El Dorado, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

032
FXUS64 KSHV 051739
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1239 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

 - Temperatures will be seasonably cooler and drier behind the
   cold front that moved through the region yesterday.

 - Another warming trend will begin on Monday, but should progress
   much slower than previous warmups with temperatures in the mid
   to upper 70s by midweek.

 - Another round of scattered showers could come as soon as
   Wednesday afternoon, more widespread rain chances coming at the
   end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

The low pressure system that brought the cold front through the
region yesterday continues to shift eastward through the Upper
Great Lakes this morning. Other than some diverging flow in the
western CONUS, upper-level flow looks fairly uninteresting as of
the last observation. Northwest flow over the Ark-La-Tx should
gradually shift to be quasi-zonal over the next few days, keeping
the area dry. The NBM has mostly northerly/easterly sfc winds
through Tuesday, which will help keep our typical warming trend
from getting out of control. Despite the winds, there will be a
gradual warming into the mid to upper 70s by Wednesday afternoon.

A southerly shift in sfc winds on Tuesday are expected to get some
moisture moving in to the region ahead of a shortwave trough
entering the Southern Plains on Wednesday. Given the limited
window of moisture advection ahead of the disturbance, the
scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to be limited to
central LA on Wednesday. Showers that form Thursday afternoon
should spread to cover further into Deep East TX and northern LA.
It should be stated that there are considerable model
inconsistencies with both timing and coverage of this rain, so
there are plenty of changes that can happen to the forecast in the
coming days. The shortwave trough providing the forcing for these
two rounds of scattered rain will then move on and open the door
for another shortwave on Friday, which looks to bring more
widespread rain to the Ark-La-Tx for the early weekend.

Even with the recent rainfall over the past several days, drought
conditions remain present over the region and many counties and
parishes have enacted burn bans. Please continue to follow the
advice of local officials in regard to public outdoor burning.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conditions around 05/18z will prevail through the remainder of
the day, with patches of cirrus advecting across the area lending to
SCT-BKN skies at times. Cirrus will increase in coverage later this
evening and through the overnight, yielding a VFR ceiling for all
TAF sites. Skies will gradually become more scattered Monday morning
into the afternoon, with VFR conditions continuing. Winds will be
breezy out of the N/NE this afternoon around 12-15kts, with gusts 20-
25kts thru sunset. NE winds to settle around 5-7kts overnight,
becoming more E/NE Monday around 8-10kts. No restrictions to vsbys
or precipitations thru the TAF period.

23


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  48  73  46  75 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  72  45  77 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  39  72  41  73 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  44  73  46  77 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  42  71  42  75 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  46  73  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  46  73  45  74 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  47  74  45  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...23