Essex, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

914
FXUS65 KVEF 091559
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
858 AM PDT Wed Apr 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Warming weather will continue through the remainder of
the week, providing an early taste of summer as temperatures
climb to around 10 to 15 degrees above normal each day. Relief
will arrive in time for the weekend as a passing system impacts
the region, with increasing winds Friday and Saturday, as well as
gradually cooling temperatures this weekend into early next week.
No precipitation is forecast the next seven days.

&&

.UPDATE...Main story continues to be the early-season heat through
Saturday, with temperatures forecast to be 10-20 degrees above
normal. As high pressure shifts east over the weekend, temperatures
begin to come down and winds increase. Minor wind impacts possible
on Saturday as winds reach their strongest point, with best odds
along the I-15 corridor. Pattern uncertainty grows next week with
multiple disturbances in the vicinity, but the going expectation is
continued dry and warm conditions with periods of gusty winds
possible.

.SHORT TERM...through Thursday.

Low amplitude ridge which has built in across the Southwest will
build northward today and tomorrow, allowing for a continuation of
the warming trend and more dry and sunny weather. With heights
gradually rising, temperatures this afternoon will climb a few
degrees higher than temps reached Tuesday, and a few more degrees
by Thursday. This will put most areas in the ballpark of 12 to 18
degrees above normal, and the warmest weather yet of 2025. With
broad high pressure in place, winds will remain generally light,
although a deepening mixed layer will lead to breezy conditions
returning in the afternoons.

LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday.

Friday will be the warmest day of the forecast period. Highs 15 to
20 degrees above average are expected and numerous daily high
temperature records are threatened at area climate sites - see the
Climate section below for more details. Although heights aloft begin
to decrease with the incoming trough, southwesterly warm air
advection and downslope winds off area mountains should offset any
cooling effects and allow temperatures to rise. Hot daytime
temperatures and warmer than average overnight lows result in
widespread Minor (Level 1 of 4) HeatRisk with pockets of Moderate
(Level 2 of 4) HeatRisk along the Colorado River, Death Valley, and
other areas of lower elevation in the Mojave Desert. This level of
heat primarily affects those that are sensitive to heat, have not
had time to acclimate to increased temperatures, or do not have
access to sufficient cooling or hydration. Remember to stay hydrated
and know where to find the nearest air conditioned space, especially
if spending time outdoors.

The previously mentioned incoming trough will bring notable changes
to winds and temperatures. Southwesterly surface winds begin to pick
up on Friday, but strengthen on Saturday as the trough axis moves
through and 850 mb winds intensify. The strongest winds develop
along a belt spanning San Bernardino, Clark, and Mohave counties.
Winds should weaken on Sunday as the trough continues east and the
pressure gradient relaxes. As heights aloft decrease, surface
temperatures decrease 10 degrees or more between Friday and Sunday,
closer to seasonal averages. Relatively cooler temperatures remain
going into early next week. No precipitation is expected with this
system.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Light
winds this morning will give way to east to southeast winds (090-
140) around 18Z.  The majority of the guidance keeps speeds less
than 8 knots, but there is a 25 percent chance of seeing a few gusts
to 12kts between 19Z and 01Z.  By sunset, winds should turn to the
southwest with speeds of less than 8 knots.  No significant cloud
cover will be seen into Thursday.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...The Las Vegas area TAF
sites will see conditions similar to what is described above at
Harry Reid. Elsewhere, winds will follow typical diurnal directional
trends with speeds remaining 12 knots or less into Thursday.  No
significant cloud cover is forecast.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX            THU, APR 10    FRI, APR 11
               Record (Yr)    Record (Yr)

Las Vegas      91 (2014)*     93 (2023)*
Bishop         91 (1989)      86 (2018)*
Needles        103 (1989)     102 (1936)*
Daggett        99 (1989)      93 (2014)*
Kingman        91 (1907)*     96 (1936)
Desert Rock    91 (1989)*     87 (2014)*
Death Valley   110 (1989)     108 (1989)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN       THU, APR 10    FRI, APR 11
               Record (Yr)    Record (Yr)

Las Vegas      70 (2002)*     72 (2018)
Bishop         48 (1951)      55 (1989)
Needles        70 (1989)      72 (2014)
Daggett        63 (1989)*     68 (1989)
Kingman        59 (1989)      66 (1989)
Desert Rock    63 (1989)      66 (2018)
Death Valley   80 (1972)      80 (2018)

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Woods
SHORT TERM...Outler
LONG TERM...Meltzer
AVIATION...Planz

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