Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

056
FXUS64 KAMA 200559
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1159 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

Unusually warm temperatures are still expected across the
southern Texas Panhandle. Impacts strictly due to temperatures are
expected to remain limited at this time.

Gusty westerly wind conditions early this morning wind become
breezy and northerly later in the morning and into the early
afternoon. This may affect some outdoor activities.

Expect well above normal temperatures to continue through next
week. Christmas this year will be warm and dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

A strong low level jet has set up over the High Plains and has
lead to strong wind gusts tonight across the central and southern
Texas Panhandle. Winds have decoupled here in Amarillo and
surrounding sites, but further north surface winds still remain
light. So far, only the southern zones of our CWA have seen the
winds aloft mix down. Low level wind shear will still be prevalent
across the north, as the 45-55 kt 850 mb jet continues tonight
over the region. Morning lows should see a substantial increase
given the windy conditions during the overnight period.
Temperatures have been increased to the 40`s and 50`s to reflect
the changes this morning.

Later this afternoon, the question remains on whether or not our
climate sites could break their records today. The current trend
of the cold front would suggest otherwise, as it`s speed has
increased amongst new 00Z guidance. The front may even be through
the whole CWA before noon. That said, since low temperatures
tonight should be warmer than originally anticipated,
temperatures today will have an easier time climbing into the 70`s
in the southern Texas Panhandle. This is especially true if
surface winds can become light after the passing of the LLJ and
before the cold front arrives. Though we have a short window to do
it, we cannot rule out any climate site breaking a record today.
Fire weather conditions today should be a lower concern due to the
mismatch of our key elements lining up. See the Fire Weather
Planning Forecast (FWFAMA) discussion for further details.

On Sunday, more benign weather conditions will settle in. High
temperatures will return to the 50`s for much of the area. Morning
lows will also revisit the 20`s range for the first time in a
while. Keep in mind that our average low for this time of year is
supposed to range in the low to mid 20`s. While it will feel
closer to normal for December, highs across the combined
Panhandles are still expected to be above average, only slightly
higher than normal this time around. Wind speeds for the day
should remain light throughout the FA.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

A stout upper level ridge is progged to build over much of TX and
Mexico Monday, and is progged to impact the combined Panhandles
through the extended. This means abnormally warm temperatures with
afternoon highs well into the mid 70s. To include Christmas Day.
Some record high temperatures will be in danger of being broken as
well. Along with the abnormally warm temperatures, the lack of
moisture and the nature of the season means pretty low RH values.
There are no signs of any strong winds. However, breezy winds will
be possible, and combine that with dry conditions, can expect
multiple days of at least elevated fire weather conditions.

NBM probs give Amarillo a 93% chance of breaking the Christmas
record high. The probability to break the record warm low is also
high, around 80%. The record afternoon high for Christmas Day in
Amarillo is 73, set in 1979. Records for Amarillo dates back to
1892. The current forecast has the afternoon high reaching 76
degrees this coming Christmas Day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Dec 19 2025

VFR conditions will continue to prevail through the 06Z TAF
period. Gusty winds have manifest at KAMA. Speeds up to 35 kts
have been achieved so far, but they may still get up to 40 kts
tonight. Per the current AWW details: Wind speeds of 40 kts or
greater will occur intermittently now through 12Z. Expect gusts
between 25-35 kts to be more dominant tonight. For KDHT and KGUY,
Surface winds shall remain breezy, but the low level jet will
still be overhead of the terminals. Mentions of LLWS in the TAFs
continue and won`t expire until the late morning, likely around
17Z.

Also this morning, winds at the surface will become northerly
alongside a passing cold front. While wind speeds will be weaker,
expect breezy conditions this afternoon at all sites. Winds will
finally decrease and become light by the evening.

Rangel

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....36
AVIATION...55