Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

192
FXUS64 KAMA 240530
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1130 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

- Elevated fire weather conditions for Wednesday through the end
  of the week due to breezy winds and dry conditions.

- Well above average high temperatures, and potentially record
  breaking highs, are forecast through the beginning of this
  upcoming weekend.

- Cooler temperatures and very low chances for precipitation are
  forecast for the later half of this weekend into early next
  week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

A ridge of high pressure remains across the southern plains for
the couple of days. Even then, the panhandles will be influenced
a little by the large scale trough off to the west. This will
mainly manifest in a tighter pressure gradient across the southern
plains for both today and Thursday. This gradient will be the
driving force that will cause breezy and gusty southwest winds for
both days. Under the ridge the panhandles will continue to bake
with dry and sunny conditions. Both the southwest downsloping
winds and the ambient heating of the ridge will combine to cause
far above normal temperatures for both today and Thursday. To put
this into context the high temperatures will be upwards of 25 to
30 degree above normal and near or even surpassing daily records
for both days. So instead of white Christmas the panhandles will
have an early summer day instead. Since conditions are expected to
be both windy and dry fire weather is a concern for both days.
Stay fire safe for the holidays and give our firefighters a break.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

There is a high chance that the ridge will weaken but still
remain across the southern plains until Saturday. The weakening of
the ridge will cede increasing influence to the large scale
trough over the western CONUS. What this means for the panhandles
is that the dry weather conditions will continue through Saturday.
The pressure gradient over the southern plains will have a high
chance of remaining tight. This will continues the breezy and
gusty winds for Friday and Saturday. The ridge and the winds will
keep the temperatures well above normal for Friday and Saturday
but not to the same degree as Wednesday and Thursday. The dry and
windy conditions will also keep fire weather a concern for the
rest of the week.

Sunday there is a high chance that a weather system will impact
the southern plains. The most likely outcome to this systems
passage is a substantial drop in the temperatures. This has the
potential to finally drop the temperatures to below seasonable
levels marking the return of winter days. What remains uncertain
is the prospect for moisture to move across the panhandles with
this weather system. Little to no moisture with the panhandles
being dry remains the most likely solution for this weather
system. Still there is a very low chance that enough moisture will
filter across the panhandles to cause some perception.

Following this there is building confidence that another ridge
builds back across the southern plains. If this comes to fruition
then even more above normal temperatures are in store for the
panhandles.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

VFR conditions at all terminals and across the panhandles for the
next 24 hours. The winds will be weak today into tonight before
becoming southwesterly and gusty late Wednesday morning.
&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...98