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Elizabethtown, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Elizabethtown KY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Elizabethtown KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Louisville, KY |
| Updated: 11:13 pm EDT Jun 12, 2025 |
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Overnight
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Friday
Chance
Showers then
T-storms
Likely
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Friday
Night
T-storms
Likely then
Showers
Likely
|
Saturday
Showers
Likely then
T-storms
|
Saturday
Night
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
|
Sunday
Showers
Likely
|
Sunday
Night
Showers
Likely then
Chance
T-storms
|
Monday
Chance
Showers
|
Monday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
| Lo 69 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
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Overnight
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A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 81. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a chance of showers. Low around 68. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Monday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Monday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. |
Wednesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Juneteenth
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Elizabethtown KY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
418
FXUS63 KLMK 130250
AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1050 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Tonight, chances for showers and thunderstorms return across
southern Kentucky.
* Shower and thunderstorm chances increase Friday into the weekend.
Heavy rainfall and localized flooding are the main concerns with
storms.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1050 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Previous forecast remains on track. Just a slight tweak to fog.
There is a low confidence chance for some patchy fog development
over southern Kentucky and eastern Kentucky. Calm winds, clear
skies, and good radiational cooling may bring these areas near the
crossover temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 357 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Tonight, the jet stream remains over the northern CONUS. An upper
closed low, part of a weak upper trough, drops south and is
continuing to slide northeast into the Ozarks. Ahead of the low,
south surface winds carry moisture north through the Mississippi and
Ohio River Valleys. Precipitable water values, currently around 1-
1.25", lift to around 1.75" early tonight. Chances for isolated
showers and thunderstorms increase throughout the night over central
Kentucky, mainly the western and southern parts of the CWA. Anything
that does develop isn`t expected to be severe. Lows are expected to
drop into the low 70s to upper 60s.
Around sunrise, rain will likely begin falling in parts of southern
Indiana and central Kentucky. Chances will increase as the upper low
inches towards the Lower Ohio Valley. Precipitation is expected to
come in waves as they swing around the low, and with diurnal
warming, afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms could see
higher rainfall rates as precipitable water values reach slightly
above 2", leading to heavy showers. Ponding on roadways should be
expected under heavier rainfall. Model soundings show decent
instability with MLCAPE values mostly in the 1,500 J/kg neighborhood.
A couple places could see values reach higher for a short period of
time, but with shear values remaining weak, some gusty winds will be
possible. Mostly cloudy skies should help limit instability and keep
severe potential limited. Highs are expected to reach into the low
to mid 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 357 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
Friday night, as the upper low pushes a surface low through Missouri
into southern Illinois, a weak (25-35 knot) low level jet will work
east over southern Indiana and central Kentucky. Precipitation will
likely continue in waves, but as the low nears the CWA on Saturday,
rainfall is expected to become more widespread. Thunder would remain
possible, but severe weather isn`t expected.
The upper low continues east over southern Indiana before
dissipating Saturday night, and by Sunday night, it should be gone,
being picked up by upper zonal flow. The surface low is expected to
remain over southern Indiana into Monday. Precipitable water values
likely remain around 1.75-2", so plenty of moisture will keep cloud
cover and precipitation in the area. Throughout this time, periods
of scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely. Severe weather
chances remain low.
Heading into early next week, the general trend has northwest flow
carrying a possible wave towards the Lower Ohio Valley around
Tuesday. This could potentially result in additional precipitation
chances before a cold front arrives Wednesday night or Thursday (the
Euro is a little faster than the GFS). Temperatures will slowly warm
from the low to mid 80s to the upper 80s by Wednesday and Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 724 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the overnight hours. There is a
weak signal for fog development over RGA/LEX/BWG, however confidence
is quite low. In the early morning, mid levels clouds will build in
from the west ahead of some dissipating convection. Light showers
may move through southern and central Kentucky as these showers
dissipate. Later in the afternoon, a few broken waves of showers and
storms will move through the region. Timing is a bit tough right
now, so leaving these in as PROB30 groups to cover the greatest time
period. Further TAF issuances will be able to narrow this timeframe
some more.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...SRW
SHORT TERM...KDW
LONG TERM...KDW
AVIATION...SRW
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