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Harrisburg, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Harrisburg PA
National Weather Service Forecast for: Harrisburg PA
Issued by: National Weather Service State College, PA
Updated: 4:28 am EST Nov 23, 2024
 
Today

Today: Increasing clouds, with a high near 52. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Increasing
Clouds
Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph.
Partly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Showers
Likely
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Mostly Sunny
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Mostly Clear
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.
Mostly Sunny
Hi 52 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 58 °F Lo 46 °F Hi 57 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 47 °F

 

Today
 
Increasing clouds, with a high near 52. Northwest wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. West wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. West wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph.
Monday Night
 
Showers likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Thanksgiving Day
 
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday
 
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Harrisburg PA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
846
FXUS61 KCTP 230417
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1117 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
* Breezy with showers over the western Alleghenies to start the
  weekend, followed by improving conditions on Sunday
* Windy with rain and snow showers Monday night into Tuesday;
  another potential bout of winter weather possible for
  Thanksgiving Day

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
04Z radar loop shows the back edge of the steady precipitation
associated with TROWAL/frontogenetic forcing is now exiting
Southern Somerset County. A few light rain/snow showers remain
over the area late this evening associated with low level
instability under the upper low, which is over Eastern PA. As
the upper low weakens and drifts east of the state, expect the
risk of additional showers to wane overnight.

Large scale subsidence arriving behind the exiting upper low,
combined with a downsloping northwest flow should yield
breaking clouds late tonight east of the Alleghenies. However, model
soundings indicate upsloping flow will result in persistent low
clouds across the W Mtns. Weak low level cold advection late
tonight should translate to slowly falling temps with readings
at dawn likely in the low to mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
The northwest flow behind the departing upper low is just cold
enough to support lake effect Saturday. Model soundings show
inversion heights peaking late morning through the afternoon
hours, coincident with the passage of a weak upper level
shortwave. Have ramped POPs upward toward the HREF values due to
nearly saturated model soundings in the 0-2km layer, which
should support light precip in most spots across the Allegheny
Plateau. A few wet snowflakes are possible on the higher
ridgetops of the Laurel Highlands Sat morning. Otherwise,
progged thermal profiles are too warm for anything but rain
showers.

Model RH profiles support a partly to mostly sunny start to
Saturday east (downwind) of the Alleghenies. However, warm
advection ahead of the approaching shortwave should result in
increasing clouds by afternoon.

A fairly tight gradient west of intense low pressure over Nova
Scotia will result in gusty northwest winds across the area
Saturday. Bufkit soundings indicate frequent gusts of 20-25kts
are likely. GEFS 2m temp anomalies support near seasonable high
temps Saturday, ranging from the low 40s over the highest
elevations of the Alleghenies, to the low 50s in the Lower Susq
Valley.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
* Winter Weather may impact travel on Thanksgiving Day across
  Central PA

A weak shortwave diving across the Eastern Grt Lks should
sustain scattered lake effect rain showers over the Allegheny
Plateau into early Sunday, then ridging building into PA should
support fair and milder conditions Sunday PM through Monday AM.
All guidance currently tracks a cold front through the region
Monday night, preceded by a round of rain showers Monday PM.
CFROPA in the late night/early morning time-frame will probably
keep the chc for thunder low, but would not be surprised to hear
a rumble or two since the front is potent and 8H temps drop 15C
over 12 hrs at UNV. Could be a gusty passage, too (potential
NCFRB) due to 8H winds from 240deg at >=50kt per GFS. Tues looks
mainly dry under high pressure. Perhaps a SHSN NW.

Wed now looks fairly good for travel across PA with ridging
building over the state. A bit of lingering lake effect snow
is possible over the NW Mtns early in the day. Much of the
medium range model guidance tracks an area of low pressure
northeast from the Lower Miss Valley late next week, spreading
precipitation across PA for Thanksgiving Day. A track south of
the Mason Dixon Line suggests there will be enough cold air
present for snow over at least Northern PA. However, there
remains plenty of uncertainty this far out and a significant
number of ensemble members are weaker and further south with the
area of low pressure. Will continue to monitor the forecast as
confidence is expected to increase over the next 2 to 3 days.

Current timing and placement of mass features should allow for
gusty winds and drying on Friday except in the northern
Alleghenies where the cold air and WNW flow will generate
lake effect SHSN which may linger thru much of next weekend
(days 7-9). A shot of even colder air comes along late in the
weekend, and looks like a pattern favorable for snow squalls.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The main area of rain and snow continues to push southwest this
evening and steady rain and snow is mainly confined to areas
near and southwest of JST and AOO. Ceilings have risen over the
past few hours to MVFR for areas east of the Allegheny Front and
further improvement to VFR is possible towards daybreak
(especially at MDT and LNS). Moderate to heavy snow continues at
JST as of 00Z and is leading LIFR restrictions. This will
continue for a few more hours before drier air moves in
overnight and brings an end to steady snowfall. While
visibilities will improve, ceilings will remain IFR. Gusty winds
20-30kt from 280-320 degrees will continue through Saturday.
Showers will develop once again Saturday afternoon near BFD and
JST and could reach as far east as AOO and UNV.

Outlook...

Sun...MVFR cigs NW 1/2 impacting KBFD and KJST. VFR elsewhere.

Mon-Tue...Strong CFROPA Monday night with rain and potential
LLWS followed by strong winds and snow showers.

Wed...Not as windy with MVFR to VFR cigs; mixed precip could
reach the southwest airspace by 12Z Thu.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Steinbugl
NEAR TERM...Fitzgerald
SHORT TERM...Fitzgerald
LONG TERM...Fitzgerald/Dangelo
AVIATION...Steinbugl/Bauco
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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