Marion, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

480
FXUS61 KCLE 131325
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
925 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A front will remain draped across the Ohio Valley region through
early next week while a weak area of low pressure moves along
the boundary through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
920 AM Update...
The forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with
this update. Rain chances will increase throughout the day with
PoPs peaking tonight into Saturday.

Previous discussion...
A front will remain draped across the Upper Ohio Valley region
resulting in unsettled weather through the near term period. Showers
will be slow to start today as the column remains dry this morning
before a push of low/mid level moist air moves overhead this
afternoon. Most CAMs are in agreement that showers and thunderstorms
will be diurnally driven with showers likely beginning around
18Z this afternoon. Activity will mainly be rain showers with
scattered thunderstorms given limited instability, roughly
500-1000 J/kg of SBCAPE, during peak heating this afternoon.
Additional moisture advects into the region by tonight which
will increase shower and thunderstorm coverage tonight through
the day on Saturday. Will need to keep an eye on flooding
potential with showers and thunderstorms today and Saturday as
PWATs rise to the 1.7-1.9 inch range in addition to slow cloud
layer flow. Currently the entire forecast area is highlighted in
a Marginal Risk (Level 1/4) in the Days 1 and 2 Excessive
Rainfall Outlook from WPC. The boundary will move south on
Saturday evening which will allow for PoPs to gradually decrease
on Saturday night. High temperatures will rise into the mid to
upper 70s today and Saturday with low temperatures settling in
the mid 60s each night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
By Saturday evening, the nearly stationary front will be draped from
west to east across central or southern Ohio. Scattered rain showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible closer to this
frontal boundary with the higher POPs towards central Ohio. A weak
area of low pressure will move along the stalled frontal boundary on
Sunday across southern Ohio. There will be an uptick in showers and
isolated convection during the say Sunday with the highest POPs
favoring the central Ohio area and less rain chances closer to the
lake. High temperatures will range from the middle to upper 70s on
Sunday. The stationary frontal boundary continues to remain across
the region on Monday with additional chances for scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms. High temperatures on Monday will be a
little warmer in the upper 70s to middle 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The frontal boundary will lift northward as a warm front by Tuesday.
Temperatures will warm into the lower to upper 80s Tuesday and
Wednesday. Scattered POPs will remain in the forecast as well
Tuesday through Wednesday, mainly during the afternoon and evening.
A shortwave trough will track from the Upper Midwest into the Great
Lakes region on Thursday, dragging a cold front through the Ohio
Valley. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible with
the frontal passage on Thursday. Temperatures will be warm ahead of
the front lower to middle 80s Thursday. Slightly cooler weather may
follow behind the front by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Continued VFR conditions across TAF sites this morning. Have
introduced a PROB30 group at all TAF sites as scattered showers
with pockets of TSRA develop this evening. Unsettled weather
remains in place as a front settles along the Lake Erie
lakeshore tonight. The location of the front will allow for
scattered showers with MVFR visibilities and visibilities to
persist through the TAF window. IFR ceilings are most likely
across Northwest Ohio tonight with low-end MVFR elsewhere.

Winds will favor an easterly component with speeds between 5 and
10 knots. Light and variable winds are likely across inland TAF
sites overnight tonight.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in scattered showers and
thunderstorms Friday night. Shower and thunderstorm coverage
increases on Saturday with periods of showers and thunderstorms
persisting through Monday evening.

&&

.MARINE...
A frontal boundary will become nearly stationary as it tries to push
southward from the lakeshore today. Increased gradient will increase
winds to 10-15 knots, possible up to 20 knots at times from the
northeast. Highest waves should remain in the open waters, but 2 to
up to 4 feet are possible across the western and parts of the
central basin today. Will continue to monitor wind trends in the
upcoming model guidance updates for a possible Small Craft Advisory
given the marginal conditions. Northeast winds will persist this
weekend 5 to 15 knots. By Monday, the northeast winds will weaken to
5-10 knots as the frontal boundary shifts closer to southern Ohio.
Winds will possibly gain a south-southwest component at 5-10 knots
Tuesday of next week as models suggest a warm front pushing north
across the lake. Southerly winds may continue for the middle of next
week.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13/15
SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...77
AVIATION...13
MARINE...77