Cozad, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

807
FXUS63 KGID 082331
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
631 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures are expected to remain unseasonably warm for much
  of the forecast period, with highs mainly in the 80s. A cool
  down is expected heading into the weekend, with highs in the
  60s and lows in the 30s by Sunday.

- Dry conditions persist through the forecast period. There may
  be a small chance for a few sprinkles tomorrow night.

- Haze and smoke may continue to impact the area into tomorrow.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 342 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Temperatures for this time of year are usually in the upper 60s to
low 70s for highs and the low to mid-40s for lows. The continued
above normal conditions and persistent dry spell will continue
to cure fuels.

For the rest of this afternoon, high temperatures are expected to
reach the upper 70s to low 80s. Relative humidity values will range
from 20-30 percent. Winds will be fairly light out of the south
around 5-10MPH. This should limit the spread of any fires that do
spark. There are currently no fire weather headlines in effect
through the forecast period. Overnight lows will fall into the 40s
for most locations.

Wednesday, an upper trough will slide across western Nebraska and
Kansas. A model or two try to bring in a few sprinkles for areas
around and south of Highway 6 tomorrow evening. Similar to the prior
shift`s assessment, confidence in any one area getting a sprinkle or
to is very low. Relative humidity values will range from 20 to 30
percent. Winds will once again be the limiting factor in fire
weather issues. South winds gusting to around 10 to 15 MPH are
expected for most areas. Areas may continue to notice some hazy
skies through the day tomorrow due to ongoing issues with wildfire
smoke being transported into the area. Thus far, much of the smoke
that has moved across the state has not been near the surface.

Thursday, weak ridging will move over the area, helping to keep the
above normal temperatures in place. Highs will be in the mid to
upper 80s with lows in the low to mid-50s.

Friday marks the beginning of a shift in the weather pattern. A cold
front will start to move through the northwestern portions of the
area through the day, shifting winds to the north. Areas west of
Highway 281 and north of I-80 are currently forecast to have a 5-10
degree drop in high temperatures between Thursday and Friday. Highs
are currently expected to be in the upper 70s in that area. 80s are
expected for much of the rest of the area.

Cooler air pushes in Saturday, as temperatures fall into the mid to
upper 70s in Nebraska. Low 80s will be possible for locations along
and south of the Kansas/Nebraska border.

Another cold front will move in over the weekend, bringing our first
real taste of fall. Sunday highs will be in the 60s for most areas.
By Monday, highs will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows
will be a concern for those with agricultural and outdoor interests.
Sunday night/Monday morning, temperatures will fall into the low to
mid-30s in Nebraska and the upper 30s to low 40s in Kansas. Monday
night/Tuesday morning, lows will be in the low to mid-30s across the
Hastings CWA. Mainly clear skies and light winds are currently in
the forecast, which raises the concern of low temperatures being a
touch too warm. This will need to be monitored over the next few
days. Should this cooler trend continue for the latter part of the
weekend and the start of next week, headlines for frost and/or
freeze conditions may need to be considered.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 630 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Tonight: VFR. Light S wind 6-8kt. Batch of mid level clouds
(CIGs around 12-15K ft) will work through during the early
morning hours. Can`t rule out a sprinkle from this cloud deck,
but coverage/impacts not enough to include even a VCSH at this
time. Confidence: High.

Wednesday: VFR. S to SSW wind 7-11kt with perhaps some gusts
around 16-18kt late AM. Little to no cloud cover, but expect a
continuation of high level haze from western wildfire smoke.
Confidence: High.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Wekesser
AVIATION...Thies