Owasso, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

836
FXUS64 KTSA 232330
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
530 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 526 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

 - A few areas of fog may develop Wednesday morning, particularly near
   the Red River and the Kansas border.

 - Well above normal temperatures persist through Saturday. Daily record
   highs are expected with monthly record highs also possible.

 - The next cold front arrives Saturday night, and will usher in
   much more typical temps for this time of year along with a
   chance of showers.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1059 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Low level moisture surged into the area overnight with dew points
near 60 F across the area. Lingering low clouds associated with the
moisture will decay into the afternoon as the moisture depth is
fairly shallow. Noticeable warming will occur this afternoon,
with widespread 70s expected. The warmest locations will approach
80 F. Record highs are expected at each of our climate sites.

Another very warm night is expected tonight with lows mostly near
60. The one exception may be across the far northwest portion of the
forecast area where a boundary is situated, and temperatures will
cool more effectively to the northwest of it. Areas of low clouds
and fog may develop again overnight, with the best chance northwest
of that boundary and close to the Red River.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Tuesday)
Issued at 1059 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Any areas of low clouds or fog will clear by mid morning Wednesday
with very warm temperatures developing for the afternoon. Widespread
70s are expected with a few of the warmest locations possibly
touching 80 F. The atmosphere supports the potential to be a few
degrees warmer but some high clouds and the high moisture content in
the boundary layer will keep temperatures from reaching their full
potential. A similar story is expected for Christmas. Record highs
are lower on Christmas, so the current forecast would suggest record
highs for all of our climate sites.

As the low level flow becomes more SW for Friday and Saturday this
will increase the downslope component and reduce moisture advection.
This change will probably increase temperatures 1-3 F over the mid
week period, particularly for the southern half of the area. Much of
southeast OK and west-central AR will reach 80 F these days, with
mid to upper 70s continuing north of I-40.

The pattern changes Saturday night into Sunday as a strong cold
front moves through. Up to this point ensemble guidance has been
mostly dry, with just a few showers possible for areas southeast of
I-44. However ensemble guidance has been successively correcting the
trough to be more consolidated and further to the southwest each
run. The result is a colder trough and better chance of
precipitation. For now did not totally lean into this outcome, but
the forecast may need adjustments in the days ahead if trends
continue. Monday looks cool and dry, with a return of warming
southerly wind by next Tuesday. &&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 532 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Dense fog/LIFR conditions at KBVO will burn off by late morning.
MVFR ceilings at KMLC and KFSM may spread north into the remaining
northwest Arkansas sites this morning before the clouds scatter
out around midday. VFR conditions are then expected to prevail
this afternoon and tonight.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Breezy southerly winds will calm somewhat for the overnight hours
tonight. Areas of fog will become possible late tonight toward
early tomorrow morning, with best chances for impacts at KBVO.
Otherwise, winds should stay up enough to limit overall coverage
of fog for other terminals through tomorrow morning. Low clouds
with MVFR cigs are expected to fill back in by sunrise tomorrow,
mainly east of Tulsa into far eastern OK and NW AR. Cigs should
scatter out by early afternoon, as southwesterly winds increase
again with gusts of 20-25 knots possible across the region.

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   60  79  62  78 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   60  79  59  80 /  10   0   0   0
MLC   62  80  62  79 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   52  78  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   60  76  61  76 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   60  75  62  76 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   61  78  61  79 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   60  77  61  77 /   0   0   0   0
F10   61  79  62  79 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   62  78  62  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...04