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Raton, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Raton NM
National Weather Service Forecast for: Raton NM
Issued by: National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM
Updated: 6:01 pm MDT Jun 11, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms
Thursday

Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunny then
Scattered
T-storms
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 5 mph becoming southwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Friday

Friday: Isolated thunderstorms between noon and 5pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunny then
Isolated
T-storms
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Partly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 87.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly Clear

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Mostly Clear

Lo 53 °F Hi 84 °F Lo 52 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 54 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 54 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 56 °F

 

Tonight
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday Night
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. West wind around 5 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
 
Isolated thunderstorms between noon and 5pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 86. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 89.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Monday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 89.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Tuesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Raton NM.

Weather Forecast Discussion
386
FXUS65 KABQ 112316 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
516 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 450 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

- Minor risk of burn scar flash flooding early this evening and
  Thursday afternoon.

- Scattered showers and storms today and Thursday may produce
  gusty outflow winds and brief heavy rain along and east of the
  central mountain chain.

- Some gusty and dry thunderstorms will be in the mix west of the
  central mountain chain this evening, then over central and
  western areas Thursday, and along the east slopes of the Sangre
  de Cristo and Sacramento Mountains Friday.

- Moderate heat risk is expected in most low elevation areas by
  the weekend as temperatures warm to the hottest levels so far
  this season. Major heat risk is possible for the southeast
  plains and the lower Rio Grande Valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 223 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the evening along and east of the continental divide,
while remaining west of a line from Clayton to Dunken. Scattered
to isolated showers and thunderstorms will return again Thursday
afternoon east of the continental divide, and these will reach
farther east onto the eastern plains during the evening. Our
summer time ridge of high pressure will begin building over
northwest Mexico Thursday and Friday, steering drier air over the
forecast area from the southwest and west. By Friday afternoon,
any spotty thunderstorms will probably favor the east slopes of
the Sangre de Cristo and Sacramento Mountains. The drier air
moving in will result in some gusty virga showers and dry
thunderstorms in the mix mainly over central and western areas
this evening and Thursday, then along the east slopes of the
Sangres and Sacs on Friday as well. The building ridge of high
pressure will also send temperatures on an upward trend with
highs reaching near to around 6 degrees above 30-year averages by
Friday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 223 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

