Fort Lauderdale, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

491
FXUS62 KMFL 271113
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
713 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

South Florida remains situated between a dipole of surface ridging
today, with a ridge axis present in the Gulf in conjunction with a
separate foci in the western Atlantic. Not much more exciting when
look aloft as there is a dearth of synoptic forcing across the
region with quite the stagnant vertical column in place. 05z ACARS
data as well as future forecast model soundings show the continuance
of a stout mid-level subsidence inversion that will continue to
stifle any real rain chances (outside of a few shallow-layer stray
isolated showers advecting into the east coast metro areas via
easterly flow). A few pockets of patchy fog will be possible through
daybreak this morning across southwestern Florida as a nocturnal
inversion combined with a moist low-level boundary layer may set the
stage for saturation. Given the lack of any synoptic influence
aloft, the mesoscale will dictate the weather regime once again
today with winds veering onshore along both coasts during the
afternoon hours. Can`t rule out an isolated shower this afternoon
along the gulf breeze across inland southwestern Florida but overall
rain chances remain lackluster.

The amplification of a deep-layer ridge across the southeastern
United States on Monday will result in the prorogation of a backdoor
frontal boundary propagating southwestward across the Florida
Peninsula occurring in tandem with a weak upper level shortwave ridge-
riding. With the weak boundary on our doorstep, periphery moisture
associated with the frontal boundary in tandem with diurnal heating
and convergence (localized ascent along the gulf breeze boundary)
could set the stage for a few isolated showers and storms across
inland southwestern Florida. There will still be considerable
amounts of low-level dry air to contend with but if an updraft is
able to sustain long enough, forecast model soundings from CAMS such
as the HRRR, RAFS, and RAP show enough marginal instability to get a
thunderstorm going across inland southwestern Florida. Given how dry
the vegetation has become across our area and the isolated nature of
any rainfall, any lightning strike could potentially spark new
wildfires.

High temperatures will be similar this afternoon and once again on
Monday, the warmest temperatures are forecast for inland
southwestern Florida with widespread high temperatures in the low
90s. Along both the immediate gulf coast as well as the majority of
the east coast metro, temperatures will remain in the middle to
upper 80s during the afternoon hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

A rinse and repeat weather pattern will prevail for the rest of the
work week into the weekend as easterly flow continues and we remain
mostly dry. Deep-layer ridging will remain established across the
western Atlantic waters through the end of the week with light
synoptic flow aloft. Subsidence and a consequent capping inversion
will keep rainfall to a minimum. Outside of a few shallow-level
stray showers, the stretch of dry and warmth will continue with
drought conditions continuing to worsen. Under the easterly flow,
expect highs to be a bit cooler on the east coast than the west,
with mid to upper 80s east and low 90s west.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

Mainly VFR through the 12Z TAF period. Winds increase this
afternoon after 16Z out of the E/SE at 10-15 kts with a westerly
Gulf breeze developing at APF this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

Easterly winds are expected to remain for the remainder of the
second half of the weekend across our local Atlantic waters, with a
light to gentle westerly breeze developing each afternoon across the
Gulf waters. Seas generally 1-2 ft in the Atlantic and a foot or
less in the Gulf.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

A high risk of rip currents will prevail at Palm Beach county
beaches today with a moderate risk of rip currents remaining across
Broward and Miami-Dade beaches. As easterly flow remains with us for
the foreseeable future, the elevated rip current will persist along
the east coast for the remainder of much of the work week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 131 AM EDT Sun Apr 27 2025

Although winds will remain light across the region this afternoon,
relative humidity values will drop to near or just below critical
levels (low to mid 30s) across inland southwestern Florida. This may
result in enhanced fire behavior as vegetation remains quite dry
across these areas. Closer to both coasts, relative humidity values
will remain well above thresholds as onshore flow moderates relative
humidity values as sea-breezes move inland.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            85  73  84  73 /   0   0   0  10
West Kendall     87  70  86  70 /   0   0   0  10
Opa-Locka        86  72  86  72 /   0   0   0  10
Homestead        84  73  84  72 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Lauderdale  82  73  82  72 /   0   0   0  10
N Ft Lauderdale  83  72  83  72 /   0   0  10  10
Pembroke Pines   88  75  87  73 /   0   0   0  10
West Palm Beach  84  71  84  71 /   0   0  10  20
Boca Raton       85  72  85  72 /   0   0  10  20
Naples           86  70  88  68 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hadi
LONG TERM....Hadi
AVIATION...Redman