Somerset, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Somerset KY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Somerset KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Jackson, KY |
Updated: 3:28 am EDT Jun 13, 2025 |
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Overnight
 Partly Cloudy
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Friday
 Chance T-storms then T-storms
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Friday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Saturday
 Showers Likely then T-storms
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Saturday Night
 T-storms then Showers Likely
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Sunday
 Showers Likely then T-storms
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Sunday Night
 T-storms then Chance Showers
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Monday
 Chance Showers then Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Showers Likely then Chance Showers
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Lo 68 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 67 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Overnight
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Partly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 68. Calm wind. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Light and variable wind. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 83. South southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 68. South southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 81. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Monday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Juneteenth
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Somerset KY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
896
FXUS63 KJKL 130716
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
316 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will be above normal today.
- Unsettled weather returns to end the week - continuing through
the first half of next week, with showers and thunderstorms
likely each day.
- Some strong storms are possible today into the weekend with
strong wind gusts, in addition to the potential for excessive
rainfall producing isolated instances of high water or flash
flooding.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 316 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2025
A cut-off stacked low over the middle of the country will slowly
move east to the Ohio River Valley by Saturday evening. Southwest
flow ahead of this feature will continue advecting moisture into
the region, and with that moisture will come sufficient
instability to support afternoon and evening convection across the
region each afternoon and evening with any appreciable surface
heating. With PWs beginning to approach 2 inches by late this
afternoon and then persisting through Saturday, there will be a
risk for torrential rainfall producing excessive rainfall and
isolated instances of high water and/or flash flooding with the
heavier storms.
With increasing moisture bringing an increase in cloud cover and
afternoon convection, high temperatures will begin trending slightly
downward, with highs in the mid to upper 80s today but in the lower
to mid 80s Saturday. Lows tonight will generally fall into the 60s.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 316 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2025
Weakening stacked low will gradually dissipate over the Upper
Ohio River Valley Monday after moving across eastern Kentucky
Sunday and Sunday night. However, this will be followed almost
immediately by another warm front from the southwest later Monday
that will bring a renewed push of moisture into the region from
the southwest that then persists through mid-week. Thus, the
forecast will not change much from Sunday through the coming week
until after Thursday, when models suggest the mid-latitude jet
stream will dip south and push a trough and surface cold front
across the region later Thursday. Projecting this scenario out in
time would suggest that Days 8 to 10 period may see a drying
trend after a week of likely shower and thunderstorms each day.
Using the NBM as the basis for the temperature forecast for the long-
term, which seems reasonable, high temperatures bottom out in the
upper 70s to lower 80s Sunday with categorical shower and
thunderstorm probabilities, then gradually warm each day through
the 80s as the week progresses with likely shower and thunderstorm
probabilities persisting through Thursday. Nighttime lows in the
60s to near 70 degrees are expected, with potentially locally
dense valley fog developing each morning with any amount of
partial clearing.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2025
VFR conditions still dominate across the area. Winds are
currently calm to light and variable and will remain so through
the rest of the night. JKL, SME, and LOZ could see some fog bring
MVFR visibilities tonight as it forms in the valleys and expands
in the pre-dawn hours. By 13Z or so, that fog will lift and
dissipate, with VFR conditions returning. Scattered showers and
storms then return to the area and continue to be a threat
through the remainder of the TAF period. These would bring gusty
winds and lower visibility should they impact any TAF sites,
warranting a lengthy PROB30 mention. Outside of storms, winds are
expected to remain fairly light, generally around 5 kts, or less.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CMC
LONG TERM...CMC
AVIATION...HAS/GREIF
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