The ridge of high pressure will build northward over NM this
weekend and into early next week peaking around 595 DAM at 500 mb.
This will set the forecast area up for our first heatwave of the
season with a high temperature likely to reach 100 F in
Albuquerque, and as much as 105 F in Glenwood and Socorro, Sunday
and Monday. Models agree on an upper level trough moving into the
western US as the work week progresses weakening the high pressure
system and shifting it southward, but they are not in good
agreement on how quickly the upper trough will move in or how far
south it will track. If the slower models are right, the system
may draw in enough moist low level inflow for some gusty virga
showers and isolated dry thunderstorms to begin developing under
the ridge axis perhaps as early as Sunday, but more likely Monday.
The faster models bring in too much dry air for much in the way of
virga or dry storms, or even clouds to develop. By Tuesday,
though, temperatures should be trending downward as the low level
moisture moves in a little more effectively. The upper trough
moving through the region will probably work with this moisture to
produce some gusty virga showers and a mix of wet and dry
thunderstorms both Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 450 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF
period. Current round of convection will gradually diminish
through the evening hours, but may impact KGUP, KSAF and KABQ/KAEG
with gusty/erratic winds prior to sunset. Another crop of storms is
forecast Thursday afternoon, with low probabilities for impacts
and most likely at KLVS and KROW. Outside of gusty/erratic winds
from convection, winds will be mostly light.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 223 PM MDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Humidities will trend downward and temperatures upward through
early next week with a mix of virga showers and gusty dry
thunderstorms in the forecast over central and western areas this
evening, then again Thursday afternoon evening. Cells farther east
will be more likely to produce wetting precip. The dry air will
take a firm hold on the forecast area at the end of the week, but
there will probably still be enough moisture for some gusty and
mainly dry thunderstorms along the east slopes of the Sangres and
Sacs Friday afternoon. Models vary on the timing and amount of low
level moisture with a low level return flow that will develop
under our building summertime ridge of high pressure early next
week. The potential exists for gusty and dry thunderstorms to
return as early as Sunday and Monday in some areas, then more
likely Tuesday and Wednesday as the ridge of high pressure aloft
begins to break down in response to an approaching upper level
trough.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  58  92  57  91 /   5   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  45  87  44  87 /  20  10   0   0
Cuba............................  53  87  53  87 /  10   5   0   0
Gallup..........................  49  89  49  89 /  10   0   0   0
El Morro........................  52  84  52  85 /  20   0   0   0
Grants..........................  51  89  51  90 /  20   5   0   0
Quemado.........................  55  87  54  88 /  20   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  60  89  60  90 /  20  20  10   5
Datil...........................  56  87  56  87 /  30  20   5   5
Reserve.........................  49  94  49  95 /  20   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  56  98  55  98 /  10   0   0   0
Chama...........................  46  80  46  82 /  10  20   0   0
Los Alamos......................  58  82  58  85 /  10  20  10   0
Pecos...........................  54  84  55  85 /  20  30  10   5
Cerro/Questa....................  51  82  50  84 /  10  40  10   5
Red River.......................  43  72  43  74 /  20  50  20  10
Angel Fire......................  38  76  38  79 /  20  40  10  10
Taos............................  47  84  46  87 /  10  20  10   5
Mora............................  48  82  49  84 /  20  40  10  10
Espanola........................  55  90  55  92 /  10  20  10   0
Santa Fe........................  57  85  58  87 /  10  20  10   0
Santa Fe Airport................  56  88  56  90 /  10  20  10   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  65  93  65  94 /  20  10   5   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  62  95  62  95 /  20  10   5   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  61  97  60  97 /  20  10   5   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  63  95  63  96 /  20  10   5   0
Belen...........................  59  96  59  97 /  20  10   5   0
Bernalillo......................  61  96  61  97 /  20  10   5   0
Bosque Farms....................  58  96  57  97 /  20  10   5   0
Corrales........................  62  97  62  97 /  20  10   5   0
Los Lunas.......................  60  96  59  97 /  20  10   5   0
Placitas........................  62  91  62  92 /  20  10   5   0
Rio Rancho......................  62  95  62  96 /  20  10   5   0
Socorro.........................  65  99  65 100 /  20  10  10   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  57  87  57  88 /  20  10   5   0
Tijeras.........................  58  89  58  89 /  20  10   5   0
Edgewood........................  53  88  54  89 /  20  10   5   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  49  89  50  90 /  20  10  10   0
Clines Corners..................  53  84  53  86 /  20  20  10   5
Mountainair.....................  54  89  55  90 /  20  10  10   0
Gran Quivira....................  53  88  55  89 /  20  10  20   5
Carrizozo.......................  60  92  62  94 /  20  20  20   5
Ruidoso.........................  56  84  59  87 /  20  40  20  20
Capulin.........................  51  81  51  82 /  20  30  40  20
Raton...........................  50  86  50  87 /  30  30  20  10
Springer........................  50  86  50  89 /  20  30  10  10
Las Vegas.......................  51  84  51  87 /  20  30  10   5
Clayton.........................  57  87  58  89 /  10  10  20  10
Roy.............................  53  84  54  87 /  20  20  10  10
Conchas.........................  60  92  60  95 /  10  20  10   5
Santa Rosa......................  58  89  58  92 /  20  20  10   5
Tucumcari.......................  59  90  60  93 /   5   5  10   5
Clovis..........................  60  90  62  93 /   5   5  20   5
Portales........................  59  91  62  94 /   5   5  20   5
Fort Sumner.....................  60  93  60  96 /  10  10  20   5
Roswell.........................  66  98  67 100 /   5  10  10   5
Picacho.........................  58  92  60  94 /  10  30  20  10
Elk.............................  56  91  57  93 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...11
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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