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Chickasha, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Chickasha OK
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Chickasha OK
Issued by: National Weather Service Norman, OK |
| Updated: 10:27 pm CST Nov 14, 2024 |
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Overnight
Clear
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Friday
Sunny
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Friday
Night
Mostly Clear
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Saturday
Mostly Sunny
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Saturday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
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Sunday
Slight Chance
Showers then
Chance
Showers
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Sunday
Night
Heavy Rain
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Monday
Showers then
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Monday
Night
Mostly Clear
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| Lo 38 °F |
Hi 69 °F |
Lo 46 °F |
Hi 71 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
Hi 71 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
Hi 66 °F |
Lo 40 °F |
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Overnight
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Clear, with a low around 38. South southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 69. South southeast wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 46. South southeast wind around 10 mph. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Sunday
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A 50 percent chance of showers, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 100%. |
Monday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. High near 66. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 40. |
Tuesday
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Sunny, with a high near 61. |
Tuesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Chickasha OK.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
494
FXUS64 KOUN 150459
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1059 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
- Heavy rainfall is likely Sunday night into Monday, with severe
storm chances increasing for this period.
- Turning much cooler towards the middle of next week.
- Slight chance of snow introduced into the forecast for next
Wednesday (northwest).
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 237 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
Light winds continue to swing to the south as the surface ridge axis
progresses out of our area this evening and clear skies prevail
tonight. As an upper trough moves ashore California tonight, mid-
level height falls extending well ahead of this system begin to
spread over the Rockies and western plains. As a result, the surface
trough begins to deepen slightly by tomorrow morning with a slight
uptick in winds overnight. Overnight low temperatures should drop
into the 40`s.
Thompson
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 237 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
Beautiful weather is in store for tomorrow and Saturday with high
temperatures in the 60`s/70`s. The aforementioned trough becomes
positively tilted as the trough splits, and the elongated jet
streak (extending from Baja California to the plains) provides for
continued deepening of the surface trough. As a result, increased
winds are expected tomorrow primarily over our western counties,
with gusts of 30-35 mph possible over northwest Oklahoma. Widespread,
breezy conditions are expected on Saturday along with increasing
mid/high-level clouds. With persisting southerly flow, dewpoint
temperatures and overnight lows will trend upward. By Saturday
night, the trough is expected to become a closed low over Baja
California.
Thompson
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 237 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
Models are showing better agreement with the track/speed of the
closed upper low through the end of the weekend. Gulf moisture
(in the form of stratus, fog, or drizzle - or all three) spreads
northward into our area early Sunday morning and rain chances begin
increasing on Sunday afternoon, especially out west. Meanwhile, a
surface front moves into northwestern Oklahoma and stalls through
Monday morning as the upper low pivots towards our area from the
lower Rio Grande Basin. With bulk shear vectors oriented parallel
to the modeled surface boundary, would anticipate multiple rounds
or training of rain/storms, which could pose a flash flooding risk.
Storm total QPF continues to be impressive with 2 to 4 inches possibles
somewhere near or west of the I-44 corridor and 1 to 3 inches over
our southeastern counties. Will likely have to wait until CAMS
begin to capture this event before gaining confidence in the area
of heaviest rainfall.
In addition to the heavy rain, severe thunderstorms could be a
concern. The GFS/ECMWF both depict the H500 jet lifting over our
region as a strong 65+ knot LLJ develops over Oklahoma and north
Texas on Sunday night. Given the prog`d severe parameters, would
anticipate the severe threat to include areas near I-40 and southward.
While instability appears to be on the low-side, wind shear and
0-3km storm-relative helicity could be substantial and could lead
to QLCS tornadoes late Sunday and into early Monday.
Much cooler temperatures arrive Tuesday night and into the end of
next week. The season`s first chance for snow appears to be next
Wednesday, though chances are still low and are confined to
northwestern Oklahoma.
Thompson
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1057 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024
Southerly winds will generally be light, aside from some afternoon
breeziness in northwest Oklahoma. Skies will remain clear.
Day
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 66 42 67 48 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 67 41 69 48 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 69 42 71 49 / 0 0 0 0
Gage OK 68 40 69 47 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 66 39 67 45 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 69 40 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...14
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