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El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
National Weather Service Forecast for: 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX
Updated: 10:25 am MDT Jul 26, 2025
 
Today

Today: Sunny, with a high near 99. Light east southeast wind.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 97. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunny then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Monday

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.
Chance
T-storms

Wednesday

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Hi 99 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 97 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 93 °F

 

Today
 
Sunny, with a high near 99. Light east southeast wind.
Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 97. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Monday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Monday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph.
Tuesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Thursday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 98.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX.

Weather Forecast Discussion
128
FXUS64 KEPZ 261228
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
628 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025

...New AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025

 - Warm and mainly dry weather for Saturday.

 - Moisture increases Sunday through Tuesday with more widespread
   thunderstorm activity.

 - The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday as a
   monsoonal plume sets up, favoring western areas.

-  Looking warmer and drier later next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Hot and mainly dry conditions persist for Saturday as upper-level
ridging holds in place. Far eastern areas will still have a slight
chance of storms during the afternoon with gusty outflow winds and
brief downpours possible. Otherwise, mainly clear skies prevail with
dew points mostly in the 30s. High temps will be roughly 5 degrees
above normal, reaching the upper 90s for most of the lowlands.

An inverted trough progresses through northern Mexico early next
week around the upper high over the Southeast, shifting our winds
southeasterly and increasing moisture. Sunday will see isolated to
scattered storm coverage across the area as PWs climb to around
1.25" by Sunday night (for comparison, normal is around 1.1"). Some
activity could last through Sunday night as the trough approaches
and moisture levels tick up.

Monday and Tuesday still look like the most active days of the
period with PWs peaking close to 1.5" Monday night at KELP. As has
been seen so far this monsoon season with these moisture surges, the
Euro ensemble is more bullish on PWs than the GEFS early next week
(GEFS peaks 1.3-1.4"; EPS peaks 1.5"). I tend to lean more towards
the Euro`s PWs as it has performed better and caught on earlier
compared to the GEFS. Regardless of just how much moisture we get,
western areas are more favored to see heavy rainfall Mon/Tue as the
upper high drifts further west into the Southern Plains, nudging the
moisture plume towards eastern AZ. The shortwave trough is modeled
to weaken through Monday as it reaches NW Mexico, so forcing is not
expected to be very impressive.

Depending on how far west the high goes, eastern areas could lose
out on storm chances around midweek, like what the 18z GFS is
showing. The GEFS mean has the same signal, but enough moisture to
give all areas at least a low chance of rain through midweek. The
flash flood threat diminishes after Tuesday, but lingers for areas
to the north and west. At the end of the period, both ensemble means
signal the upper high continuing to drift west over the Southern
High Plains with recycled moisture underneath it. The exact location
of the high will be crucial in determining storm coverage and flash
flood risk later next week. Temperatures stay warm for Sunday, then
cooling to slightly below normal into midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with weak
convective showers and an isolated thunderstorm staying over the
Sacramento Mountains and perhaps into Hudspeth County this
afternoon and evening. Winds will be light and variable through
the day, generally less than 10 knots.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 626 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025

There will be very isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm over
the Sacramento Mountains this afternoon, but for most, it`ll be a
down day in terms of monsoonal precipitation. Rather dry air has
moved into SW New Mexico, with dewpoints in the 20s and 30s. Min
RH values this afternoon will drop to the 10 to 14 percent range
across most areas west of the Tularosa Basin. Moisture will begin
to return on SE winds Sunday, especially east of the Divide,
with a further increase in moisture and thunderstorm coverage
starting on Monday. Moisture and precip coverage will tend to be
more focused west of the Rio Grande later in the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 101  76 100  76 /   0   0  10  20
Sierra Blanca            94  67  92  67 /  10  10  20  10
Las Cruces               98  69  97  70 /   0   0  10  20
Alamogordo               96  71  95  68 /   0   0  10  10
Cloudcroft               75  53  73  50 /  10   0  30  10
Truth or Consequences    96  68  96  70 /   0   0  10  10
Silver City              90  64  92  64 /   0   0  20  30
Deming                  100  68 100  71 /   0   0  10  30
Lordsburg                96  67  98  70 /   0   0  10  30
West El Paso Metro       98  76  97  75 /   0   0  10  20
Dell City                98  71  96  70 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Hancock            101  75  99  74 /  10  10  20  20
Loma Linda               93  70  91  67 /   0   0  20  10
Fabens                  100  74  98  74 /   0   0  10  10
Santa Teresa             98  73  97  72 /   0   0  10  20
White Sands HQ           98  75  97  73 /   0   0  20  20
Jornada Range            96  69  96  69 /   0   0  20  20
Hatch                    99  68  99  70 /   0   0  10  20
Columbus                 99  72 100  73 /   0   0   0  30
Orogrande                95  70  94  69 /   0   0  20  10
Mayhill                  85  58  84  55 /  10   0  30  10
Mescalero                85  58  84  55 /  10   0  30  10
Timberon                 83  57  81  54 /  10   0  30  10
Winston                  88  57  89  60 /   0   0  10  20
Hillsboro                95  65  95  65 /   0   0  10  30
Spaceport                96  66  96  68 /   0   0  10  20
Lake Roberts             90  57  92  60 /   0   0  20  30
Hurley                   93  63  95  65 /   0   0  10  30
Cliff                    96  65  99  67 /   0   0  10  20
Mule Creek               92  62  95  65 /   0   0  10  10
Faywood                  93  65  93  66 /   0   0  20  30
Animas                   96  68  98  70 /   0   0  10  30
Hachita                  96  65  97  69 /   0   0  10  30
Antelope Wells           96  68  97  69 /   0   0  10  40
Cloverdale               91  66  93  67 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...99
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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