Lovington, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

999
FXUS64 KMAF 140405
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1005 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1002 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

 - A warming trend is expected heading into the weekend with will
   well-above normal temperatures by Saturday.

 - Rain and thunderstorms return to the forecast Sunday night into
   Monday, with best overall chances for moderate to heavy
   rainfall Sunday night.

 - A front Monday will result in breezy conditions for West Texas
   and Southeast New Mexico.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

A quiet short term is in store for tonight and tomorrow. The cooler
air behind the front, coupled with clear skies tonight, will allow
for lows to drop into the upper 30s and low 40s across the majority
of the area, which is near normal for this time of year.

Winds shift around to the south tomorrow, allowing for warmer air to
begin to filter back into the region. The NBM Mean (most likely)
solution indicates highs in the 70s will be common areawide
tomorrow, along with lows in the 40s for that night. These
temperatures are just above normal for this time of year, but
ultimately herald the beginning of a warming trend that continues
into the long term...

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

After a brief period of upper ridging, southwest flow aloft will
develop by Friday as the next storm system digs into the Desert
Southwest late this week. A warming trend is expected during this
time and Saturday looks to be the warmest day for the next 7 days,
with highs generally in the upper 70s to mid 80s for most
locations. As the aforementioned storm system approaches this
weekend, a surface low will strengthen lee of the Rockies,
increasing southerly winds at the surface across the forecast
area. As a result, we`ll see increasing moisture and clouds by
Sunday and a return of rain/thunderstorms to the region Sunday
evening as large-scale lift arrives ahead of the storm system. At
this time, higher probabilities (50-70%) for showers storms will
reside along and north of I-10. The risk for some moderate to
heavy rainfall to develop Sunday night is increasing,
particularly across northern portions of the Permian Basin.
Monday, rain activity looks to end from west to east throughout
the day as a pacific cold front moves through the area. Could see
some breezy conditions behind the front through the afternoon
hours Monday with cooler temperatures expected. The next front
will arrive sometime Tuesday, holding colder temperatures in place
a bit longer.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1002 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

CAVU conditions will prevail across all area terminals through
15/06Z. Winds will be light and somewhat variable through the
mid morning hours, then will pick up out of the south to southeast
at or below 11 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               41  73  44  76 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 37  73  40  79 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   47  74  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            42  80  48  86 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           43  67  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    39  70  41  76 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    37  73  44  79 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     41  73  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   42  73  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     38  75  43  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...70