Spring Hill, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

920
FXUS62 KTBW 231305
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
805 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 805 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

High pressure will hold across the area today with northeast to
east winds bringing some Atlantic moisture westward leading to
scattered to broken stratocumulus at times. There are some low
clouds moving across parts of the Nature Coast and Interstate 4
corridor early this morning, but these should dissipate over the
next couple of hours. Overall the current forecast looks good with
no changes planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 805 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

VFR conditions should prevail through early tonight with just some
areas of broken stratocumulus at 4000 to 6000 feet. Late tonight
some areas of low clouds and fog could spread southwest into the
Tampa Bay area, but at this time it looks like it will mainly
affect LAL and remain north and east of TPA and PIE. Northeast to
east winds at 5 to 10 knots will continue, except shifting to
northwest for a few hours later this afternoon and early evening
at TPA, PIE, and SRQ as the sea breeze moves inland.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 146 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024
Surface high pressure along the mid Atlantic coast will begin to
retreat over the western Atlantic through Tuesday, with another
area of high pressure building over the eastern seaboard in its
wake through the remainder of the week. This will maintain east to
northeast boundary layer flow across the Florida peninsula which
will continue to modify the airmass in place over the region with
temperatures/low level moisture gradually increasing each day.
Temperatures will run above climatic normals through the forecast
period. Given the flow off of the Atlantic, isolated to scattered
showers will likely advect onshore the east coast of Florida each
day, but the shower activity should dissipate as it pushes
inland. There is the risk for a brief light shower over interior
areas mainly during the afternoon/evening hours each day this week
and into the weekend.

GFS/Euro continue to indicate moisture advecting over the forecast
area from the south late in the week with the potential for an
increasing chance of showers. However, NBM guidance continues to
be dry and is the preferred solution until evolution of these
features becomes more apparent.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 146 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024
High pressure will hold over the waters through the period and
although winds may be a bit elevated, they are expected to remain
below cautionary levels.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 146 AM EST Mon Dec 23 2024
No fire weather hazards are expected as there will be sufficient
low level moisture to keep minimum afternoon relative humidity
values above critical levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  55  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  79  58  80  61 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  76  56  78  57 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  76  57  77  58 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  76  47  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  73  58  74  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Close
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn