Fountain, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

910
FXUS65 KPUB 051932
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
132 PM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Critical Fire Weather conditions across the far southeast plains
  Monday, with the potential for more widespread fire danger Wednesday
  and Thursday.

- Increasing chances of showers and even possible thunderstorms
  through the upcoming week, with the best coverage Tuesday and
  again late in the work week into next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 132 PM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has modest west
to northwest flow aloft across the region with upper level ridging
building across the Desert Southwest and into the Intermountain West
at this time. Regional radars and satellite imagery indicating clear
skies across the Rockies, with temperatures warming into the 50s and
lower 60s early this afternoon across the plains, and readings in the
30s and 40s across the higher terrain at this time.

Tonight and Tomorrow...

Latest model data is in good agreement of said Intermountain West
upper ridge flatting across the Rockies through the day on Monday,
as energy topping the ridge across the Pacific Northwest continues
to translate across the Norther Tier. The slowly increasing westerly
flow will help develop lee troughing across the plains, which will
help keep lows warmer than the previous few nights, with readings
commonly in the 20s and 30s, warmest in the lee of the mtns and
southeastern tier.

The elongated lee trough on the plains will keep the strongest winds
tomorrow across the far southeast plains, especially across Baca county,
where breezy winds of 15 to 30 mph and dry conditions will combine to
produce critical fire weather conditions. Further north and west, the
expected location of the elongated sfc trough will keep winds lighter
and more easterly. With that said, we have upgraded Baca county to a
Red Flag Warning, valid from 11 AM through 8 PM Monday. Model data also
supports a slow increase in available moisture through the day Monday,
leading isolated to scattered showers developing over the higher terrain
tomorrow afternoon. Showers will be high based, likely producing more
virga and gusty winds than measurable precipitation. Temperatures will
remain above seasonal levels tomorrow, with highs in the 60s and 70s
across the plains, 50s and 60s across the higher terrain, save for 40s
at the peaks.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 132 PM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Increasing mid and upper level moisture and lift remains progged across
the Rockies as a weak embedded short wave translates through the region
Monday night and Tuesday. This combined with low level upslope behind
Monday evenings passing front across the plains, will lead to scattered
showers, and a few embedded thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening,
with the best coverage once again over and near the higher terrain.
While thunderstorm coverage will not be widespread, will need to monitor
any potential lightning for possible fire starts. With the increased cloud
coverage and convection, temperatures on Tuesday will be slightly cooler
than Monday.

Increasing west to northwest flow aloft remains progged on Wednesday,
as a stronger upper trough translates across the Northern Tier.
Increasing flow and drier conditions will lead to increasing fire danger
on Wednesday, especially for the interior valleys and I-25 Corridor.
The increased downslope will help temperatures warm back to well above
seasonal levels in the 70s to mid 80s across the plains, with 50s and
60s expected across the higher terrain. Passing wave sends a weak front
across the plains on Thursday, with breezy westerlies remaining across
western portions of the area, leading to another day of elevated to
critical fire weather conditions Thursday. Isolated to scattered afternoon
showers remain possible over and near the higher terrain both days, with
the best coverage on Thursday.

For Friday into the weekend, models continue to indicate increasing
available moisture within developing south to southwest flow aloft
across the region, as an upper low across the West Coast is progged
to slowly lift out across the Desert SW and Great Basin. Timing and
location of this system remains in question, however, with increasing
available moisture (dew pts potentially in the 40s to low 50s across
southeast plains) will likely see increasing coverage and intensity
of showers and thunderstorms for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1107 AM MDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions with generally light, diurnal wind regimes are
expected at COS, PUB and ALS over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Monday for COZ237.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...MW