Horace, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

426
FXUS63 KFGF 080453
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1153 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread hazardous weather is not expected through mid week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 657 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

No changes were made to the forecast. Surface high pressure
continues to reign supreme over the area resulting in mostly
clear skies, light winds, and early fall-like temperatures. This
will continue to be the case through the night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

...Synopsis...

Cooler air retreats east today with a ridge building to the west.
Lows could fall into the upper 30s in some areas tonight, although
most locations should see temperatures in the 40s. Heading into
Monday, moisture and warmer temperatures return to the area, with
afternoon highs in the 70s to near 80 degrees. A shortwave is
expected to traverse the region late Monday evening through early
Tuesday morning, bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms to
parts of southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota. While a
few storms could produce small hail, the probability for severe
thunderstorms is quite low. Heading into Tuesday afternoon, the H5
ridge works slowly eastward, with the axis centered in western North
Dakota. By Wednesday, the ridge axis will be near the ND/MN border.
Temperatures will reflect this as WAA continues, and afternoon highs
Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be in the upper 70s to near 80
in many areas. Moving into Thursday, southwest flow moves into
western and central North Dakota as the aforementioned ridge
continues to the east. Shortwaves will traverse the upstream side of
the ridge, bringing showers and thunderstorms back into the forecast
for Thursday onward into the weekend. This also sets the stage for
an unsettled pattern that could support several rounds of strong
thunderstorms, although details at this time are minimal. Looking at
GEFS ensemble probability for 1000 J/Kg of CAPE, parts of the
southern Red River Valley and west central Minnesota are around the
50 to 60 percent mark Friday afternoon and evening.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1151 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

VFR conditions are forecast through 00Z Tuesday, and likely
beyond. High altitude clouds will continue to gradually increase
throughout the TAF period, but remain VFR. Winds will be less
than 10kt through at least 17Z, with winds to 15 kt out of the
south after 18Z.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...CJ
DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...CJ