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Raton, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Raton NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Raton NM
Issued by: National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM |
| Updated: 12:01 am MDT Jun 11, 2025 |
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Overnight
Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
Sunny then
Scattered
T-storms
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Wednesday
Night
Isolated
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
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Thursday
Sunny then
Scattered
T-storms
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Thursday
Night
Partly Cloudy
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Friday
Sunny then
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Friday
Night
Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
Sunny
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Saturday
Night
Mostly Clear
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| Lo 51 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 50 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 50 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
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Overnight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 51. South wind around 5 mph becoming northeast. |
Wednesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday Night
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Thursday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Light and variable wind becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. West wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Friday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 84. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 88. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 54. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 90. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 56. |
Monday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Raton NM.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
611
FXUS65 KABQ 110541 AAB
AFDABQ
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1141 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1133 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
- Minor risk of burn scar flash flooding on Wednesday afternoon.
- Scattered showers and storms Wednesday and Thursday afternoons
may produce gusty outflow winds.
- Temperatures will warm to the hottest values of the season so
far late this week into early next week, creating at least
moderate heat risk in most lower elevation locations.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1245 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
A weak and ill-formed upper low is currently moving southeast
through south central NM per the latest water vapor satellite
imagery and providing added forcing for an earlier initiated round
of storms near Ruidoso. Slow storm motion and heavy rainfall has
already resulted in flash flooding on/near the Ruidoso area burn
scars and the threat will continue through the afternoon hours,
including over the HPCC scar. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch was just
issued for Chaves County, where a sufficient combination of shear
and increasing instability should be good for a severe storm or
two this afternoon. The latest HRRR and HREF show the greatest
potential for a severe storm near Dunken in southwest Chaves
County this afternoon. Elsewhere, garden variety storms will
produce little threat except for gusty/erratic outflow winds.
Expect a normal diurnal convective downturn this evening, with
skies gradually clearing overnight. A weak upper level ridge will
move into western NM Wednesday, but lingering moisture and daytime
heating will combine for another crop of storms by afternoon. The
best chances will be across eastern NM Wednesday, with low
potential for a strong to severe storm across the northeast plains
and near the TX border. Any storms that develop west of the
central mountain chain on Wednesday will likely produce very
little measurable rainfall and will bring a threat for dry
lightning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1245 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
A warming and drying trend will be in play from the end of the
work week through the weekend, with temperatures trending above
normal areawide and bringing at least a moderate risk for
excessive heat to lower elevation locales across much of central
and western NM. The culprit will be an upper high, forecast to
move north from Mexico and be centered over NM by Sunday. 500mb
pressure heights are forecast to increase to around 596dam as the
upper high centroid moves into NM, which aren`t particularly
anomalous for mid June. Daily rounds of convection will trend
down toward the end of the work week due to continued drying of
the atmosphere, but sufficient moisture will remain for storms
across eastern NM on Thursday, where a couple may become strong to
severe near the TX/OK borders.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
Just a few showers remain in central NM tonight and these should
dissipate within the next couple of hours. Clouds will gradually
clear through the night, with light winds prevailing areawide.
There is a low chance that fog develops in far eastern NM near the
TX border, however the likelihood is less than 20% so none was
included within the forecast. Scattered showers will develop over
the high terrain around 18Z tomorrow, moving southeastward through
the afternoon. Gusty outflow winds will be the main concern with
any showers and storms due to the high based nature of the
convection.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1245 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025
Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast for at least the
next 7 days, but elevated conditions are possible by Tuesday as an
upper level trough approaches from the west and brings breezy to
locally windy conditions. Until then, decreasing chances for
wetting rain will focus along/east of the central mountain chain
through Thursday. A warming/drying trend will follow going into
the weekend that will bring temperatures above normal area wide as
an upper level ridge moves north from Mexico and expands over New
Mexico.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 56 92 57 92 / 10 5 0 0
Dulce........................... 43 85 45 87 / 20 20 5 5
Cuba............................ 51 85 53 87 / 20 20 10 0
Gallup.......................... 48 90 50 90 / 20 5 10 0
El Morro........................ 51 85 52 86 / 20 10 10 0
Grants.......................... 49 88 52 90 / 20 20 20 0
Quemado......................... 53 88 54 88 / 20 20 10 0
Magdalena....................... 56 86 58 89 / 30 30 20 10
Datil........................... 53 85 54 87 / 30 40 10 10
Reserve......................... 49 92 50 93 / 20 20 5 0
Glenwood........................ 54 96 52 97 / 10 20 5 0
Chama........................... 44 78 45 81 / 30 20 10 10
Los Alamos...................... 55 82 57 85 / 30 30 10 10
Pecos........................... 52 81 52 85 / 30 40 20 30
Cerro/Questa.................... 49 79 48 81 / 20 40 10 30
Red River....................... 41 70 41 72 / 30 50 20 40
Angel Fire...................... 37 73 37 76 / 20 40 20 30
Taos............................ 44 82 48 84 / 20 30 10 20
Mora............................ 46 77 47 81 / 20 50 20 40
Espanola........................ 53 89 56 92 / 30 30 10 10
Santa Fe........................ 55 84 55 86 / 30 30 20 10
Santa Fe Airport................ 54 87 55 89 / 20 30 20 10
Albuquerque Foothills........... 62 89 65 92 / 30 20 20 5
Albuquerque Heights............. 59 91 64 93 / 20 20 20 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 59 92 63 95 / 20 20 20 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 60 91 63 94 / 20 20 20 0
Belen........................... 56 93 61 96 / 30 20 20 0
Bernalillo...................... 58 92 61 95 / 20 20 20 0
Bosque Farms.................... 56 92 61 95 / 30 20 20 0
Corrales........................ 59 92 61 95 / 20 20 20 0
Los Lunas....................... 57 92 61 96 / 30 20 20 0
Placitas........................ 59 89 61 92 / 20 20 20 0
Rio Rancho...................... 59 92 62 94 / 20 20 20 0
Socorro......................... 62 95 64 97 / 30 20 20 5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 54 84 55 87 / 30 20 20 5
Tijeras......................... 56 86 57 89 / 30 20 20 5
Edgewood........................ 51 85 53 89 / 30 20 20 5
Moriarty/Estancia............... 47 86 49 90 / 30 20 20 5
Clines Corners.................. 51 81 53 84 / 30 30 20 20
Mountainair..................... 51 85 55 88 / 30 20 20 5
Gran Quivira.................... 51 85 54 89 / 30 20 20 10
Carrizozo....................... 56 87 61 91 / 30 30 20 20
Ruidoso......................... 53 77 56 83 / 30 40 20 40
Capulin......................... 50 78 50 82 / 20 30 20 30
Raton........................... 49 84 48 85 / 20 30 20 30
Springer........................ 49 84 50 86 / 20 40 20 30
Las Vegas....................... 49 79 50 82 / 20 40 20 30
Clayton......................... 56 84 57 86 / 10 10 10 20
Roy............................. 54 80 54 84 / 20 20 30 20
Conchas......................... 59 88 59 91 / 20 20 20 20
Santa Rosa...................... 56 85 58 90 / 20 20 20 20
Tucumcari....................... 58 87 59 90 / 20 5 20 10
Clovis.......................... 60 83 60 88 / 40 10 10 10
Portales........................ 59 84 59 89 / 40 10 10 10
Fort Sumner..................... 59 87 60 92 / 30 20 10 20
Roswell......................... 63 91 65 97 / 30 20 10 10
Picacho......................... 56 85 58 90 / 30 30 10 30
Elk............................. 53 82 56 87 / 30 40 10 30
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...16
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