High Point, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

658
FXUS62 KRAH 220046
AFDRAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
845 PM EDT Sat Jun 21 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong ridge of high pressure will strengthen across the eastern
U.S. this weekend and into next week bringing a period of dangerous
heat during much of the upcoming work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 845 PM Saturday...

While some isolated showers and thunderstorms developed across
Sampson County, most of the activity has diminished from the radar.
The outflow boundary could bring a brief rise in the wind for
locations south and east of the Triangle. Some fog is likely to
develop again around sunrise, also to the south and east of the
Triangle. Overnight lows will be a few degrees warmer than last
night, ranging from 65 to 72 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 124 PM Saturday...

The anomalous mid-level ridge will start to amplify over the Mid-
Atlantic on sunday.  As such, expect temperatures to start to heat
up with highs reaching the mid 90s. PWAT will remain relatively
normal, around ~1 to 1.5 inches and with little to no forcing,
expect dry conditions to persist Sunday.  In addition, forecast
soundings indicate decent mixing potential Sunday afternoon which
will likely mix dew points out into the mid 60s for much of our area
(possibly upper 50s in the Triad). As such, Heat Indices will stay
below advisory criteria and max out in the 95 to 100 range.

Additional fog may be possible across eastern areas overnight
Sunday. Expect warm overnight lows in the lower 70s.


&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 153 PM Saturday..

* High confidence of very hot conditions through much of next week,
  with dangerous heat expected for Monday through Thursday.

* Limited precipitation chances are expected during the period.

The anomalous mid-level ridge will continue to strengthen through
mid to late week, reaching ~2 to 3 standard deviations above normal
by Tuesday/Wednesday. This will promote a prolonged period of
increasingly anomalous heat.

On Monday, temperatures should warm into the mid to upper 90s for
most locations. However, lingering lower PWAT will likely yield
decent mixing potential Monday afternoon. As such, dew points will
likely mix out for much of area into the 60s (perhaps even upper 50s
in the Triad).  Those along and east of I-95 may hold onto some low
70s dew points Monday afternoon, and as such these areas could reach
Heat Advisory criteria. Elsewhere, will likely remain below
criteria. Regardless, continue to practice heat safety and limit
outdoor time if possible.

From Tuesday through Wednesday, the center of the ridge will
maximize directly over central NC. As such, expect temperatures to
soar into the upper 90s/lower 100s each afternoon.  Still think dew
points will mix out into the 60s both Tuesday and Wednesday
afternoons. However, with the expected increase in dry bulb
temperatures, we should likely reach Heat Advisory criteria for
areas along and east of US-1. Given the expected mixing, not sure if
we`ll reach Excessive Heat Warning criteria, but surely can`t rule
out a few locations reaching HI of 110 or so for a few hours Tuesday
and Wednesday afternoons.

The ridge will start to break down a bit Thursday into the weekend,
and as such daytime highs may drop off a bit into the upper 90s.
However, PWAT is expected to rise back above normal (~1.5 to 1.75
inches) during this period. As such, afternoon dew points may stay a
bit more elevated compared to early in the week and therefore Heat
Advisory criteria may continue to be reached Thursday into the
weekend for certain areas.   Additionally, isolated to scattered
convection will likely accompany this moistening, generally over the
higher terrain/foothills and/or along any differential heating/lee
sfc troughs that develop each afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 642 PM Saturday...

Not much change with the 00z TAFs relative to the prior forecast.
VFR is expected to start the forecast. Areas of fog are favored at
FAY and RWI between 09 and 13z, with the highest probabilities at
FAY. There is lower confidence in fog potential at RDU, with the
majority of the guidance keeping conditions VFR. It also appears the
more saturated air is across the south and east of RDU. Any fog
should disperse by 13/14z, with VFR persisting the remainder of the
forecast period.

Beyond 00z Monday: VFR conditions should largely prevail through the
upcoming week. A few isolated storms are possible Wed and Thu, but
confidence is low given deep high pressure over the area.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Weather Records/Record Daily High Minimum Temperatures...

             Raleigh        Greensboro      Fayetteville

June 21      75 (1933)      75 (1924)       84 (1928)
June 22      78 (1933)      75 (1981)       84 (1928)
June 23      78 (2024)      74 (2024)       77 (2024)
June 24      76 (2024)      76 (2015)       79 (2010)
June 25      77 (2010)      75 (2015)       75 (1952)
June 26      77 (2024)      74 (2010)       76 (1997)
June 27      76 (1952)      76 (1969)       77 (1998)
June 28      76 (1952)      76 (1969)       78 (1914)

Weather Records/Record Daily Maximum Temperatures...

             Raleigh        Greensboro      Fayetteville

June 22      100 (2022)      100 (1914)     101 (1990)
June 23      100 (2024)      102 (1914)     102 (1981)
June 24       99 (2010)      103 (1914)     102 (1914)
June 25      100 (1952)      101 (1914)     102 (1914)
June 26      103 (2024)      102 (1914)     101 (1951)
June 27      104 (1954)      102 (1954)     102 (1998)
June 28      100 (1959)       99 (1959)     105 (1954)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Blaes
NEAR TERM...Green
SHORT TERM...Luchetti
LONG TERM...Luchetti
AVIATION...Kren
CLIMATE...RAH