Seeley, California 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Seeley CA
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Seeley CA
Issued by: National Weather Service Phoenix, AZ |
Updated: 10:24 am PDT Jul 29, 2025 |
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Today
 Hot
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Tonight
 Clear
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Wednesday
 Hot
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Wednesday Night
 Clear
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Thursday
 Hot
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Thursday Night
 Clear
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Friday
 Hot
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Friday Night
 Clear
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Saturday
 Hot
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Hi 110 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 111 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 111 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 111 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 112 °F |
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Today
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 110. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. |
Tonight
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Clear, with a low around 75. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. |
Wednesday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 111. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the morning. |
Wednesday Night
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Clear, with a low around 74. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Thursday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 111. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east in the morning. |
Thursday Night
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Clear, with a low around 75. West wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Friday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 111. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming east in the afternoon. |
Friday Night
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Clear, with a low around 75. West wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Saturday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 112. West wind around 5 mph becoming east in the morning. |
Saturday Night
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Clear, with a low around 75. West wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Sunday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 111. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the morning. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 75. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Monday
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Sunny, with a high near 108. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming east southeast in the morning. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Seeley CA.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
790
FXUS65 KPSR 291707
AFDPSR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1007 AM MST Tue Jul 29 2025
.UPDATE...Updated 18Z Aviation Discussion.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures with lower desert highs around 110
degrees will result in a daily Moderate HeatRisk.
- Limited monsoon moisture will bring daily chances of eastern
Arizona high terrain storms through Friday. A few showers or
storms may be possible into the south-central Arizona lower
deserts on Thursday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /Today through Wednesday/...
Models continue to trend drier over the next few days leading to
an even less optimistic outlook on rain chances. The main reason
is the inverted trough that was supposed to move into southern
Arizona has mostly washed out and is not expected to help bring as
much moisture as originally advertised. The latest guidance mostly
shows the stalled out large scale trough remaining to our
northwest with the subtropical high now having even higher
influence over our region. The remnants of the inverted trough and
its moisture are still positioned over southern New Mexico into
northern Mexico, but now it seems much of this moisture will never
make its way into our area.
For today and Wednesday, limited moisture with PWATs of around 1"
will help to bring slight chances of showers and a few storms
across southeast Arizona to as far north as eastern Gila County.
For the lower deserts, we will continue to see clear to mostly
clear skies with high temperatures running around five degrees
above normal.
&&
.LONG TERM /Thursday through Monday/...
Moisture is still likely to improve some later this week and
spread westward into the lower deserts, but to a lesser degree
than previously advertised. The latest GEFS only shows PWATs
rising to 1.0-1.1" into the lower deserts late Thursday and Friday
morning, whereas the EPS shows 1.2-1.3". Low level mixing ratios
also remain fairly limited much of the time, mainly staying
between 6-8 g/kg but there looks to be a brief period of 8-10 g/kg
centered on Thursday night. Besides the limited moisture, we are
also likely to fall within a more subsident right exit region of
an upper level jet. PoPs have been scaled back a good amount with
chances mainly still over the eastern Arizona higher terrain
Thursday afternoon with 15-25% chances into the south-central
Arizona lower deserts Thursday evening and Thursday night. Given
the latest look at the potential moisture, these PoPs are likely
too optimistic.
Lingering moisture into Friday may be enough for another round of
afternoon scattered showers and isolated storms, but by this time
drier air will already be ushering into the area from the
southwest while the center of the subtropical high will be nearly
overhead. The stronger subsidence from the high center will likely
counteract any lingering moisture over the lower deserts leaving
only chances for convection over the eastern Arizona higher
terrain. The rapid drying trend is expected to continue through
the weekend with PWATs dropping to well below 1" areawide by
Saturday night. Other than a very limited potential for an
isolated storm or two over eastern Arizona on Saturday, rain
chances are likely to come to an end for a couple days. Guidance
does hint at maybe a return of some limited convection at some
point early next week, but only across the higher terrain.
Temperatures through the rest of the week into next week are
expected to remain at least a few degrees above normal each day.
Highs around 110 degrees across the lower deserts are likely most
days. Luckily, guidance indicates the trough to our northwest
should shift closer to our area over the weekend to suppress the
subtropical ridge. This is definitely the most favored solution,
but there remains around 10-20% of the members showing the ridge
having more influence. If this were to occur, we may end up seeing
highs closer to 115 degrees. Beyond the forecast period (latter
half of next week), ensembles are pointing at the ridge rebuilding
with at least some potential for an early August extreme heat
event.
&&
.AVIATION...Updated at 1700Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
No major aviation weather concerns under a FEW mid to high clouds
can be expected throughout the TAF period. The overall wind
pattern will continue to exhibit the typical diurnal tendency with
speeds aob 10 kts along with some minor afternoon/early evening
gusts into the mid to upper teens.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:
No aviation weather concerns under clear skies can be expected
throughout the TAF period. At KIPL, winds will be out of the
southeast through this afternoon, before shifting out of the west
by early this evening. At KBLH, winds will fluctuate out of the
south to southwest. Overall wind speeds will be aob 10 kts, with
some minor afternoon/early evening gustiness into the mid to upper
teens.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Limited monsoon moisture will provide for daily chances of
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the eastern
Arizona high terrain, but chances for wetting rains will mostly be
10% or less. By Thursday, the limited chances may extend into the
south-central Arizona lower deserts. The lack of good moisture
should result in at least minor risk of dry lightning. Afternoon
MinRHs for the lower deserts will remain between 5-15% today and
Wednesday, with 15-20% in southern Gila County. Outside of the
influence of thunderstorms, winds will generally follow diurnal
tendencies with typical afternoon upslope gustiness. Temperatures
will mostly run 3-6 degrees above normal through the rest of the
week.
&&
.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...None.
CA...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Kuhlman
LONG TERM...Kuhlman
AVIATION...Lojero
FIRE WEATHER...Kuhlman
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