El Dorado, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

060
FXUS63 KICT 240834
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
234 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread dense fog potential through this morning, and again
  tonight through Thursday morning.

- Unseasonably mild temperatures through Saturday, with record warm
  temperatures in jeopardy.

- Drastic cool down likely Saturday night through early next week.

- Mostly dry weather through the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

FOG:

Unseasonably rich moisture coupled with light winds and diurnal
cooling is supporting widespread dense fog early this morning.
Expect this fog to gradually dissipate from the south-southwest this
morning, as southwest low-level flow commences and drier air
attempts to advect in from the southwest. Per the latest short-term
guidance, locations generally north of Highway 56 may hold onto the
fog and low clouds a good portion of the day, in vicinity of the
stalled surface trough. We have the dense fog advisory running
through noon, but may eventually need to be extended longer for
central Kansas.

Fog is expected to expand across the region once again this evening
and tonight (Wednesday evening-night) and persist into Thursday
morning, as the moist airmass and surface trough remain across the
area. The fog will likely be most widespread generally north-
northeast of a line extending from Chanute to El Dorado to
Hutchinson to Great Bend. Guidance shows modest to high
probabilities for dense fog once again. Today`s shift will diagnose
the need for another dense fog advisory.

TEMPERATURES:

Similar to yesterday, daytime high temperatures will be tricky to
pin down through Thursday, as lingering low clouds/fog and limited
mixing near and north of the surface trough axis will have a
significant impact on warming potential. Consequently, lowered highs
several degrees over central and north-central Kansas today and
Thursday, with some locations likely remaining in the 50s.
Meanwhile, southern and southeast Kansas will have the greatest
potential to reach the 70s where mixing is better and fog/low clouds
are not as prevalent. The unseasonably mild temperatures look to
persist through Saturday.

By late Saturday night, a strong cold front surging south through
the region will usher in stout/gusty north winds and much cooler
temperatures, with Sunday and Monday highs likely only in the 30s
and low 40s, and early morning wind chills in the single digits and
teens.

A modest warm up into the 40s-50s is expected as we head into
Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

PRECIPITATION:

Can`t rule out brief precipitation chances over southeast Kansas
Saturday night through Sunday, in response to the strong cold front
blasting south through Mid-America, and associated upper forcing
giving the region a glancing blow. Model consensus supports better
chances just east and south of southeast Kansas. Otherwise, dry
weather is expected everywhere else through at least the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1126 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Widespread dense fog continued to impact most of south central
and parts of central and southeast Kansas. Confidence is high
that widespread dense fog will continue to slowly expand over
south central and southeast Kansas tonight while gradually
building westward into central Kansas late tonight or during
the predawn hours on Christmas Eve. Light southwest winds are
expected to allow the fog to mix out during the mid to late
morning hours on Wed but confidence in this remains somewhat low
based on what happened yesterday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 228 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Record high temperatures in jeopardy through Saturday:

THURSDAY DECEMBER 25...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)
Wichita          68                68 (2019)
Chanute          72                71 (1922)

FRIDAY DECEMBER 26...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)
Wichita          69                69 (2021)
Salina           67                67 (2008)
Chanute          69                75 (2021)
Russell          70                72 (2021)

SATURDAY DECEMBER 27...

Site        Forecast High      Record High (Year)
Wichita          70                68 (1946)
Salina           66                68 (1928)
Chanute          71                74 (1946)
Russell          64                66 (1956)

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>095-098-099.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...MWM
CLIMATE...ADK