Roswell, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

612
FXUS65 KABQ 130543 AAB
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1143 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1132 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

- Isolated thunderstorms could produce wind gusts up to 60 mph
  across far eastern New Mexico Friday and Sunday afternoons.
  Gusty virga showers and dry thunderstorms are also possible
  around the southern high terrain Friday, Saturday, and Sunday
  afternoons.

- Moderate heat risk is expected in most low elevation areas
  Saturday through Monday with near record high temperatures.
  Major heat risk is possible for the southeast plains and the
  lower Rio Grande Valley.

- Temperatures will trend cooler with breezy west winds Tuesday,
  followed by a return to isolated gusty showers and dry storms
  over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 213 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Temperatures will continue to climb through the end of the week,
and drier air will continue to work its way over the forecast
area from the west, as our summertime ridge of high pressure
builds northward over NM. Mainly isolated showers and
thunderstorms will linger over eastern areas into this evening, a
few of which may produce damaging wind gusts due to inverted-V
T/Td profiles. In addition, over the central valley and central
mountain chain gusty virga showers and some dry thunderstorms are
expected early this evening. On Friday, isolated and gusty virga
showers and dry thunderstorms will favor locations east of the
Sacramento Mountains, the area from Raton to Clayton, and the
southwest mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

The ridge of high pressure will continue to build northward over
NM this weekend and into early next week peaking around 595 DAM at
500 mb. This will set the forecast area up for our first heatwave
of the season with near record high temperatures. Readings will
probably reach reach 100 F in Albuquerque Sunday and Monday, and
as much as 105 F in Socorro, Roswell, and maybe Glenwood. Models
are in better agreement on an upper level trough moving through
the western US Monday and Tuesday. The system may draw in just
enough return flow of low level moisture for some gusty virga
showers and a few dry thunderstorms mainly along and east of the
central mountain chain Sunday and Monday. Monday afternoon, and
especially Tuesday, dry westerly flow aloft aloft will strengthen
as the upper trough passes mainly north of NM resulting in gusty
surface winds over much of the forecast area. In the wake of the
upper trough on Tuesday night, a moist backdoor front may push
all of the way to the east slopes of the central mountain chain
with another round of virga showers and gusty, dry thunderstorms
mainly from the central mountain chain eastward.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1132 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Remnant mid level cloud cover late this evening will dissipate
thru sunrise with light winds all areas. Drier and hotter weather
will impact more of the region Friday. Isolated SHRA/TS are still
possible over eastern NM where downburst wind gusts up to 50KT may
occur.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 213 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025

There will be a risk of new fire starts from dry thunderstorms
almost daily this evening through the middle of the coming week.
The greatest risk appears to be this evening, then Friday
afternoon and evening. Coverage will be pretty spotty this
weekend and Monday, depending on how much return flow of low
level moisture works its way into the fire weather forecast area
ahead of an upper level trough that will pass mainly north of our
state late Monday through Tuesday. In the wake of the upper
trough, a moist backdoor front Tuesday night looks to increase
moisture enough for more dry storms along and east of the central
mountain chain on Wednesday, and potentially farther west to the
east slopes of the western mountains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  57  93  56  92 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  44  88  44  90 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  53  88  53  90 /   5   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  48  90  46  92 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  52  86  51  88 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  51  91  49  94 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  53  88  53  91 /   0  10   0   0
Magdalena.......................  60  89  60  92 /  10  10   0   0
Datil...........................  56  87  54  90 /   5  20   0   0
Reserve.........................  49  95  48  97 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  56  97  54 101 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  46  81  47  85 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  58  86  59  90 /  10   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  55  85  57  89 /  10  10   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  51  84  52  88 /  10   5   0   0
Red River.......................  43  74  45  78 /  10  10   0   0
Angel Fire......................  38  79  38  83 /  10  10   0   0
Taos............................  46  88  47  91 /  10   5   0   0
Mora............................  48  84  51  88 /  10  10   0   0
Espanola........................  55  94  56  97 /  10   5   0   0
Santa Fe........................  58  88  60  92 /  10   5   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  56  92  57  95 /  10   5   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  66  94  66  98 /  10   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  63  95  64  98 /  10   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  62  97  62 100 /  10   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  63  95  64  98 /  10   0   0   0
Belen...........................  60  96  60  99 /  10   5   0   0
Bernalillo......................  61  97  62 100 /  10   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  58  96  59  99 /   5   0   0   0
Corrales........................  62  97  63 100 /  10   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  60  96  61  99 /   5   0   0   0
Placitas........................  63  93  64  96 /  10   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  63  96  64  99 /  10   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  66  99  66 102 /  10  10   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  58  89  58  92 /  10   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  59  90  60  94 /  10   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  54  89  55  94 /  10   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  51  90  51  94 /  10   5   0   0
Clines Corners..................  55  86  56  89 /  10  10   0   0
Mountainair.....................  56  88  57  93 /  10   5   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  56  89  57  92 /  20  10   5   0
Carrizozo.......................  63  93  64  96 /  10  10   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  60  86  61  89 /  20  10   0  10
Capulin.........................  51  84  51  87 /  30  20   5  10
Raton...........................  49  89  50  92 /  30  10   0   5
Springer........................  50  90  51  93 /  20  10   0   5
Las Vegas.......................  51  87  53  91 /  20  10   0   0
Clayton.........................  58  91  59  93 /  20  20  10   5
Roy.............................  54  89  55  92 /  30  10   0   0
Conchas.........................  60  97  61  99 /  20  10   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  58  93  60  96 /  20  10   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  60  96  62  98 /  10  20   5   0
Clovis..........................  63  96  64  97 /  20  20  10   0
Portales........................  62  97  64  99 /  20  20  10   0
Fort Sumner.....................  60  98  63 100 /  20  10   0   0
Roswell.........................  66 101  68 104 /  20  10   0   0
Picacho.........................  61  94  62  97 /  20  20   0   5
Elk.............................  59  93  60  96 /  10  20   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...42