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Canton, Michigan 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Canton MI
National Weather Service Forecast for: Canton MI
Issued by: National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Updated: 4:24 am EDT Jun 19, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 67. Southwest wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers
Juneteenth

Juneteenth: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. West southwest wind 13 to 15 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Friday

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 92.
Decreasing
Clouds
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Mostly Clear

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
Hot

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 75.
Clear

Lo 67 °F Hi 75 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 84 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 96 °F Lo 75 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Overnight
 
A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 67. Southwest wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Juneteenth
 
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. West southwest wind 13 to 15 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Saturday
 
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 92.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Sunday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
Sunday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 75.
Monday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 97.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 75.
Tuesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Canton MI.

Weather Forecast Discussion
698
FXUS63 KDTX 190720
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
320 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light to moderate rain continues this morning with better coverage
across the Tri-Cities and northern Thumb. Additional chances for
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

- Chance (20-40%) for showers and thunderstorms again Friday and
Saturday.

- Hot and dry Sunday and Monday. High temperatures in the 90s and
heat index around 100 are likely, with minimal relief at night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

An area of deformation aligning with wrap around moisture from the
departing low pressure system will continue to support widespread
light rainfall through the Tri-Cities and northern Thumb. Isolated
to scattered coverage will be possible for locations south. The lack
of instability will hamper thunderstorm chances, keeping rainfall
rates in check, but the prolonged rainfall across the Tri-Cities
will produce an additional half-inch to inch of new accumulation
leading into the late morning hours. The continued departure of the
low will back flow and release the residual moisture into Southeast
Michigan ahead of a trough axis which will expand light rainfall
across the greater portion of the cwa through the late morning and
early afternoon hours.

Advection of moisture out of the state will bring a window in
the late afternoon to early evening for destabilization which will
renew chances for some isolated to scattered coverage of showers or
thunderstorms. The CAPE gradient along the the edge of the departing
cloud shield can lead to a differential heating gradient and may
serve as a mesoscale trigger for CI. Degree of organization will
depend on magnitude of instability recovery from morning
precipitation, but at this time HREF P(>500 J/kg CAPE) nears 100%
through the Tri-Cities, as scouring of cloud cover takes place from
west to east. While severe weather is not anticipated with afternoon
and evening activity, EBWD values of 20-25 knots can support some
degree of organized convection and steep low-level lapse rates with
DCAPE value around 800 J/kg can aid in 45-55 mph gusts from a
microburst.

All storm chances end late tonight with the lack of diurnal heating,
with some additional showers and thunderstorm chances again for
tomorrow afternoon through Saturday morning along an elevated warm
front front that accelerates in on the nose of a mid-level jet.
Tomorrow through the weekend will see the enhancement of a
significant upper-level ridge that will become the dominant feature
of interest through early next week with strong multi-model ensemble
support for anomalously high mid-tropospheric heights and
temperatures.

The EPS show 500mb heights reaching or exceeding the 99.5th
percentile over SE MI Sunday into Monday and likewise with 850mb
temperatures nearing or exceeding the 99.5th percentile as 850mb
temperatures rise aoa 22C. It is worth noting that the ECMWF and
corresponding ensemble solutions may be amplifying the forecasted
ridge somewhat noting the warm biases observed from last year, but
regardless, strong agreement among GEFS members in conjunction with
the EPS suite lends to an extremely high confidence forecast for the
expansion of well above normal temperatures through early next week.

850MB temperatures aoa 22C along with dry conditions will allow
temperatures to reach the 90 degree mark Saturday, and exceed the 90
degree mark Sunday and Monday, with mid 90s possible for much of the
cwa, especially through the urban corridor. Dew points in the upper
60s to low 70s will bring oppressive humidity and will allow heat
indices to rise into the upper 90s to low 100s Sunday and Monday.
EPS EFI values for max temperatures reach .9-.99 both days, with
shift of tail values near or above 1 through the urban corridor and
portions of the Tri-Cities and Thumb. This highlights a notable
displacement (upper 10%) of ensemble solutions when compared to M-
Climate data and reinforces that hot temperatures are inbound,
potentially challenging  prior records. Last, this heat wave will
also bring very warm overnight low and will provide no relief as
forecasted lows hold in low to mid 70s Sunday morning through Tuesday
morning. Another round of 90 degree temperatures are possible
Tuesday afternoon, but the introduction of rain chances lowers
confidence in forecast trends.

&&

.MARINE...

Small Craft Advisories take effect today for outer Saginaw Bay to
Harbor Beach, and for Lake St Clair and Lake Erie, associated with
wind and waves trailing the governing low pressure system as it exits
the region. An active shower and storm pattern continues through the
end of the week while gradually shifting farther north across the
Great Lakes while heat and humidity build across the region during
the weekend.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1159 PM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025

AVIATION...

Variable ceiling conditions exist across Southeast Michigan as
relatively warm/mild low to midlevel temperatures exist particularly
south of KMBS. Persistent large scale deformation is expected to
bring prevailing showers to much of Southeast Michigan during the
overnight. Given the high likelihood for precipitation with a
relatively moist environment prefer to carry MVFR to IFR ceilings.
Colder and drier air is expected advect quickly into Southeast
Michigan after 12Z which should lead to improving conditions.
A period of wrap around light precipitation is anticipated between
15-18Z Thursday. Dry conditions Thursday afternoon and night.

For DTW/D21 Convection...Thunderstorm activity is no longer
anticipated.

 THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* High for ceiling aob 5000 ft tonight and early Thursday.


&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for LHZ421-441.

Lake St Clair...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for LCZ460.

Michigan waters of Lake Erie...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for LEZ444.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AM
MARINE.......BT
AVIATION.....CB


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at www.weather.gov/detroit.
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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