Vineland, New Jersey 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

492
FXUS61 KPHI 180700
AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
300 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the region today before shifting off the
coast of New England on Saturday. A series of weak disturbances will
welcome unsettled weather back to the region this weekend, ahead of
a strong cold front that crosses through the region Sunday night.
High pressure returns on Monday and persists through the middle
portion of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Cold front continues to work its way south through the region, and
then this front will become nearly stationary over the Mid-Atlantic.
Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes builds east. A much drier
airmass will spread into the region with surface dew points dropping
into the 50s north and west of the Fall Line and into the low to mid
60s elsewhere. A welcome respite from the high humidity of the last
several days. Cooler temperatures as well, with seasonable highs in
the low to mid 80s north and west of the Fall Line and in the mid to
upper 80s elsewhere.

Some shortwave energy approaches from the west and will ride along
the stationary front over the Mid-Atlantic. Weak low pressure forms,
and then few late day showers are possible over Delmarva. More
showers and thunderstorms will develop late tonight, primarily over
Delmarva, the Delaware Valley including Philadelphia, and southern
New Jersey. Surface dew points creep up a bit, and lows will be in
the upper 50s in the southern Poconos, far northwest New Jersey, and
the Lehigh Valley, in the low to mid 60s for most elsewhere, and in
the low 70s in Delmarva.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
An upper-low over the Hudson Bay and northern Quebec will shift
slowly southeastward through the period. With ridging centered over
the southeastern US, our region will initially have weak zonal flow
aloft and neutral heights. A subtle shortwave embedded in the zonal
flow regime is expected to cross the area on Saturday. As the
surface high shifts east off the coast of New England,
precipitation chances increase across the area (PoPs in the
40-60% range). Instability looks to be quite tame with this
system, so the severe threat is low. However, there will be
ample moisture to work with to support at least some potential
for excessive rainfall. Hence, a Marginal Risk lies across most
of our area for excessive rainfall.

As the upper-low shifts southeast through the weekend, it`s forecast
to become more of an open trough with the trough axis crossing
through by Sunday night. At the surface, a warm front will lift
across the region early Sunday morning as a cold front
approaches later Sunday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will be possible across much of the area during the afternoon
and evening hours ahead of the front. Guidance does show signs
of more instability and better forcing which may lead to some
severe potential -- indicated by some of the machine learning
guidance. Overall, will need to continue to monitor this
potential over the next couple days. Behind the front, we will
begin to see a much more comfortable airmass begin to filter
into the region on Sunday night.

In terms of temperatures for the weekend, Saturday will feature
highs in the low to mid 80s with Sunday becoming noticeably warmer
with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Lows will be mild on
Saturday night in the low to mid 70s with cooler temps entering into
the region on Sunday night in the 50s/60s behind the frontal passage.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A much more comfortable airmass will build over the region early in
the week behind the frontal passage as high pressure builds in from
the north. Monday and Tuesday look to be both quite pleasant with
clear skies, dry weather, and temperatures a few degrees below
normal for mid-late July with dew points only in the 50s!

High pressure will then begin to move off the coast by Wednesday and
Thursday, leading to southwesterly return flow to set-up again. This
will lead to gradually warming temperatures to more seasonable
levels by mid-week. It`ll also bring the return of some isolated to
scattered storm chances each afternoon. All in all, the long term
period looks to be much less active than the previous two weeks.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Early this morning...VFR. W winds 5 to 10 kt, turning NW into
daybreak. High confidence.

Today...VFR. N-NW winds around 10 kt, turning W-NW after 18Z. High
confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Scattered late night SHRA/TSRA, mainly at KMIV/KACY.
LGT/VRB winds. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday...Primarily VFR with sub-VFR conditions
possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms on both Saturday and
Sunday afternoon.

Sunday night through Tuesday...VFR. No significant weather
expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions today and tonight. NW winds 10
to 20 kt into this afternoon, becoming S around 10 kt through
tonight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

A few thunderstorms possible late tonight, especially south of Great
Egg Inlet.

Outlook...

Saturday through Tuesday...No marine headlines expected. Winds
largely will remain below 15 kt with seas around 2-3 feet. A chance
for showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday with fair
weather returning for Monday and Tuesday.

For today, northwest winds around 5-10 mph become more out of
the southeast by late afternoon with breaking waves around 1-2
feet and a southerly 2 foot swell around 6-7 seconds. As a
result, have maintained a LOW risk for rip currents at all
beaches.

For Saturday, south to southeast winds around 5-10 mph with
breaking waves of 1-2 feet with a period of 7-8 seconds. As a
result, a LOW risk for rip currents at all beaches.

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers
and the speed of the currents are generally maximized at low
tides.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...DeSilva
NEAR TERM...MPS
SHORT TERM...Cooper/DeSilva
LONG TERM...Cooper/DeSilva
AVIATION...DeSilva/MPS
MARINE...DeSilva/MPS