Mobile, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Mobile AL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Mobile AL
Issued by: National Weather Service Mobile, AL |
Updated: 3:52 pm CDT Jun 15, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 T-storms Likely
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Tonight
 T-storms Likely then Mostly Clear
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Monday
 T-storms Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Showers
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Tuesday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Wednesday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Juneteenth
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Hi 90 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 76 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 78 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
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This Afternoon
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 1pm and 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph. |
Tuesday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 89. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Tuesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Juneteenth
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Friday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. |
Saturday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. |
Saturday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Mobile AL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
694
FXUS64 KMOB 152045
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
345 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
...New Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Now through Monday Night...
We start the period well defined low/mid level ridge of high
pressure positioned from the southwest Atlantic. westward across the
FL Peninsula into the central GUlf. A H20/H30 upper level trof axis
aligned over the central Gulf coast and was marked by a cyclonic
curvature in the cloud elements. This feature operating on a weakly
defined coastal surface boundary draped from southeast AL/southwest
GA border to down across the AL/NW FL coastal waters, combined with
more than sufficient deep layer environmental moisture (PWAT`s 1.8
to 2.1") and daily instability has resulted in pockets of cold cloud
tops => scattering of showers and storms. As we go through the
remainder of the day, the expectation is coverage will begin to
increase over the land zones and move/develop northward. Forecasters
are beginning to see this in radar trends in central MS. At the
present time, the environment is characterized by high CAPE and low
shear, resulting in typical summer-time ordinary, pulse type storms,
which could become strong at times contributing to locally brief
strong wind gusts and perhaps small hail upon collapse of storm
centroids. We cannot rule out a brief severe storm, but the overall
threat is low. Frequent lightning and brief, localized heavy rains
are also possible with the stronger storms. Storms lingering into
the evening are expected to weaken with the loss of instability. A
similar pattern remains in place as we open the work week on Monday
and Monday night.
Rip current risk along area beaches is low. /10
Tuesday Through Saturday...
An upper level ridge over the western Atlantic continues to nose
into the Southeast and eastern Gulf as we roll toward mid-week. A
shortwave trough to our west begins to lift out of the region as the
ridge nudges deeper into the Deep South. As ridging builds overhead
late in the week and into the weekend, rain chances will begin to
decrease and the heat will begin to crank up. In the meantime,
expect a diurnal convective pattern Tuesday through Thursday with
high rain chances each afternoon. At this point, the highest POPs
remain on Tuesday afternoon given the proximity of the shortwave
trough. Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon give ample
instability and minimal shear, so we can`t rule out a few strong
storms with gusty winds and frequent lightning being the main
threats.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk remains LOW on Tuesday and
increases to a MODERATE on Wednesday and Thursday. The latest rip
current probability guidance continues to trend toward a MODERATE
risk by Friday. 07/mb
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
CIG`s and VSBY temporarily down to MVFR categories with passage
of any tsra containing heavier downpours through 16.00Z. Away from
convective influences, winds light. Lingering convective activity
after 16.00Z is expected to be lifting northward of the terminals
and weakening. /10
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 344 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Light onshore flow to persist into the new week. Occasionally
moderate southerly flow is possible, especially in the nearshore
waters which will be influenced by the diurnal land and sea breeze
pattern. Winds and seas will likely be temporarily higher in and
near the vicinity of storms. The environment also looks to be
supportive of waterspouts in morning activity near the coast. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 73 89 74 90 75 89 75 91 / 20 60 40 80 20 70 10 70
Pensacola 77 88 78 88 79 88 78 89 / 20 70 40 80 20 50 20 60
Destin 79 88 79 86 81 87 80 87 / 30 70 50 80 20 50 20 50
Evergreen 71 91 72 90 72 91 72 92 / 30 60 20 80 10 70 10 60
Waynesboro 70 91 71 91 73 91 72 93 / 30 70 20 70 10 70 10 60
Camden 71 89 72 90 72 90 73 91 / 40 60 30 80 10 70 10 60
Crestview 72 90 73 90 73 91 72 92 / 20 70 30 80 10 60 10 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
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