Burlington, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

586
FXUS61 KILN 160619
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
219 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased snow chances for this afternoon into early evening.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Showers with embedded thunderstorms will taper off across our
eastern areas through the pre-dawn hours. A cold front will move east
across the area this morning, ushering in a much colder airmass.

2) Scattered snow showers are expected later today, potentially
lingering into this evening. Although roads are expected to be
mainly wet during the daytime, some isolated slick spots may develop
after sunset with falling air and ground temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
Showers with a fine line of embedded thunderstorms will affect
eastern portions of our area over the next few hours. The severe
threat should continue to decrease as the storms move into a less
favorable thermodynamic environment. However, with the strong low
level wind fields, a few strong to severe wind gusts will remain
possible across our eastern area over the next couple of hours.

A strong cod front will move east across our area this morning with
good CAA developing behind it. This will lead to falling temperatures
today with late afternoon readings in the upper 20s to mid 30s. In
the CAA, winds will gust in the 30 to 40 mph range through this
afternoon.

KEY MESSAGE 2)
Steep low level lapse rates will develop through this afternoon with
the snow squall parameter lighting up across our area this afternoon
into early evening. This should allow for fairly widespread snow
showers development as we head into this afternoon and some wrap
around moisture works into our area so have bumped pops up into the
high chance to likely category. Localized heavier snow showers will
be capable of reducing visibilities at times. During the daytime
period, expect any accumulations to be mainly on grassy and elevated
surfaces with roads remaining mainly wet. However, as temperatures
continue to fall and we head into the evening hours, some slick
spots may begin to develop on area roadways.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Line of thunderstorms will reach KCMH/KLCK within the next hour with
localized gusts to around 45 knots possible. Otherwise, showers will
taper off from the west through the pre-dawn hours as a cold front
moves through the region. MVFR cigs will prevail in the CAA behind
the front and southwest winds will gust to around 35 knots through
this afternoon. Meanwhile, scattered snow showers are expected to
develop this afternoon and continue into the early evening hours
before ending. These will be capable of producing localized IFR
conditions.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings will be possible into Tuesday morning. MVFR
ceilings and visibilities possible Wednesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for KYZ089>100.
IN...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL