Lowell, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

107
FXUS64 KTSA 021720
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1120 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1111 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

 - Dry cold front moves through the area today into tonight.

 - Weekend storm system increases precipitation chances Saturday
   afternoon through Sunday. Potential for light wintry precipitation Sunday
   afternoon/evening as system departs. Uncertainty remains.

 - Much colder temperatures early next week. Cold weather impacts
   likely.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1007 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

Going forecast for today remains in good shape with only some
minor updates to hourly T and sky grids accounting for latest
observations. Passing mid and high cloud will continue to stream
over the region today. Highs will rise above normal this afternoon
with many places reaching into the low to mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Tonight)
Issued at 218 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

A reinforcing cold front is set to move through eastern Oklahoma
and western Arkansas dry later this afternoon into this evening.
However, temperatures are forecast to rise slightly above normal
levels in advance of the boundary this afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 218 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

A more dynamic system is set to impact the area over the weekend
with the potential for some light wintry precipitation across
portions of northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. In general
a mid-level low is set to emerge from the Rockies Saturday evening
and spread across the Plains Saturday night into Sunday with the
associated surface low tracking from the Texas Panhandle across
northern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. While the models are
honing in on the track of the storm, the timing remains uncertain.
The timing of this system will play a critical role in the temperature
and precipitation type across the area on Sunday. This forecast will
be a middle of the road forecast with the associated cold front moving
through the area Sunday morning into early Sunday afternoon. With
that said, showers could develop across portions of northeast Oklahoma
as early as Saturday afternoon in advance of the system in the strong
isentropic lift. Rain showers and even some thunderstorms are more likely
Saturday night into Sunday morning in this zone of lift ahead of
the system. With temperatures falling behind the boundary on Sunday, there
is the potential that there will be a change over to a light wintry mix
across portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Sunday
afternoon/evening before the mid-level low departs to the east. There
continues to be a low potential for minor wintry travel impacts. Stay
tuned as the forecast continues to be refined as we draw closer to the
weekend.

Much colder temperatures are expected Sunday night and into early next
week as high pressure builds into the region from the north.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2025

VFR conditions look to prevail through the period with some
passing mid to high cloud streaming over the region throughout the
day. Winds will mainly be light (less than 10 knots) through the
period, shifting from southerly this morning to westerly and then
northerly as a cold front passes from north to south later this
afternoon and evening.

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  27  46  30 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   54  32  53  33 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   56  30  54  35 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   51  24  44  25 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   50  26  48  27 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   49  27  45  27 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   53  29  50  32 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   49  25  43  27 /   0   0   0   0
F10   53  29  50  32 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   56  35  56  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...04