Hendersonville, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

194
FXUS64 KOHX 220517
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1217 AM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1215 AM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

- Dangerous heat is expected over the next several days as heat
  index values reach into the triple digits each afternoon.

- Rain chances will remain low this week with just isolated pop-up
  thunderstorms. Any thunderstorm that does develop will have the
  potential to cause heavy rain and brief gusty winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday Night)
Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

The heat is still the main talking point over the next several days
with strong high pressure remaining in the area. Today`s
temperatures warmed up into the mid-90s with Nashville reaching a
toasty 97 degrees - the warmest reading of the year so far. Expect
similar high temperatures again Sunday and Monday, and with the
humidity, heat indices will be even hotter as they reach into the
triple digits. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for our western
counties through Sunday where heat index values will be highest at
100-105 degrees. Regardless, it will be hot everywhere over the
next several days so stay hydrated and seek breaks in the AC if
you have outdoor plans.

Otherwise, as is always typical on hot, humid summer days, there
does remain a low (10-20%) chance for pop-up afternoon
thunderstorms. Despite strong high pressure, there remains abundant
instability and enough moisture to allow for hit-and-miss
thunderstorms to develop. Storms will be dirunally-driven so any
storms that do develop will diminish by sunset. And any storm will
be capable of heavy rain, lightning, and brief gusty winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

Heat remains the primary concern in the extended forecast as a large
area of high pressure remains in place across the eastern US.
Already hot temperatures will be gradually increasing each day as
the center of the high shifts to be more over TN by Wednesday and
into Thursday. Current forecast has the high temperature at
Nashville on Wednesday and Thursday reaching 98 degrees, and
model guidance even shows a ~45% chance that the high reaches 100.
Of course, regardless of the reading, it`ll feel like the triple
digits thanks to the heat index values. The forecast keeps the
very low rain chances in the forecast. Most of the area will
remain dry through this time period.

Temperatures back off ever so slightly next weekend as the center of
the high is displaced south. This opens the door to more moisture
moving into the area which in turn increases are rain chances
heading into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

VFR conditions will persist this taf cycle with perhaps the
exception of SRB. Relative humidity values there are already at
100% so some patchy dense fog development is likely overnight.
Winds will remain southerly and light through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      94  75  96  76 /  10   0  20   0
Clarksville    94  74  94  75 /  10   0  20   0
Crossville     88  68  89  69 /  20  10  20   0
Columbia       92  73  93  72 /  20   0  20   0
Cookeville     89  71  90  71 /  20   0  20   0
Jamestown      89  69  90  69 /  20  10  20   0
Lawrenceburg   91  71  92  72 /  20   0  20   0
Murfreesboro   94  73  95  73 /  20   0  20   0
Waverly        94  73  93  73 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TNZ005-006-023>025-
056>058-093-094.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Baggett