Elk River, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles SSW Elk River MN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles SSW Elk River MN
Issued by: National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN |
Updated: 6:08 pm CDT Jul 12, 2025 |
|
Tonight
 Areas Smoke
|
Sunday
 Areas Smoke then Sunny
|
Sunday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Mostly Clear
|
Monday
 Sunny
|
Monday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance T-storms
|
Tuesday
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance T-storms
|
Tuesday Night
 Showers Likely
|
Wednesday
 Chance T-storms
|
Wednesday Night
 Chance Showers
|
Lo 60 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 75 °F |
Lo 58 °F |
|
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Air Quality Alert
Tonight
|
Areas of smoke. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Sunday
|
Areas of smoke before 11am. Sunny, with a high near 86. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Sunday Night
|
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 63. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Monday
|
Sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Monday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph. |
Tuesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday Night
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. |
Wednesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Wednesday Night
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Thursday
|
Partly sunny, with a high near 71. North northeast wind around 5 mph. |
Thursday Night
|
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Friday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the morning. |
Friday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Saturday
|
A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles SSW Elk River MN.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
227
FXUS63 KMPX 130001
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
701 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazardous air quality this weekend from Canadian wildfire smoke.
- Isolated thunderstorms possible Sunday evening. A more
widespread rain event likely Tuesday night - Wednesday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
A broad area of Canadian wildfire smoke has settled in across
the Upper Midwest over the past half day. AQI values are at
Unhealthy levels across the state, & may decrease further with
the arrival of another wave of dense smoke this afternoon. While
it`s an otherwise pleasant Summer day, it would be best to take
precautions and avoid strenuous outdoor activities & remain
indoors if possible. The smoke will clear out of the area
briefly on Sunday, but another broad area of wildfire smoke
pivots through Sunday evening into Monday per the HRRR near
surface smoke field. An Air Quality Alert remains in effect for
both MN & WI counties through Monday morning.
Sunday afternoon will present a slight chance for an isolated
thunderstorm to develop along a weak surface boundary that moves
through. Storms shouldn`t present much impact outside of a brief
shower & a few rumbles of thunder. Wildfire smoke should depart
by Tuesday for those hoping for better air quality. A better
chance of a more widespread precipitation event arrives late
Tuesday through Wednesday night. Guidance highlights a potent
shortwave along the international border on Tuesday & treks
eastward through Thursday. Increasing signal for a broad area of
0.50"+ of rain across the Upper Mississippi valley region by
the end of the work week. We will dry out with a surface high
pressure overhead Thursday & Friday that should lead to a
stretch of cooler than normal temperatures (think highs in the
70s). Temperatures return to normal next weekend with another
chance for thunderstorms & showers on Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 645 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Main issue through this duration will be the continued MVFR-
range visibility due to near-surface smoke from Canadian
wildfires. The smoke will remain in place overnight through late
Sunday morning, then a break from it looks to come Sunday
afternoon, allowing visibilities to climb over 5sm. Similar to
this afternoon, Sunday afternoon will also have FEW-SCT mid-
level cumulus coverage. There is a small chance of SHRA/TSRA
Sunday afternoon-evening over southern-eastern MN into western
WI but chances are too low to include at this point, and timing
is mainly after 00z tomorrow evening. Winds will back from W/NW
at initialization to SW tonight into tomorrow. Speeds drop below
10kts this evening through sunrise then will increase to around
10kts during the day Sunday.
KMSP...Canadian wildfire smoke will maintain degraded visibility
through late Sunday morning, mainly in the MVFR range.
Improvement to VFR looks likely from Sunday afternoon onward.
There is a non-zero chance of isolated showers/t-storms
impacting MSP after 00z tomorrow afternoon but chances are too
low to mention in the TAF at this point.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
TUE...VFR, chc MVFR/-TSRA. Wind S 10-15 kts.
WED...VFR, chc MVFR/-TSRA. Wind NE 5-10 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...BPH
AVIATION...JPC
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|