Bartlett, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

983
FXUS64 KMEG 090226
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
926 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 913 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

A quiet night across the Mid-South at this hour. Temperatures have
fallen into the mid 50s and lower 60s under clear skies this
evening. A chilly night is on tap with lows falling into the 40s
across much of west Tennessee and eastern Arkansas with lower 50s
over north Mississippi.

All eyes remain on the Gulf of Mexico this evening as Hurricane
Milton continues its northeast track through the Gulf as a
powerful category 5 hurricane. The latest National Hurricane
Center forecast continues to call for some weakening to occur as
it interacts with upper level shear tomorrow. Milton will reach
the west coast of Florida tomorrow night or just over 24 hours
from now and make landfall sometime after midnight near Tampa Bay,
Florida.

Our forecast remains on track with no big changes needed at this
time.

AC3

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 230 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the
weekend as high pressure builds into the Mid-South. A dry cold
front is forecast to move through the region between Sunday and
Monday and will bring much cooler temperatures to start the work
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Early afternoon water vapor analysis depicts that the Mid-South
remains in a northwest flow regime at this hour, flanked by a
ridge over the central US and a trough over the northeastern US.
Warm and dry conditions are expected to prevail through the
weekend, as ridging continues to build into the region.

A breakdown of this pattern looks to occur as early as Sunday, as
mid-level heights begin to fall as an upper level trough and
associated dry cold front over the northern Plains dives
southeastward toward the Mid-South. The front will move through
the region between Sunday and Monday, bringing much cooler
temperatures to start next week with high temperatures in the 60s
and low temperatures reaching near 40 degrees by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

VFR conditions continue to prevail with northeasterly winds
between 5-10 kts.

DNM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JPR
AVIATION...DNM