Miami Gardens, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

537
FXUS62 KMFL 020049
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
849 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 841 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

A break in showers is expected for the rest of the evening and
into the overnight hours. The next round of showers, with
potential for heavy rain and/or localized flooding/flash flooding
events will begin Tuesday morning as a stalled boundary just
north of SoFlo will keep abundant deep moisture in place. Most of the
eastern half of SoFlo will be under a Slight Risk for Excessive
rainfall basically from 8am to 8pm Monday, with the Atlantic metro
areas showing the best chances for flooding.

Details of possible impacts and overall scenario for Monday will
be discussed in the next Area Forecast Discussion package.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1258 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

A broken line of showers and storms is moving across the area late
this morning bringing periodic downpours, frequent lightning and
gusty winds. This activity is expected to continue over the next
few hours although it should weaken as it continues to push
further south, making way for a mainly dry and mostly cloudy close
to the weekend. After a lull in convection overnight, shower and
thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase again early Monday
morning as a frontal boundary remains draped across the area
providing an additional source of lift. With south to
southwesterly surface flow prevailing across South Florida ahead
of this boundary, showers and storms will likely favor the eastern
portions of South Florida, although all of South Florida will
likely see periodic showers and storms on and off through Monday.
With showers and storms favoring the east coast, any slow moving
activity that gets pinned by a struggling sea breeze may lead to
localized flooding, and the area remains under a Slight risk of
excessive rainfall from the Weather Prediction Center. As the
parent low associated with our cold front continues to push off to
the northeast, a secondary vort max will round the base of this
upper level trough through the day on Monday which will cool
temperatures aloft and steepen lapse rates which could support a
few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms during the
afternoon. This threat is going to come down to timing, and with
abundant cloud cover expected most of the day, it`s not clear how
much the atmosphere will be able to destabilize although it is
worth mentioning. Overall, mainly a soggy day on Monday with hydro
topping the list of concerns. HREF LPMM is quite bullish, with
localized totals of 6-8" across some regions of South Florida, so
the threat for flooding somewhere across the east coast metro is
realistic.

Shower and storm activity could linger into the overnight period and
even early on Tuesday as the upper level vort max provides synoptic
support and moisture remains pooled across the region. After a brief
reprieve on Tuesday morning, additional rounds of showers and
storms are likely during the afternoon and evening. The front
should be washed out and dissipated by this time which should
allow for the return of southeast flow which should keep most
showers and storms away from the eastern metro and towards
interior areas and around the Lake Okeechobee region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1258 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Abundant moisture lingers into the mid week period with additional
scattered showers and storms likely on Wednesday afternoon and
evening. High pressure will prevail during this time period which
should allow for east-southeasterly wind flow to continue and keep
most showers and storms across inland areas of South Florida. PWATs
drop slightly beyond Wednesday but will remain in the 1.5-1.8" range
each afternoon which will still support heavy downpours within any
sea breeze thunderstorm activity. 500mb temperatures will warm a
touch and will remain in the -6 to -7 C range, which should limit
strong storm potential.

High temperatures will remain in the low to mid 90s with overnight
lows in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

VFR prevails tonight through around 09Z, then additional periods
of MVFR/IFR are expected with increasing showers and storms. Rain
and terminal restrictions are possible for extended periods of
time through much of the day, with possible lingering showers
past 03/00Z. Generally light and variable flow will again become
SW around 10kt after 12Z, then backing to the SSE later in the
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1131 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

Gentle to moderate winds will remain westerly over the weekend as
a frontal boundary stalls out. Chances for showers and storms
over local waters remains elevated through the weekend as a
front lingers across the Florida Peninsula. Seas across the
Atlantic waters will remain at 3 feet or less through the weekend
while seas across the Gulf waters remain at 2 feet or less. Any
thunderstorm that develops may produce brief periods of rough seas
and gusty winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            78  89  74  83 /  60  90  90  90
West Kendall     74  90  71  84 /  50  90  90  90
Opa-Locka        76  90  73  85 /  50  90  80  80
Homestead        76  88  73  84 /  60  90  90  90
Fort Lauderdale  76  87  73  82 /  50  90  80  80
N Ft Lauderdale  76  88  73  83 /  50  90  80  80
Pembroke Pines   78  92  74  87 /  50  90  80  80
West Palm Beach  74  88  72  83 /  50  90  80  80
Boca Raton       75  90  72  84 /  50  80  80  80
Naples           76  88  72  87 /  50  80  70  80

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rizzuto
LONG TERM....Rizzuto
AVIATION/UPDATE...17