Natchitoches, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

562
FXUS64 KSHV 010705
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
205 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday)
Issued at 107 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

A prevailing surface high across the region to shift southeast
today allowing for a weak surface boundary to move into Arkansas
and northeast Texas this afternoon. A mid-level shortwave will
dive southeast allowing for thunderstorms to increase in
coverage across portions of northeast Texas along the front. With
dewpoint values south of the front in the mid to upper 60s, could
see enough buoyancy during the afternoon to support deep
convection with a few storms becoming severe across east and
northeast Texas. Hail and damaging winds will be the main threat.

Conditions to improve with the loss of daytime heating. Overnight
lows tonight are forecast to average in the 60s.

South winds to increase across the region on Monday as the surface
high shifts east. Upper-level ridge building across the region
will allow for dry conditions on Monday with high temperatures
forecast to climb into the lower 90s. /05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 107 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Southwest flow to prevail aloft from the start of the long-term
period through midweek. Southern stream moisture to bring
increased cloud cover to the region from Tuesday evening through
at least Thursday. Additionally, could see widespread showers and
thunderstorms across the I-30 corridor from Tuesday through
Thursday as a frontal boundary stalls across these areas.
Rain chances to gradually diminish from late week into the weekend
as a surface high across Mexico builds northeast allowing for weak
northwest flow to return across the ArkLaTex. However, can`t rule
out a scattered diurnally driven afternoon showers and
thunderstorms along the lingering front across southeast Oklahoma
and southwest Arkansas through the end of the period. The
prevailing surface high across southeast Texas into north
Louisiana could drive afternoon high temperatures into the mid 90s
late in the week into the weekend. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

All terminals are prevailing VFR conditions with clear skies and
light winds, which will persist through the night. Some patchy fog
development is expected at the typical terminals due to the drop
in winds, but should mix out a few hours after sunrise. Cloud
cover will move back into the region from the northwest by late
morning ahead of some showers and thunderstorms. Coverage of the
rain will most likely include East Tx sites, but some brief
showers at other terminals will be possible around midday and into
the afternoon. Light and variable winds with mostly clear skies
should return tomorrow night after the rain passes. /57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  88  69  92  73 /  10   0  10   0
MLU  87  66  89  71 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  84  63  88  68 /  20   0   0   0
TXK  86  65  91  71 /  20   0   0   0
ELD  86  62  89  67 /  10   0   0   0
TYR  87  70  88  73 /  30  20  10   0
GGG  86  67  89  71 /  20  10  10   0
LFK  90  70  90  71 /  20  20  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...57