|
New Bern, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport NC
National Weather Service Forecast for:
New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Morehead City, NC |
| Updated: 2:46 am EDT Aug 11, 2025 |
|
Overnight
Chance
Showers
|
Monday
Showers
Likely
|
Monday
Night
Chance
Showers
|
Tuesday
Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
|
Tuesday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Chance
Showers
|
Wednesday
Showers
Likely
|
Wednesday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Chance
Showers
|
Thursday
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
|
Thursday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
| Lo 71 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
|
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Overnight
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. |
Monday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday Night
|
Showers likely before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Wednesday Night
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Thursday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Friday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Friday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Saturday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Sunday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for New Bern, Craven County Regional Airport NC.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
684
FXUS62 KMHX 110619
AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
219 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Widespread showers expected today as coastal trough and warm
front lift through. More typical summertime weather regime
returns from Tuesday onward with scattered afternoon showers and
storms.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Key Messages
- Periods of heavy rainfall likely again today, which could
lead to localized flooding.
As of 220 AM Mon...Latest analysis shows weak warm front draped
through the region, coastal trough just offshore, while sfc
high ridges into the Carolinas from the NE. Morning low clouds
and fog will slowly lift as next round of showers advances
through ENC during the day. Similar to yday, expect widespread
showers and iso thunderstorms, with long skinny CAPE profiles.
With PWATS around 2.25" range, the heavy rain threat will be
highest for coastal counties in the morning hours, then
transition inland in the afternoon. Localized flooding possible.
Below normal temps will continue with clouds and precip, with
highs generally in the low 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 220 AM Mon...Front and trough will dissipate tonight as
low level flow becomes more southerly across the area. Expect
convection to diminish with loss of heating this evening, with
best chances transitioning to the coastal waters and Gulf Stream
overnight. Patchy inland fog and low stratus likely again
overnight, with lows in the low 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 215 AM Sun...
Key Messages
- Slightly below average temperatures shift back to more
climatological normals by mid-week.
- Climatologically normal chances of precipitation return by mid-
week.
High pressure will gradually break down and move offshore
Tuesday through the rest of the week, and a more typical summer
pattern will develop as the offshore trough is kicked out to
sea. More typical, limited coverage precip chances expected from
here as ridging and subsidence strengthen. Exception may be on
Thursday as a weak front approaches the area, but forcing with
this feature appears negligible enough to make little difference
in convective coverage. Continued to adjust NBM guidance
downward to more typical climo PoPs (30-40%). Temperatures
return to around to slightly above average, and combined with
increasing humidity peak heat indices hover around 100- 105
degrees.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 220 AM Mon...Mix of VFR and LIFR conditions currently
across the terminals. Area of low stratus and patchy fog
developing north of Hwy 264 early this morning, near weak
boundary. Low cigs and patchy fog likely to sink southward over
the next few hours and could impact all terminals, with periods
of IFR and LIFR likely. Another round of showers will spread
through much of ENC through the day, with widespread sub-VFR
ceilings expected to linger through much of the day. Precip
likely to diminish this evening, though widespread sub-VFR
likely to continue overnight.
LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/...
As of 210 AM Sun...Climatologically normal coverage is forecast
from Tues onward. Threat of low stratus and some fog continues
each morning, with strongest signal Tues morning.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through tonight/...
As of 220 AM Mon...Latest obs show E-SE winds 5-10 kt with seas
2-3 ft. Winds light/variable (10 kt or less) today as coastal
trough and warm front lift into the coastal waters and sounds.
Winds become more southerly overnight. Another round of showers
and iso storms expected today into tonight.
LONG TERM /Tuesday through Friday/...
As of 215 AM Sun...More typical southwesterly winds by Tuesday
onward as high pressure moves offshore. Winds through the period
stay at 10-15 kt and seas will hold steady at around 2-3 feet.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD
SHORT TERM...CQD
LONG TERM...MS
AVIATION...CQD/MS
MARINE...CQD/MS
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
