Knik Fairview, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

407
FXAK68 PAFC 101254
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 AM AKDT Tue Jun 10 2025

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Thursday)...

Summer is on its way! With the cold low exiting into the Gulf from
the Kenai Peninsula early this morning, the unseasonable cold
temperatures will begin to warm closer to normal Wednesday. By
Thursday, many temperatures in Southcentral will warm into the mid
60s to mid 70s under sunny skies. There will still be a chance
for some isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms, especially
in the Copper River Basin, but a significant clearing and warming
trend is on its way over the next few days.

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

A front currently situated over the central Bering and Aleutians
is bringing widespread rounds of rain and small craft winds.
There is a small core of gales set up just west of the Eastern
Aleutians that will track north with the front, passing near the
Pribilof Islands before tapering off near Saint Matthew Island.
The front continues to progress eastward through today, reaching
just offshore of the Southwest Coast by this afternoon. The
Kuskokwim Delta Coast and Nunivak Island have the best chance to
see rain while the rest of Southwest remains on the drier, though
cloud cover will gradually spill into the rest of the Southwest
mainland over the next few days.

Expect steady onshore flow into the Kuskokwim Delta coast
to persist beyond midweek. This will coincide with the full moon
and astronomical high tide, potentially resulting in coastal
waters rising slightly higher than the highest astronomical tide
line.

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Friday through Monday)...

Expect generally unsettled weather as several lows move across
Southwest Alaska and the Bering Sea late this week and into early
next week. The worst conditions during this 4-day span will
likely be focused along the Central/Eastern Bering Sea, Alaska
Peninsula, Southwest Mainland, and Kodiak Island as a robust low
moves up from the North Pacific. There is still uncertainty with
the timing and how far east/west the low will track. However, with
good consensus that the low will push north into the Bering Sea,
it looks likely that there will be gusty winds through gaps and
passes of the Alaska Peninsula, as well as through Kamishak Gap
and into interior Bristol Bay. Periods of moderate to heavy rain
will also be likely across this area. For the Western
Bering/Aleutians, fairly quiet weather with winds expected to
remain below 25 kt and areas of rain showers.

For Southcentral Alaska, warm weather and rain showers (with the
potential for thunderstorms) under a ridge will likely give way to
more widespread rain as an upper low retrogrades westward over the
weekend. However, forecast confidence is low because the
placement of the upper low varies greatly among the models.
Steadier rain and stronger winds could be on the way as another
North Pacific low enters the Gulf from Sunday into Monday, but
forecast confidence is also low regarding the track of this
feature.

-KC

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Other than a brief period or two of MVFR ceilings early
this morning, VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

$$