Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

873
FXUS64 KAMA 222329
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
529 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1208 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

- Elevated to near critical fire weather remains possible through
  out the holiday week with best chances seen today and again on
  Christmas Day.

- Temperatures are expected to stay above normal for the week
  with chances at breaking records on Christmas Day.

- Hints of a possible system moving through this coming weekend
  have seen a 10 to 20% chance of seeing precipitation starting
  Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1208 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Model agreement continues to see the building of an upper-level
high pressure system to our south. This placement has see the
Panhandles dry out and warm up quite a bit with current indication
not see these conditions let up past Christmas Day. For today in
particular, present observations are seeing a lee-side low
currently holding over the southern portions of the Front Range.
This low is currently allowing for down-sloping winds to push
across the Panhandles, which, in turn, has enhanced our dry and
warm conditions for the day. On the dry side of the equation, the
Western Panhandles are expected to see relative humidity values
drop below 15%. Add to this will be some breezy southwesterly
winds that when combined with these dry conditions can see
elevated to near-critical fire weather this afternoon. Otherwise,
concerns for today begin to focus on the well above normal
temperatures, with afternoon highs potentially in the upper 70s to
mid 80s. With temperature like these expected today, then it is
more likely than not that we will see multiple record highs
broken. Similar conditions look to follow Tuesday, albeit with
little less warmth and winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1208 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Present model agreement is not expecting the current upper-level
high pressure system to move off through the holiday week. This
hold out from the high is likely to keep the Panhandles dry and
warm with chances of a White Christmas almost non-existent.
Instead look for multiple days of afternoon highs in the mid to
upper 70s, with Christmas Day even having a shot at breaking
records once more. Unfortunately with the dry and warm conditions
present, all the Panhandles need is a bit of wind to trigger fire
weather concerns for this week. At this time, Christmas day its
self is looking to be our best candidate, with current models
suggesting some breezy to gusty conditions thanks to another down-
sloping set up. Otherwise, a shift in this dull pattern may be on
the horizon with a few models seeing a trough push through this
weekend. However, there is still a lot of uncertainty present with
latest guidance only giving a 10 to 20% chance of precipitation
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 457 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

VFR conditions and light winds at all terminals and across the
panhandles for the next 24 hours.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...98