Miami, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

375
FXUS62 KMFL 141953
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
353 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Ensemble solutions and sfc analyses depict a rather typical summer
pattern prevailing during the short term with a sprawling ridge
firmly in control of the west Atlantic and the Florida peninsula.
Aloft, models also keep high pressure in place over the region for
the next several days.

Latest ACARS and MFL 18Z sounding still depict a drier vertical
profile with PWATs in the 1.2-1.5 inch range, and fairly drier air
above 700 mb. This should keep thunderstorm activity to a minimum
tonight, with best chances for some lingering evening showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the western half of SoFlo. This is
mainly due to the prevailing synoptic flow, driven by SE winds
associated with the aforementioned high pressure ridge dominating
the west Atlantic. Overnight, some coastal showers might develop and
persist through Sunday morning, but most should be quick and light
in nature.

For the rest of Sunday, the overall synoptic pattern remains the
same with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms favoring
interior and western areas of SoFlo. But with a layer of drier air
remaining in the mid-upper levels aloft, and models suggesting
steeper lapse rates/DCAPE around 1000 jkg, there is potential for a
few strong thunderstorms. Sea breeze boundaries may again become
focal points for the development of deeper convection, as well as
outflow boundaries from previous storms. Main hazards will be
damaging gusty winds, lightning strikes, and localized heavy rain.

Tonight`s temperatures are expected to remain in the low-mid 70s
inland to near 80 around coastal locations. For Sunday, afternoon
highs should be in the upper 80s to low 90s, warmer inland.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 349 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Long range guidance continues the ongoing synoptic pattern in place
through next week with prevailing sfc ridging across the west
Atlantic and the Florida peninsula, while high pressure also
dominates aloft.

The lingering SAL should be gradually dissipating through mid week,
with model soundings showing a drying trend of the middle/high
levels of the atmosphere. Therefore, expect a typical summer pattern
to continue with sea breeze circulations becoming the main mechanism
for deep convection/thunderstorms each afternoon. Also expecting
continuing early morning coastal showers each day.

Temperatures in general should continue to run above normals with
afternoon highs in the low-mid 90s inland, and upper 80s to low 90s
near the coasts. Overnight lows will likely reach low temps in the
lower 70s inland and around 80 across the east coast metro near the
coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Although a few SHRA are still possible in the vicinity of the
Atlantic terminals through 00Z, most shower/ts activity is
expected closer to APF this afternoon and early evening with
possible periods of MVFR conditions. In general, no major impacts
or long-duration reductions in ceiling/visibility are
anticipated. SE/S winds prevail during the forecast period at
10-15 knots with a few higher gusts, except SW seabreeze at KAPF
through 00z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Generally moderate SE winds are expected to continue into early next
week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each day
across South Florida`s coastal waters. Any thunderstorm that forms
may produce periods of gusty winds and rough seas. Outside of
convection, seas in the Atlantic 1-3 ft, and seas in the Gulf 2 ft
or less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 349 PM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Generally moderate SE winds are expected to continue into early next
week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each day
across South Florida`s coastal waters. Any thunderstorm that forms
may produce periods of gusty winds and rough seas. Outside of
convection, seas in the Atlantic 1-3 ft, and seas in the Gulf 2 ft
or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            80  89  80  89 /  20  40  10  30
West Kendall     76  91  76  91 /  20  40  20  30
Opa-Locka        80  91  80  92 /  20  40  10  30
Homestead        79  89  79  89 /  30  20  20  30
Fort Lauderdale  80  88  80  89 /  20  40  20  30
N Ft Lauderdale  80  89  79  89 /  20  40  10  30
Pembroke Pines   81  93  81  93 /  20  40  10  20
West Palm Beach  79  90  79  90 /  10  40  10  20
Boca Raton       79  91  79  91 /  10  40  10  30
Naples           74  90  75  91 /  50  60  50  70

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...17