North Platte, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

877
FXUS63 KLBF 030529
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1229 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain expected Thursday afternoon through Thursday night. A few thunderstorms
  are possible across southwest Nebraska Thursday afternoon and
  evening.

- Below normal highs Thursday through Saturday, with a warming
  trend and dry with a warming trend Sunday through next
  Wednesday.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 414 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Scattered instability showers since mid afternoon continue
across the southeast panhandle and southwest Nebraska. A few of
these showers have had small soft hail. A few lightning strikes
remain possible. These showers will end early this evening. A
northwest wind from 15 to 35 mph continued over the area as
well. Temperatures at 4 PM CDT, ranged from 39 at Valentine and
Ainsworth to 56 at Imperial.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 414 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Tonight, scattered rain showers will linger across southwestern
Nebraska early this evening, dissipating with skies becoming mostly
clear. Lows fall below freezing, in the mid 20s.

On Thursday, an large upper trough will extend over the Rockies into
the Desert Southwest. A lead disturbance in southwest flow aloft
over eastern CO and western KS Thursday morning will lift into
southwestern areas during the afternoon and bring likely chances
for showers. An H3 jet max 100-120KT extending from New Mexico
across eastern Nebraska late Thursday afternoon, aiding in upper
level divergence across western Nebraska. Some instability
exists late Thursday afternoon and evening, for a few embedded
thunderstorms in southwest Nebraska.

Models are forecasting PWATS from a half to two-thirds of an inch
Thursday evening and overnight. Ensemble mean QPFs from the GFS,
ECMWF, and Canadian all indicate a half inch to over three quarters
of an inch across all of southwest Nebraska north into central
portions of north central Nebraska. Deterministic models show even
higher amounts, including the 12Z and 18Z HRRR. Due to good model
agreement, NBM POPs are likely to categorical (60 to 90
percent) Thursday night. The ECMWF EFI SOT also shows a signal
for QPFs centered over southwest Nebraska.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 414 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Friday, an H7 trough axis oriented southwest to northeast will
slowly move eastward during the day. Although lift appears
weak, light rain showers still likely. High will be quite cool
from 40 to 45 with a northeast wind increasing to 10 to 20 mph,
especially across the west.

Friday night, the area will be on the backside of the upper trough
axis with a lingering chance for showers. Models have trended much
drier, so POPs may be lowered in upcoming forecasts.

Saturday, dry with northwest flow aloft, as an upper ridge briefly
builds across the western U.S. Breezy northerly winds and
continued cool in the mid 40s.

Warmer Sunday, then slightly cooler Monday as an upper trough drop
through the Great Lakes region. Then warmer Tuesday and Wednesday,
as the upper flow remains quasi-zonal. Looks dry, except for the
potential for a shortwave trough passage Tuesday/Wednesday and
maybe a chance for showers, with timing differences existing.

Highs should warm into the 60s Tuesday areawide, to the low 70s next
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Winds will be light overnight generally around 5 kts or less.
Lingering stratus deck will continue over the next few hours
across the northern Sandhills, including KVTN terminal, with
MVFR conditions, this is expect to lift in the early morning
hours than should see a return to VFR conditions. Winds will
generally be out of the east to southeast thorugh the day,
around 5 to 10 kts, with gust of 15 to 20 mph across western and
southwest Nebraska. Rain will begin to spread into the area,
first across the south in the afternoon and eventually work its
way northward by late evening.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Gomez