Merced, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

448
FXUS66 KHNX 231652
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
952 AM PDT Fri Oct 23 2026


&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A slight chance for light precipitation remains in the
Sierra Nevada until Friday evening as the storm system moves
east.

2. Dry conditions and seasonal temperature normals prevail before
another trough moves into the Pacific Northwest next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Time for your favorite part of the day, reading the Area
Forecast Discussion (with some sarcasm)! Wowza, it got wettt
outside the last couple of days, huh? Our cars and vegetation
definitely needed it. Why pay for a carwash when Mother Nature
has our back! As the storm moves eastward, lingering showers are
possible in the Sierra Nevadas through this evening, with the
90th percentile being around an inch. Now, usually after rain
events like this in late Fall and in Winter comes that gloomy
ominous fog right? Since it is still October, thereth existeth
too much sunlight and warmth for fog to develop, so visibility
is expected to remain clear in the Valley.

The upper level trough itself does remain over our area
until Saturday, keeping cool Valley temperatures below 75 today
and tomorrow, before warming to the upper 70s Sunday and Monday.
This is due to a very weak high pressure ridge briefly centering
over our area, though models indicate another trough moving into
the Pacific Northwest scaring away the ridge. Move along ridge,
you scaredy cat! With this trough, some extra cooling is
expected to occur, with temperatures across the Valley dropping
into the mid to low 70s. Minimum temperatures expected to be
between mid 40s to low 50s across the Valley and Desert. Perfect
short sleeves weather!

Although uncertainty remains, models indicate that the trough
next week strengthens and moves into our area around Halloween
spooky time. A spooky trough over us on spooky day? Terrifying!
There is currently a slight chance for precipitation to return
around this time. We shalleth monitor this, and hope it does
not spoil trick or treating plans. I want some candy!


&&


.AVIATION...
IFR and mountain obscurations with showers over the Sierra
Nevada and the Kern County mountains from 20Z Fri to 00Z
Saturday. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24
hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.


&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

public...Moore
aviation....Moore

weather.gov/hanford