North Little Rock, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

799
FXUS64 KLZK 151710
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1210 PM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

All quiet across the Natural State early this Fri morning...with dry
conditions...a mostly clear sky...and temps in the mid 70s to low
80s. The center of the upper ridge is located to the NW of the state
early this morning...but this will change later today and over the
weekend.

Temps today will be similar to maybe slightly warmer than seen on
Thu for this Fri afternoon. Dewpts will also be similar or maybe
slightly higher for portions of the area. Resulting heat index
values will increase as a result. Have expanded the Heat Adv to
include areas with best potential for getting near or exceeding Heat
Adv criteria this Fri afternoon.

The upper ridge to the NW of the state this morning will slowly
shift east over the weekend...becoming centered over MO into NRN AR
by Sun morning. This trend will allow for temps to remain above
normal for highs over the weekend...with the overall chances for
convection remaining generally low. However...this doesn`t mean
there will be no potential for some isolated afternoon convection
over the weekend. With the center of the upper ridge mainly north of
AR...and portions of the state seeing a bit less influence from this
upper ridge...do think some isolated afternoon pulse-type convection
will still be possible for some areas into early next week.

By the middle to latter half of next week...the upper ridge will
shift west over the 4-Corners region of the CONUS. This will allow
for AR to be under a more NRLY/NWRLY flow aloft later next
week...resulting in cooler temps...and better potential for
afternoon convection. There may even be potential for a weak cold
front to drop south into/through the state by late next week...which
may provide some enhanced potential for rain. However...there is
some uncertainty on when this front will move through...and how
potent the impacts will be. Even so...cooler temps and at least some
increased potential for afternoon convection will be seen by late
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

A few isolated showers and thunderstorms have formed over portions
of western and central Arkansas this afternoon. Latest CAMs runs
shows a few more are possible over the southern 2/3rds of the
state and dissipating within one to two hours after sunset due to
loss of afternoon heating. At this time, confidence is too low to
place to place SHRA or TSRA in the TAFs, but will monitor and
amended as needed. Main aviation impacts would be brief MVFR/IFR
conditions due to a thunderstorm. Light and variable winds will
continue to prevail with most TAF sites at or nearly calm after
sunset. Light S/SE winds will persist on Saturday with some
afternoon diurnal CU and likely some isolated showers and
thunderstorms through remainder of the TAF period. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  98  74  99 /  10  10   0  10
Camden AR         73  97  73  98 /  10  20   0  20
Harrison AR       73  95  72  96 /   0  10   0  10
Hot Springs AR    75  98  75 100 /  10  20  10  20
Little Rock   AR  76  97  77  98 /  10  10   0  10
Monticello AR     75  98  75  99 /  10  20   0  10
Mount Ida AR      74  96  73  98 /  10  20  10  20
Mountain Home AR  73  98  72  98 /   0  10   0  10
Newport AR        75  97  75  98 /   0  10   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     75  97  75  99 /  10  10   0  10
Russellville AR   76 100  75 101 /   0  10  10  10
Searcy AR         74  98  74 100 /   0  20   0  10
Stuttgart AR      76  97  76  99 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-230-
238.

Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ007-008-016-
017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-
230-238.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...Kelly