Carencro, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

998
FXUS64 KLCH 160513
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1213 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...


- Periodic Gale force winds over the coastal waters are expected
  tonight into Monday and a Gale Warning is in effect.

- Elevated fire danger on Monday due to strong north winds and
  low afternoon relative humidity values along with dry fuels
  depending on how much rain falls on Sunday night and a Red Flag
  Warning has been issued.

- There is the potential for a light freeze for Monday night into
  Tuesday morning for mainly areas north of the I-10 corridor.
  Therefore a freeze warning/freeze watch has been issued as this
  is beyond the average last freeze date for the area.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

A sharp cold front is currently a little over half way through the
forecast area. Strong gusty northwest winds are advecting in much
cooler and drier air into the area. The timing of everything
remains the same as previous forecasts. The main difference with
the update is that pops were introduced late tonight with the
850mb front and yes there could be a brief period of light
rain/snow showers during this period across Central Louisiana.

Still expecting colder conditions Monday night into Tuesday
morning across the region and guidance has trended cooler over the
past several cycles. Went ahead with a freeze warning earlier
where probabilities are the highest and bounded it with a watch to
the west and south to near I-10.

Still looking at a windy day on Monday with much drier air making
for high fire danger. The only limiting factor may be periods of
clouds to make it even worse. Red Flag warning will continue.

Beyond Tuesday it looks dry with a gradual warming trend and
temperatures look to get into the mid and upper 80s for highs
Friday into the weekend across interior portions of Southeast
Texas and Central Louisiana with lower 80s closer to the coast.



&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Monday Mar 16 2026

This forecast will be mainly post frontal with the exception of
maybe KLFT and KARA. Mainly VFR cigs in the wake of the through
the night with scattering sky conditions during the day. Winds
will be gusty through the day and relax during the evening
tomorrow especially at KAEX.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

A strong cold front will continue to sweep through the coastal
waters tonight, bringing a brief period of showers and storms.
With a cold air mass behind the front moving over warmer Gulf
waters, strong and gusty offshore flow with gusts upwards of 40
kts can be expected into Monday, along with building and rough
seas. The elevated northerly winds and high seas will persist into
Monday night. Winds will gradually be relaxing and becoming
onshore by mid week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

A cold front has moved across the area this evening into the
overnight Sunday. This front produced rainfall amounts less than
one quarter of an inch in most areas, however there were a few
areas that received one quarter to one half inch with locally
higher amounts in Southern Vernon/extreme northern Beauregard
northwest across northern portions of Newton County. Another area
from southern Beauregard northwest to Tyler County and then
portions of Hardin County. Strong and gusty north winds and a very
dry air mass behind the front will likely lead to elevated fire
weather concerns on Today and a Red Flag Warning has been issued
for the entire area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  38  52  29  58 /  80   0   0   0
LCH  42  55  34  59 /  70  10   0   0
LFT  44  53  32  58 /  90  10   0   0
BPT  42  56  34  61 /  60   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT Monday for LAZ027>033-044-045-055-
     073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Monday for LAZ027>033-
     044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

     Freeze Warning from 8 PM Monday to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for
     LAZ027>033.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     LAZ044-045-141>143-153.

TX...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CDT Monday for TXZ180-201-259>262-515-
     516-615-616.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Monday for TXZ180-201-
     259>262-515-516-615-616.

     Freeze Warning from 8 PM Monday to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ260.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     TXZ180-201-259-261-262.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ430-432-435-
     436.

     Low Water Advisory from 4 AM to 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ430-432-
     435-436.

     Gale Warning until 1 PM CDT Monday for GMZ450-452-455-470-472-
     475.

     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Monday to 1 AM CDT Tuesday for
     GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...27