El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

513
FXUS64 KEPZ 021731
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1131 AM MDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1129 AM MDT Wed Apr 2 2025

 - Breezy conditions today with blowing dust and critical fire
   danger over the lowlands

 - Light lowland rain and modest mountain snow chances Friday and
   Saturday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 AM MDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Our secondary dose of breezy to windy conditions resumes again
this afternoon. Thankfully wind speeds won`t be as strong as what
we saw yesterday, expect winds to max out mid to late afternoon
but speeds will generally be 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH.
Blowing dust will be a concern again today for much of the desert
lowland areas. Wind directions will be WSW and temperatures will
be around 10 degrees cooler than yesterday. This, and the slower
wind speeds, should help prevent the severity of the dust. Still
expect dust issues but should be less severe than what we saw
yesterday. Highest confidence for dust issues today will be El
Paso and Hudspeth counties with the worst of the dust being near
downtown El Paso and the lower valley as well as the I-10 corridor
in Hudspeth county. Hi-res models are suggesting some light rain
showers this afternoon in the Sacramento Mtns but accumulations
aren`t expected to add up to hardly anything.

By Friday, lowland rain and mountain snow chances begin for the
area and will persist through Saturday ending by Sunday. Best
chances for lowland rain will be along and east of the Rio Grande.
Mountain snow showers expected as well with the bulk of
accumulating snow in the Sacramento Mtns being Saturday morning.
Snow totals have decreased since last night with new forecasted
snow totals of 2-5". Otherwise, cooler than normal temperatures
and afternoon breeziness can be expected each day Thursday through
early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1129 AM MDT Wed Apr 2 2025

VFR conditions are expected for most of the period, but there is a
moderate chance for vis reductions because of BLDU. Present TAFs
show 3SM for all but TCS, but denser dust is certainly a
possibility. Amendments may be needed. Winds will become breezy
again this afternoon topping out around 25 knots with gusts up to
35 knot. Skies will feature variable mid (100-150) and high
clouds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 246 AM MDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Critical fire danger this afternoon across much of the desert
lowlands due to breezy west southwest 20 foot winds of 15-25 MPH
and near critical to critical min RHs (12-18%). Winds stay
somewhat breezy overnight but will slowly diminish. Afternoon
breeziness of 10-20 MPH can be expected each day Thursday through
early next week. A large portion of the desert lowlands will see
critical min RHs tomorrow but winds stay low enough to keep the
fire threat elevated. Increasing moisture and lowland
rain/mountain snow chances expected Friday which will increase
min RHs to well above critical thresholds Friday, but along and
west of the Rio Grande will continue to see critical min RHs. The
entire area stays out of critical RH territory throughout the
weekend but it makes a return as soon as Monday.

Ventilation rates will be very good to excellent today through
Friday becoming good to very good over the weekend and early next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  71  43  66  46 /   0   0  10  50
Sierra Blanca            71  41  65  43 /   0   0  10  40
Las Cruces               65  31  63  38 /  10   0   0  40
Alamogordo               64  33  63  40 /  20  10   0  50
Cloudcroft               40  22  41  26 /  30   0   0  50
Truth or Consequences    62  32  62  36 /  10   0   0  20
Silver City              55  26  54  30 /  10   0   0  10
Deming                   66  30  65  33 /  10   0   0  20
Lordsburg                62  29  61  30 /  10  10   0   0
West El Paso Metro       68  42  65  48 /  10   0  10  50
Dell City                71  41  67  43 /  10  10  10  50
Fort Hancock             77  43  70  45 /  10  10  10  40
Loma Linda               62  38  59  42 /  10  10  10  50
Fabens                   72  41  67  46 /  10  10  10  50
Santa Teresa             67  37  64  43 /  10   0  10  50
White Sands HQ           66  41  63  46 /  10   0  10  40
Jornada Range            64  32  64  38 /  10   0   0  40
Hatch                    67  32  65  34 /  10   0   0  30
Columbus                 68  36  67  38 /  10   0  10  20
Orogrande                64  36  63  43 /  20  10  10  50
Mayhill                  53  28  53  31 /  30   0  10  60
Mescalero                51  25  51  29 /  30   0   0  50
Timberon                 51  23  51  27 /  30  10  10  50
Winston                  54  18  54  22 /  10   0   0  10
Hillsboro                61  28  60  31 /  10   0   0  20
Spaceport                63  28  63  32 /  10   0   0  30
Lake Roberts             54  23  53  27 /  10   0   0  10
Hurley                   58  23  57  27 /  10   0   0  10
Cliff                    61  25  61  28 /  10  10   0   0
Mule Creek               55  25  55  30 /  10   0   0   0
Faywood                  58  28  57  32 /  10   0   0  10
Animas                   64  30  64  31 /  10   0   0   0
Hachita                  64  29  64  31 /   0   0   0  10
Antelope Wells           64  31  65  32 /  10  10  10  10
Cloverdale               57  30  58  32 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Blowing Dust Advisory until 10 PM MDT this evening for
     Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern Hudspeth
     Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El
     Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern
     Hudspeth County-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
     Western El Paso County.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Texas Fire
     Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- Texas Fire Weather Zone
     056 Hudspeth County.

NM...Blowing Dust Advisory until 10 PM MDT this evening for East
     Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo-Northern Dona Ana County-
     Otero Mesa-Southeast Tularosa Basin-Southern Dona Ana
     County/Mesilla Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
     Valley-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-West Central Tularosa
     Basin/White Sands.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for South Central
     Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- Southwest
     Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ.

&&

$$

FORECASTER...34-Brown