 76 / 0 0 10 20
Sierra Blanca 94 67 92 67 / 10 10 20 10
Las Cruces 98 69 97 70 / 0 0 10 20
Alamogordo 96 71 95 68 / 0 0 10 10
Cloudcroft 75 53 73 50 / 10 0 30 10
Truth or Consequences 96 68 96 70 / 0 0 10 10
Silver City 90 64 92 64 / 0 0 20 30
Deming 100 68 100 71 / 0 0 10 30
Lordsburg 96 67 98 70 / 0 0 10 30
West El Paso Metro 98 76 97 75 / 0 0 10 20
Dell City 98 71 96 70 / 10 10 10 10
Fort Hancock 101 75 99 74 / 10 10 20 20
Loma Linda 93 70 91 67 / 0 0 20 10
Fabens 100 74 98 74 / 0 0 10 10
Santa Teresa 98 73 97 72 / 0 0 10 20
White Sands HQ 98 75 97 73 / 0 0 20 20
Jornada Range 96 69 96 69 / 0 0 20 20
Hatch 99 68 99 70 / 0 0 10 20
Columbus 99 72 100 73 / 0 0 0 30
Orogrande 95 70 94 69 / 0 0 20 10
Mayhill 85 58 84 55 / 10 0 30 10
Mescalero 85 58 84 55 / 10 0 30 10
Timberon 83 57 81 54 / 10 0 30 10
Winston 88 57 89 60 / 0 0 10 20
Hillsboro 95 65 95 65 / 0 0 10 30
Spaceport 96 66 96 68 / 0 0 10 20
Lake Roberts 90 57 92 60 / 0 0 20 30
Hurley 93 63 95 65 / 0 0 10 30
Cliff 96 65 99 67 / 0 0 10 20
Mule Creek 92 62 95 65 / 0 0 10 10
Faywood 93 65 93 66 / 0 0 20 30
Animas 96 68 98 70 / 0 0 10 30
Hachita 96 65 97 69 / 0 0 10 30
Antelope Wells 96 68 97 69 / 0 0 10 40
Cloverdale 91 66 93 67 / 0 0 10 40
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...99
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