Columbia, South Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Columbia SC
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Columbia SC
Issued by: National Weather Service Columbia, SC |
Updated: 1:56 pm EDT Jun 10, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Thursday
 Chance T-storms then T-storms Likely
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Thursday Night
 T-storms Likely then Chance Showers
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Friday
 Chance Showers then T-storms Likely
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Friday Night
 T-storms Likely
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Saturday
 Partly Sunny then T-storms Likely
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Hi 84 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
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This Afternoon
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday
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A chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Monday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Monday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Columbia SC.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
223
FXUS62 KCAE 101915
AFDCAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
315 PM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Overcast skies will give way to a mix of sun and clouds from
west to east this afternoon. A few showers or thunderstorms will
be possible later this afternoon and into the evening hours as a
weak frontal boundary moves through the area. The region will
then begin to transition to a more summerlike pattern, with less
organized and more typical pulse convection through the
remainder of the week and into next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Key Message(s):
- Overcast skies clear from west to east giving way to partial
sunshine.
- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will move in
from the west in the wake of these clouds later this
afternoon and evening. A few thunderstorms may become strong
to severe.
Afternoon satellite imagery shows the thick clouds that plagued
the FA today are finally clearing out from west to east, giving
way to scattered cumulus. Temperatures should warm up quickly
once partial clearing begins, but opted to lower maximum
temperatures down into the mid-80s to account for the persistent
cloud cover thus far today. The environment behind the
cloudiness remains favorable for convective development as seen
over Northern Georgia and parts of the Upstate and CAPE values
are increasing into the 1000 to 2000 J/kg range as shown in the
SPC Mesoanalysis. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase
during the next few hours, but they are not expected to reach
the same level of severity we have seen over the last few days.
Having said that, the SPC maintains a Marginal (1/5) risk for
severe weather today with damaging wind gusts as the primary
hazard. Given the recent bouts of moderate to heavy rainfall,
flash flooding will also be a concern and the WPC also has a
Marginal (1/4) risk for Excessive Rainfall. Convection should
diminish with the loss of daytime heating, with any lingering
activity departing the CWA before daybreak. Temperatures tonight
fall into the upper 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Key Message(s):
- Scattered afternoon convection
Wednesday: A weak cold front will remain stalled across the forecast
area Wednesday providing focus for convective initiation. In the
upper levels of the atmosphere, a mid-level wave will be exiting the
coast with some weak ageostrophic convergence overhead, but taking a
look at forecast soundings reveals the atmosphere still
destabilizing southeast of the front. Given this, have kept chance
PoPs in the forecast mainly south and east of Augusta and Columbia.
Temperatures will remain seasonably warm near 90 degrees.
Thursday: The stationary front will lift north during the day with a
more summertime/ diurnal driven pattern returning to the region. Mid-
level heights begin to rise to near 590 dam as ridging builds in,
but instability remains across the region. As such, more widespread
convection is forecast Thursday. Expect high temperatures again near
90 degrees.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Key Message(s):
- Typical summertime pattern will continue with afternoon showers
and thunderstorms
An upper level ridge will remain positioned over the western
Atlantic, with the western periphery extending into the southeastern
states. A similar pattern will exist at the surface, with high
pressure extending into the region from the east. Moisture will
remain prevalent across the region, with model soundings showing
PWAT values approaching 2.0". With a lack of significant upper level
forcing showers and thunderstorms will likely be diurnally driven,
mainly focused along outflow boundaries and the inland progressing
sea breeze. Overall the severe threat remains low, however a strong
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. Both high and low temperatures
will remain near normal through the period.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR Conditions Return This Afternoon. Showers and Thunderstorms
Possible at all Terminals Later Today....
Afternoon satellite imagery shows the low ceilings that plagued
the FA today are finally clearing out from west to east, giving
way to scattered cumulus. A TEMPO for MVFR ceilings continues
for another hour at CAE/CUB/OGB as conditions improve at those
locations. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase during
the next few hours so a PROB30 for thunderstorms was added to
all TAF sites with this update. Any thunderstorms that develop
should diminish with the loss of daytime heating and come to an
end late this evening. Beyond this, guidance suggests a return
to the low ceilings towards daybreak but it is unclear if this
will be stratus, fog, or a mix of both. The weaker low-level
jet towards daybreak could support areas of fog so added both
to a TEMPO at all terminals. Any low ceilings should improve
after daybreak, giving way to scattered cumulus by the end of
the current TAF period.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Brief flight restrictions are
possible each day with typical summertime thunderstorms
throughout the week.
&&
.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.
&&
$$
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