Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

580
FXUS64 KAMA 160511
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1211 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

- Cold wind chills in the teens and single digits are expected to
  be present going into this morning.

- Warming trend will look to follow with potential for record
  highs late next week with elevated fire weather conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Post frontal surface high winds are expected to calm to below 10
mph overnight going into the morning. Thanks to continuing CAA
overnight, H85 temperatures are progged to drop to -4 to
-7 degrees C by morning. The CAA along with calm winds and
 relatively clear skies should allow temperatures to drop into the
 mid to upper teens, with maybe some low 20s in the southeastern
 TX Panhandle by sunrise. The combined Panhandles will maintain a
 N to NW flow aloft through the day today, with ridging to the
 west. Near the surface H85 temperatures should rebound to near 2
 degrees C in the east and 6 to 7 degrees C in the west by sunset
 tonight. This may allow for late afternoon temperatures to warm
 into the lower 50s. Surface winds are progged to remain light and
 back to the southwest by the evening. Southerly surface winds
 along with ridging building in aloft tonight, should allow highs
 tomorrow to warm by about 20 degrees. Afternoon temperatures are
 progged to be in the 70s for Tue.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Upper level ridging is expected to continue to build through mid
week into the weekend with no rain in sight. The main story will
be temperatures that are progged well above normal, even
approaching record highs. Much of the area is expected to see
afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s Fri and Sat as upper level
ridging dominates, and H85 temperatures approach 27 to 29 degrees
C at the end of the week. Also, need to note that there seems to
be several bias corrected members in the NBM weighing values
higher than many of the raw models. Therefore, temperatures may
come in a couple to three degrees cooler than whats in the
forecast. Depending on the timing of the next cold front late Sat
into Sun, there may still be a large bust potential for
temperatures in the north Sat afternoon. Otherwise temperatures
might hit the lower 90s Panhandles wide on Sat. The Panhandles
should see temperatures back off a bit Sunday after this next cold
front sometime either late Sat or early Sun.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period with winds
dropping off to around 10 kts or less, at least through 18Z. Winds
are expected to gradually move from the north back to the west,
eventually becoming southwest late in the period. Skies should
remain mostly clear with maybe a few to scattered high clouds.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...03