Corpus Christi, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

122
FXUS64 KCRP 221112
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
512 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

Quiet weather persists today, though southeasterly flow will
continue to bring a gradual increase in surface moisture. We`l see
an increase in clouds today with high temperatures remaining in
the lower to mid 70s. Fog potential tonight is low with increasing
moisture above the surface bringing more of a stratus profile
than fog. Can rule out some patchy fog inland though with light
winds and high RH. By early Monday morning, moisture flux
convergence is in a range that would support a few streamer
showers near the coast. Non-zero cape also supports this. Will
stick with under 20 Pops for now, but wouldn`t be surprised to
see see a few showers or sprinkles Monday morning. Daytime highs
increase back into the upper 70s and lower 80s or Monday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

Key Messages:

- Low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
Christmas Eve into Early Christmas Day, mainly east, and again
Thursday through next weekend.

A parade of mid-level disturbances can be expected through the
Extended range, however, the bulk of the energy is forecast to stay
north of the area. Now, the associated frontal boundary to the first
passing system and previously forecast to arrive sometime Christmas
morning, has been backtracked on latest guidance runs. Models are
now having the boundary meander about half way through the CWA
through late week into next weekend. Uncertainty in regards to this
boundary and the mid-level systems remains fairly high at this time.
Therefore, have sided with the NBM in regards to temperatures,
dewpoints and wind forecast until better agreement is reached.
Having said that, there still will be enough moisture, instability
and lift for some showers and thunderstorms to affect the area. Rain
chances will increase to around 20-40% on Christmas Eve, and again
during the day on Thursday. Slight rain chances will persist into
the weekend, with the highest probabilities expected over the
Victoria Crossroads area. In regards to the temperatures, highs will
generally range between the mid 70s to low 80s, with overnight lows
in the low 50s to mid 60s range.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 507 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

Expect an increase in clouds today but mostly in the VFR levels.
Will likely see a period of MVFR CIGS for west sites this morning
though. Think these CIGS should increase to above 3kft in the
afternoon. Could see some MVFR CIGS at VCT toward the end of the
period, but think cloud cover will limit fog potential for all
sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 238 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

Weak to moderate easterly flow will gradually veer to the
southeast today. The flow may become moderate tonight across the
offshore waters. Weak to moderate onshore flow is generally
expected over the waters next week becoming variable briefly in
response to an approaching front Christmas Day. Small Craft
Exercise Caution conditions are expected with the front. Shower
and thunderstorm chances increase to around 40-65% over portions
of the waters Tuesday into Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    72  62  79  62 /   0   0  10   0
Victoria          72  57  79  60 /   0   0  10   0
Laredo            72  62  80  62 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             74  59  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          71  63  75  64 /   0   0  10   0
Cotulla           74  61  80  61 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        73  60  80  60 /   0   0  10   0
Navy Corpus       70  65  73  66 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PH/83
LONG TERM....ANM/88
AVIATION...PH/83