ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 180710

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0110 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

   Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   The potential for critical fire weather conditions appears limited
   for Wednesday. Latest guidance shows reasonably strong agreement in
   the eastward translation of the southern CA upper low into the Four
   Corners region over the next 48 hours. Modest lee
   troughing/cyclogenesis is expected as this occurs, but the low-level
   wind response is expected to be fairly muted with around 10-15 mph
   sustained winds across parts of the southern High Plains.
   Additionally, scattered to widespread mid/high-level cloud cover is
   anticipated, which will modulate diurnal heating and most likely
   limit RH reductions to the 25-35% range. Recent ensemble guidance
   hints that some mid-afternoon clearing is possible across far
   northeast NM into the OK/TX Panhandles, which may be sufficient for
   a pocket of sub-25% RH and winds between 15-20 mph. However, this
   potential appears too limited/localized to warrant risk highlights
   at this time.

   ..Moore.. 11/18/2025

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 172132

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0332 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

   Valid 191200Z - 251200Z

   Fire weather concerns across the CONUS remain low through early next
   week. A deep mid/upper trough and associated enhanced mid-level flow
   pivoting through the Southwest through midweek brings a region of
   broad lift/ascent to the Southern Plains over an northward advancing
   warm front by Day 3/Wednesday. Anomalously high boundary layer
   moisture ahead of the upper trough will support much needed
   widespread showers and thunderstorms across the Southern Plains from
   Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday. This should mitigate fire weather
   concerns where fuels still remain quite dry and receptive to fire
   spread. An evolving surface low over the Southern Plains late this
   week and accompanying frontal boundary moves into the Southeast by
   Saturday, bringing additional rainfall and reduced fire weather
   concerns to much of Ohio River Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.
   Another mid-level trough and sufficient low-level Gulf moisture
   provides additional opportunities for precipitation to the Southern
   Plains early next week. However,  uncertainty in timing and expected
   state of fuels renders little confidence in fire weather impacts to
   the region at this time with no critical probabilities introduced.

   ..Williams.. 11/17/2025