Monroe, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

694
FXUS64 KSHV 221220
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
620 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1206 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

 - Mild conditions will remain across the region overnight, but
   the recent cold front will lift back north into the region
   after daybreak. This will give way to much warmer and more
   humid conditions today.

 - Can`t rule out some light drizzle or isolated showers across
   our Deep East Texas and Central & Northeast Louisiana zones
   today, along with some patchy morning fog.

 - Dry conditions will return by Tuesday and continue through the
   remainder of the Christmas Holiday week and into the first half
   of next weekend. Near record warmth will return to much of the
   region during this period. Rain chances return during the
   latter half of next weekend with a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

The region remains overcast tonight, as stratus has been stubborn
to clear. Because of this, decided to raise overnight lows in
locations clearing was originally expected. Temperatures will
likely only fall a few more degrees through daybreak. So, expect
morning lows to range from the upper 40s across SE Oklahoma and
adjacent SW Arkansas, to the mid to upper 50s south of Interstate
20. Another change made was in reference to our fog potential. The
fog development is dependent on when the warm front lifts into the
area. It appears this will occur closer to daybreak rather than
overnight, as the front still remains around the I-10 corridor of
SE Texas and adjacent SW Louisiana. As the boundary gets into our
East Texas and Central Louisiana zones around daybreak, expect the
fog to accompany it. There is also a slight chance of some light
drizzle and/or isolated showers developing along and ahead of the
front. Short-term progs are keeping these slight precipitation
chances across Deep East Texas, and extending northeastward into
Central & Northeast Louisiana. The warm front will continue to
lift northward into the region during the morning hours,
eventually washing out as it shifts to near the I-30 corridor
around lunchtime. In wake of the front, slight precipitation
chances will remain generally across the same locations, as models
hint at the development of some isolated warm air advection
drizzle and/or light showers. Southwest winds behind the warm
front will also yield warmer and more humid conditions today.
Afternoon highs will range from the upper 60s north of Interstate
30, to the mid to upper 70s south of Interstate 20.

Upper ridging will quickly build into the region by this evening.
This will bring a return in dry conditions to the area, but the
warmer and humid airmass will remain in place. Progs are
suggesting widespread fog development after midnight, lasting
through mid-morning Tuesday. As of now, decided to keep fog on the
patchy side, but dense fog can`t be ruled out. These dry and
warmer conditions will remain in place through the remainder of
the Christmas Holiday week and through the first half of next
weekend. Afternoon highs will top out in the mid to upper 70s, and
possibly into the lower 80s, during this period. This could
result in record highs in some locations. Rain chances will return
by the latter half of next weekend as another cold front moves
into the region. /20/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

A mix of MVFR and IFR ceilings currently prevailing across our
airspace attm. Also dealing with some patchy drizzle across NE TX
into N LA and S AR this morning as well. As we go through the
remainder of the morning and especially during the afternoon,
should see ceilings lifting and they may actually scatter out in a
few locations. If we see any VFR conditions this afternoon into
early this evening, look for MVFR and IFR ceilings to return once
again late tonight towards the tail end of this TAF period. Also
cannot rule out at least MVFR VSBYs overnight tonight but there
may be just enough mixing in the boundary layer to keep any dense
fog at bay. Winds will gradually swing back around to the
southeast and south today into tonight with speeds generally near
or under 10kts.

13

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1206 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  65  77  60 /  20   0   0   0
MLU  74  61  76  57 /  20   0   0   0
DEQ  66  55  72  57 /   0  10  10  10
TXK  71  62  75  61 /   0  10  10   0
ELD  70  59  73  56 /  20  10  10   0
TYR  76  64  77  62 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  76  64  77  59 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  77  64  78  60 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...13