Denton, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

223
FXUS64 KFWD 051746
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1246 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - A few days of near or below normal temperatures can be expected
   through the middle of the week.

 - Thunderstorm chances return by the end of the week and
   continue into next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday Night)
Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Overall, fairly tranquil weather conditions are ongoing across
North and Central Texas in the wake of yesterday`s cold front. A
compact shortwave is currently moving across South Texas,
supplying some forcing for ascent for our Central Texas counties.
Although precipitation is being picked up by radar, the lowest
12,000 feet of the atmosphere are too dry to support
precipitation. Therefore, most, if not all of the precipitation
falling from the clouds will evaporate before reaching the ground.

The higher cloud cover in Central Texas will keep afternoon
temperatures in the mid 60s, meanwhile, the rest of the region
will be in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. Tonight,
temperatures will dip into the 40s once again.

The low-level ridging to our north will keep easterly flow across
North and Central Texas, resulting in no major weather changes
going into tomorrow. Afternoon highs on Monday will be in the
lower 70s with mostly sunny skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

The mid-level weather pattern will begin getting more active
Tuesday into Wednesday as zonal flow aloft drives shortwaves
across the Southern Plains. The persistent low-level riding will
keep dry air in place, preventing widespread precipitation from
developing. Given some mid-level moisture will be moving through,
expect increased cloud cover as well as a few sprinkles Tuesday
night through Wednesday.

As the aforementioned ridge moves east, low-level moisture will
begin streaming into our region late Wednesday into Thursday.
Sufficient moisture may be in place for a few sprinkles or light
rain showers across the Brazos Valley Thursday evening and
overnight. By Friday, a West Coast mid-level trough will begin to
send impulses across the region, supplying periodic opportunities
for showers and thunderstorms. A dryline is expected to develop
across West Texas, which may become the focus for strong to
severe thunderstorms west of our region. There will also be a
potential for non-dryline related thunderstorm activity given the
passing shortwaves and abundant moisture. It is still too early
to confidently pin down timing and threats given the daily
opportunities for thunderstorms. These specifics should begin to
clear up over the next few days as the upper trough over the
Pacific approaches the CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1131 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions are ongoing across North and Central Texas,
however, a broken deck of mid-level cloud cover has moved over much
of Central Texas. Although some precipitation is falling from the
clouds in Central Texas, much of this is not reaching the ground.
For North Texas, clear to mostly clear skies will persist through
the rest of the day.

The gusty afternoon winds will settle closer to 7-9 kts after
sunset, leaving behind continued northeasterly winds and VFR
skies. Tomorrow, winds will begin out of the northeast but
gradually become easterly by the early afternoon. Wind speeds will
stay in the 5-8 kts range with no significant wind gusts expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    49  73  51  74 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                47  71  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               44  70  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              44  72  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            45  72  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              50  73  51  73 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             46  71  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           48  74  49  75 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              48  73  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       44  73  46  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez