Leland, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

773
FXUS62 KILM 232327
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
627 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold, dry high pressure will move offshore tonight ahead of a
weak, dry cold front. The front may stall in the area with a
brief cooldown Friday, but temperatures should remain on the
warm side. A stronger cold front may bring brief rain chances
and much colder air early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Only minor tweaks made to previous forecast with evening update.
0z aviation discussion below.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Satellite imagery showing the erosion of the mid level clouds
advecting into the area from the NW. The speed at which this happens
is really the only forecast challenge esp in the Cape Fear Region
where it is expected to take the longest. The remainder of the
forecast will be quiet and feature above normal temperatures as a mid
and upper level ridge builds in the eastern Gulf. A weak surface
trough or two will move through with little consequence other than
subtle wind shifts.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Warm and dry. A front may stall in the area Thursday as it`s dragged
north of our area due to high pressure moving offshore. This will
cause warming with increased cloud cover, particularly late Thursday
into Thursday night, as moisture streams overhead. Lows generally in
the 40s nearing 50 Thursday night with highs in the 70s away from
the immediate coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A bit of cooling now expected for Friday as a brief ridge of cooler
high pressure pushes down from the north. The departure of this high
may be accompanied by some light rain but for now the highest
chances remain to our north, and dry, warm weather should be
established through the weekend. A stronger cold front should
approach late Sunday into Monday with increased rain chances before
a return to colder temperatures through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR through the period with clear skies. There is a low chance
of MVFR vsbys inland early Wednesday morning, particularly NE
SC (including KFLO). Keeping the TAFs VFR due to elevated
boundary layer winds and dry air just above the surface working
against fog development. Light southwest winds currently veer to
northerlies by Wednesday afternoon, generally remaining less
than 10 kts.

Extended Forecast...Mainly VFR. MVFR possible through the
latter half the work week due to a stalled front.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Wednesday...High pressure will be centered offshore through
the near term. Offshore winds will be increased slightly by a strong
area of low pressure several hundred miles off the DelMarva coast
through tonight with an abating trend on Wednesday. These lighter
winds will be subject to some variability on Wednesday as a series of
surface troughs are pushed across the waters.

Wednesday Night through Sunday...A weak backdoor cold front will
move through with winds becoming lighter. Departing high pressure
will lead to veering winds into Thursday AOB 10 kts before stronger
SW flow builds in again with another front, possibly stalling in the
area. Wind direction will be a challenge due to the boundary but
wind speeds will be ~10-15 kts before the front moves offshore at
the end of the period. Small Craft Advisory conditions are not
expected at this time. Seas roughly 2-4 ft but perhaps higher
depending on how the front shakes out.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ILM
UPDATE...VAO
NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...LEW
LONG TERM...LEW
AVIATION...VAO
MARINE...MBB/LEW